Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.39 · now $69.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CYTK has typically landed between $56.56 and $86.02 — a range of −18.5% to +24.0% from the issuance price $69.39.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,001 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CYTK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $69.39 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $69.24 (-0.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $63.69–$74.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $56.56–$86.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,001 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2014-04-22 | −61.6% | −66.4% | +8.8% |
| 2014-04-24 | −60.2% | −69.1% | +0.0% |
| 2014-04-21 | −58.9% | −62.9% | +20.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-12-05 | +231.9% | +0.0% | +231.9% |
| 2023-12-06 | +204.8% | +0.0% | +223.0% |
| 2023-12-07 | +191.5% | −2.2% | +210.0% |
5,001 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
45%
−0.0%
n=20
Feb
45%
−2.6%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.4%
n=20
Apr
65%
+3.0%
n=20
May
60%
+2.7%
n=20
Jun
45%
+0.2%
n=20
Jul
70%
+7.3%
n=20
Aug
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Sep
40%
+2.2%
n=20
Oct
35%
−5.8%
n=20
Nov
50%
+2.0%
n=20
Dec
50%
+11.0%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 97,926 @ $69.33 | $6.8M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Landry Robert E | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $72.13 | $72K | −10.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,184 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $73.44 | $551K | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Landry Robert E | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $74.66 | $75K | −9.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,184 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $75.46 | $264K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-01 | PARSHALL B LYNNE | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $71.48 | $357K | −31.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,784 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $70.24 | $702K | −14.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-31 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $70.24 | $527K | −1.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-18 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $75.82 | $265K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-10 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $76.76 | $576K | −1.9% of holding | −3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-30 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 14,000 @ $79.88 | $1.1M | −19.3% of holding | −14.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-27 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $80.87 | $607K | −1.9% of holding | −7.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-21 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $80.59 | $282K | −2.2% of holding | −6.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,490 @ $82.02 | $614K | −1.9% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-13 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 10 @ $82.02 | $820 | −0.0% of holding | −9.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,820 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-07 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $86.62 | $303K | −2.2% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $85.80 | $1.3M | −20.4% of holding | −9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $84.92 | $637K | −1.9% of holding | −9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 377,830 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Lee Sung | director | Sale | 1,112 @ $87.79 | $98K | −1.7% of holding | −9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,221 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Sale | 3,134 @ $85.00 | $266K | −4.7% of holding | −8.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,221 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-24 | Lee Sung | director | Sale | 38,730 @ $82.30 | $3.2M | −38.0% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,221 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-23 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $79.51 | $278K | −2.2% of holding | +1.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-15 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $70.46 | $528K | −1.9% of holding | +12.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 385,330 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $67.98 | $238K | −2.2% of holding | +21.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $74.08 | $1.1M | −20.4% of holding | +17.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | PARSHALL B LYNNE | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $74.08 | $370K | −24.1% of holding | +17.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,784 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-01 | Kaye Edward M. MD | director | Sale | 2,933 @ $76.09 | $223K | −22.2% of holding | +17.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,283 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-27 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $77.21 | $579K | −1.9% of holding | +9.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 392,830 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $75.69 | $265K | −2.2% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $77.92 | $584K | −1.8% of holding | −10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 400,330 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | Lee Sung | director | Sale | 23,906 @ $76.87 | $1.8M | −27.4% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,221 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | HENDERSON JOHN T | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $75.97 | $1.5M | −21.0% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,237 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 11,333 @ $77.25 | $875K | −16.2% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | WIERENGA WENDELL | director | Sale | 4,032 @ $75.00 | $302K | −11.0% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,637 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-05 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $77.37 | $271K | −2.2% of holding | −10.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-01 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 15,857 @ $65.00 | $1.0M | −21.3% of holding | +6.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-30 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $63.26 | $949K | −20.4% of holding | +9.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-29 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $59.62 | $447K | −1.8% of holding | +22.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 407,830 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-21 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $65.69 | $230K | −2.2% of holding | +14.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 7,449 @ $66.02 | $492K | −11.3% of holding | +13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 58,555 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-15 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $65.38 | $490K | −1.8% of holding | +13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 415,330 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-07 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 3,500 @ $65.21 | $228K | −2.2% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-07 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 1,000 @ $64.75 | $65K | −0.6% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $66.63 | $500K | −1.7% of holding | −14.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 422,830 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-31 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 3,639 @ $65.00 | $237K | −5.2% of holding | −13.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,004 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-18 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 1,930 @ $62.07 | $120K | −2.4% of holding | −0.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 78,185 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-17 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 23,928 @ $62.15 | $1.5M | −5.3% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 430,330 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 12,673 @ $62.15 | $788K | −2.7% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 454,258 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 7,636 @ $62.15 | $475K | −4.6% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 158,299 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 5,626 @ $62.15 | $350K | −7.0% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 74,489 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Lee Sung | director | Sale | 4,935 @ $62.15 | $307K | −5.4% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 87,127 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 4,397 @ $62.15 | $273K | −2.8% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 153,902 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 2,916 @ $62.15 | $181K | −3.9% of holding | +0.4% | −1.3% | 71,573 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 1,709 @ $61.03 | $104K | −3.6% of holding | +2.6% | +0.1% | 46,149 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-09 | Blum Robert I | director | Sale | 7,931 @ $60.72 | $482K | −2.0% of holding | +5.4% | +7.2% | 391,673 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Sale | 2,907 @ $60.72 | $177K | −2.1% of holding | +5.4% | +7.2% | 138,629 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 2,582 @ $60.72 | $157K | −5.1% of holding | +5.4% | +7.2% | 47,858 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-05 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $61.87 | $928K | −19.6% of holding | +7.4% | +4.8% | 61,440 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-05 | Callos Andrew | officer | Sale | 11,000 @ $61.88 | $681K | −17.9% of holding | +7.4% | +4.8% | 50,440 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-02 | PARSHALL B LYNNE | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $61.21 | $306K | −21.8% of holding | +12.3% | +3.1% | 17,933 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
210 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 385,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Gift | 97,926 | 97,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Gift | 1,350 | 376,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 156,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-14 | Blum Robert I | director | Gift | 97,926 | 278,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 157,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 26,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 68,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 385,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 164,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-31 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 157,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 30,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 385,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 171,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 14,000 | 72,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 14,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 385,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,500 | 179,245 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 157,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 33,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | HENDERSON JOHN T | director | Award / grant | 272 | 78,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Kaye Edward M. MD | director | Award / grant | 151 | 10,434 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Daly James M | director | Award / grant | 151 | 3,390 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Harrington Robert Arthur | director | Award / grant | 151 | 21,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Wysenski Nancy | director | Award / grant | 75 | 33,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | WIERENGA WENDELL | director | Award / grant | 75 | 35,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,490 | 385,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-13 | Blum Robert I | director | Option exercise | 7,490 | 186,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 157,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-07 | Malik Fady Ibraham | director | Option exercise | 3,500 | 37,386 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 73,555 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 1,112 | 64,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Callos Andrew | officer | Option exercise | 15,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 1,112 | 26,709 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 1,113 | 65,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 823 | 66,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 822 | 64,231 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 188 | 65,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Lee Sung | director | Option exercise | 188 | 63,409 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.