DAKT · TickerCove

DAKTDaktronics, Inc.Technology · Hardware, Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $17.56 · now $17.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, DAKT has typically landed between $14.50 and $22.33 — a range of −17.4% to +27.2% from the issuance price $17.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($17.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$17.56 · 3% of range

$17.27 low$27.73 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 21.6%

−17.4%worst (p90)+27.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where DAKT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $17.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $17.56 (+0.0%)
typical $17.82 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $15.92–$19.72
90% range $14.5–$22.33

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-11-08	−50.1%	−50.1%	+4.3%
2008-10-21	−48.7%	−48.7%	+0.0%
2008-10-20	−48.3%	−48.3%	+0.4%
3 best
2022-12-08	+78.3%	+0.0%	+78.3%
2006-10-23	+71.4%	+0.0%	+71.4%
2006-10-24	+69.4%	+0.0%	+70.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

35%

+0.5%

n=20

Feb

20%

−7.4%

n=20

Mar

60%

+1.2%

n=20

Apr

35%

−1.7%

n=20

May

60%

+3.0%

n=20

Jun

50%

−0.7%

n=20

Jul

65%

+3.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

+5.4%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.8%

n=20

Oct

55%

+0.8%

n=20

Nov

60%

+6.9%

n=20

Dec

70%

+1.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-17	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Sale	4,000 @ $19.22	$77K	−3.1% of holding	+0.3%	not yet — horizon still open	125,946	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-01	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Sale	3,636 @ $20.01	$73K	−7.0% of holding	−0.7%	not yet — horizon still open	48,371	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30	Wendler Brett David	officer	Purchase	98 @ $15.97	$2K	+0.2% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	44,520	Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-09-17	GATZKE CARLA S	officer	Sale	9,944 @ $23.09	$230K	−1.4% of holding	−15.0%	−10.6%	721,036	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15	Friel John Patrick	director	Sale	13,479 @ $23.58	$318K	−15.4% of holding	−17.7%	−17.8%	74,094	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-07	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Sale	3,839 @ $16.86	$65K	−8.9% of holding	+1.9%	+40.9%	39,495	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-29	Alta Fox Opportunities Fund, LP	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,000,000 @ $14.90	$14.9M	−16.7% of holding	−2.4%	+13.9%	4,973,599	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-04	Siegel Andrew David	director	Purchase	2,500 @ $11.50	$29K	+6.1% of holding	+6.5%	+34.0%	43,446	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-31	Siegel Andrew David	director	Purchase	4,200 @ $11.80	$50K	+11.4% of holding	+5.1%	+52.0%	40,946	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-31	Siegel Andrew David	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $11.86	$36K	+8.9% of holding	+5.1%	+52.0%	36,746	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

290 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	330	129,020	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	121	127,614	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	118	127,988	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	492	0	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	1,362	0	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	500	0	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	500	127,735	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	500	127,735	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	1,362	129,350	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	1,362	129,350	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	500	127,735	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	1,362	129,350	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	492	128,106	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	500	127,735	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	492	128,106	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	492	128,106	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	492	128,106	Form 4
2026-09-05	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	1,362	129,350	Form 4
2026-08-23	Jayaraman Ramesh	officer	Withheld for tax	1,726	5,364	Form 4
2026-08-23	Kurtenbach Matthew John	officer	Withheld for tax	510	341,383	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Withheld for tax	503	51,174	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wendler Brett David	officer	Withheld for tax	496	47,179	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Withheld for tax	121	49,250	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wendler Brett David	officer	Withheld for tax	121	44,899	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wendler Brett David	officer	Withheld for tax	121	45,278	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	121	126,325	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	121	126,704	Form 4
2026-08-23	Kurtenbach Matthew John	officer	Withheld for tax	121	338,885	Form 4
2026-08-23	Kurtenbach Matthew John	officer	Withheld for tax	121	339,264	Form 4
2026-08-23	Kurtenbach Matthew John	officer	Withheld for tax	110	339,795	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	110	127,235	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Withheld for tax	59	49,437	Form 4
2026-08-23	Kurtenbach Matthew John	officer	Withheld for tax	59	339,451	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Withheld for tax	59	126,891	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wendler Brett David	officer	Withheld for tax	59	45,465	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wendler Brett David	officer	Withheld for tax	55	45,637	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Withheld for tax	55	49,609	Form 4
2026-08-23	Wiemann Bradley T	officer	Option exercise	454	1,362	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Option exercise	246	492	Form 4
2026-08-23	Anderson Sheila Mae	officer	Option exercise	227	681	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i