DDominion Energy, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $63.51 · now $63.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, D has typically landed between $57.23 and $68.91 — a range of −9.9% to +8.5% from the issuance price $63.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($63.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where D has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $63.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$57.23worst · -9.9%$68.91best · +8.5%
  • now $63.51 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $64.29 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $61.83–$66.74
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $57.23–$68.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−32.8%−32.8%+0.7%
2020-02-24−26.1%−33.1%+0.2%
2009-02-05−24.8%−24.8%+0.4%
3 best
2020-03-23+32.6%+0.0%+38.1%
2023-11-01+17.7%+0.0%+17.7%
2023-10-23+17.5%+0.0%+19.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$62.5B
market cap
$3.39
EPS (TTM)
21.0
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-31
next earnings
Revenue$16.5B
'20'25
Net income$3.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$7.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr18.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr10.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.68
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $63.51$-130.10$91.83
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-114.79
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$76.53
  • Analyst target · range $67.00–$76.00$71.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$63.51

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.5%
n=18
Feb
53%
−0.9%
n=19
Mar
63%
+1.9%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.7%
n=19
May
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Jul
79%
+1.8%
n=19
Aug
42%
−0.0%
n=19
Sep
63%
−0.1%
n=19
Oct
67%
−0.1%
n=18
Nov
56%
+0.7%
n=18
Dec
67%
+0.9%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$72$562025-08-27: 1 insider purchase, $251K — BLUE ROBERT M2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $251K↑ buys↓ salesdirector BLUE ROBERT M — Purchase on 2025-08-27, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-27BLUE ROBERT MdirectorPurchase4,152 @ $60.35$251K+2.6% of holding−1.5%+1.5%161,237Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-13Sutherland Vanessa AllendirectorPurchase475 @ $54.01$26Kownership Δ n/a+0.4%−6.3%475Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

60 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-07Kington Mark JdirectorAward / grant5,005140,628Form 4
2026-05-07Lovejoy Kristin GdirectorAward / grant4,68725,407Form 4
2026-05-05SPILMAN ROBERT H JRdirectorAward / grant5,08429,426Form 4
2026-05-05Sutherland Vanessa AllendirectorAward / grant4,68719,415Form 4
2026-05-05RIGBY JOSEPH MdirectorAward / grant3,27336,194Form 4
2026-05-05HAGOOD D MAYBANKdirectorAward / grant2,8205,886Form 4
2026-05-05Royal Pamela J.directorAward / grant2,82044,986Form 4
2026-05-05BENNETT JAMES AdirectorAward / grant2,82027,182Form 4
2026-05-05STORY SUSAN NdirectorAward / grant2,82035,190Form 4
2026-05-05Lyash Jeffrey J.directorAward / grant2,8205,826Form 4
2026-05-05STORY SUSAN NdirectorAward / grant2,66124,965Form 4
2026-02-25Elbert Regina JofficerAward / grant2,83225,043Form 4
2026-02-25Ratliff Gary GofficerAward / grant1,2278,453Form 4
2026-02-25Ridge Steven DofficerAward / grant9,43958,676Form 4
2026-02-25Brown Carlos MofficerAward / grant9,43962,923Form 4
2026-02-25Carr EricofficerAward / grant6,60777,467Form 4
2026-02-25Baine Edward HdirectorAward / grant7,07949,476Form 4
2026-02-25BLUE ROBERT MdirectorAward / grant47,193208,430Form 4
2026-02-25Kissam William KellerofficerAward / grant2,36021,402Form 4
2026-02-01Ridge Steven DofficerWithheld for tax2,81149,237Form 4
2026-02-01Brown Carlos MofficerWithheld for tax2,02353,484Form 4
2026-02-01Baine Edward HdirectorWithheld for tax1,31542,397Form 4
2026-02-01Kissam William KellerofficerWithheld for tax1,02019,042Form 4
2026-02-01Elbert Regina JofficerWithheld for tax71722,211Form 4
2026-01-30Ridge Steven DofficerAward / grant8,12254,574Form 4
2026-01-30Ridge Steven DofficerWithheld for tax2,52652,048Form 4
2026-01-30Carr EricofficerAward / grant9,93070,860Form 4
2025-12-08HAGOOD D MAYBANKdirectorGift1,0002,986Form 4
2025-12-01Ridge Steven DofficerWithheld for tax87246,452Form 4
2025-10-01Ratliff Gary GofficerWithheld for tax2187,226Form 4
2025-09-03Ridge Steven DofficerAward / grant2,12347,324Form 4
2025-06-25Lyash Jeffrey J.directorAward / grant2,9072,907Form 4
2025-05-07SPILMAN ROBERT H JRdirectorAward / grant5,85223,262Form 4
2025-05-07Kington Mark JdirectorAward / grant5,761129,605Form 4
2025-05-07Lovejoy Kristin GdirectorAward / grant5,39519,800Form 4
2025-05-07Sutherland Vanessa AllendirectorAward / grant5,39514,074Form 4
2025-05-07RIGBY JOSEPH MdirectorAward / grant3,76731,461Form 4
2025-05-07Dabbar PauldirectorAward / grant3,2468,043Form 4
2025-05-07Royal Pamela J.directorAward / grant3,24640,295Form 4
2025-05-07BENNETT JAMES AdirectorAward / grant3,24623,281Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-11-102025-10-27$15–50K
Sheri BiggsHousesale2025-10-052025-03-18$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-09-112025-08-22$50–100K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2025-07-072025-06-27$100–250K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-05-142025-04-09$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-02-112025-01-24$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2025-02-102025-01-16$1–15K
Gerald E. ConnollyHousesale2025-02-062025-02-05$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousesale2025-01-142024-12-16$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-12-162024-11-20$15–50K
Michael T. McCaulHousesale2024-12-162024-11-20$100–250K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2024-12-052024-11-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.