CYH · TickerCove

CYHCommunity Health Systems, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.98 · now $2.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CYH has typically landed between $2.11 and $4.08 — a range of −29.2% to +37.1% from the issuance price $2.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$2.98 · 26% of range

$2.49 low$4.41 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.8%

typical move · IQR 28.2%

−29.2%worst (p90)+37.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CYH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $2.98 (+0.0%)
typical $2.96 (-0.8%)
middle 50% $2.54–$3.38
90% range $2.11–$4.08

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−60.9%	−62.2%	+6.8%
2020-02-21	−60.7%	−64.6%	+0.0%
2016-10-03	−56.1%	−56.1%	+1.4%
3 best
2020-10-12	+113.5%	−4.1%	+113.8%
2020-10-08	+107.1%	−5.4%	+107.1%
2020-10-09	+100.2%	−10.2%	+100.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

65%

+10.4%

n=20

Feb

60%

+4.1%

n=20

Mar

40%

−0.5%

n=20

Apr

45%

+1.3%

n=20

May

55%

−0.9%

n=20

Jun

45%

+0.3%

n=20

Jul

35%

−0.4%

n=20

Aug

55%

−1.6%

n=20

Sep

55%

−0.5%

n=20

Oct

40%

−5.3%

n=20

Nov

55%

+1.9%

n=20

Dec

50%

+0.4%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-25	JENNINGS WILLIAM NORRIS	director	Sale	40,000 @ $2.96	$118K	−51.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	38,468	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-21	BENET MIGUEL S	officer	Sale	23,875 @ $3.52	$84K	−30.3% of holding	−17.3%	−29.6%	55,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

206 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-30	Krishnan K Ranga	director	Option exercise	13,931	55,723	Form 4
2026-06-30	Krishnan K Ranga	director	Option exercise	13,930	170,023	Form 4
2026-06-01	Rice David V.	officer	Award / grant	30,000	30,000	Form 4
2026-04-22	Krishnan K Ranga	director	Option exercise	46,950	156,093	Form 4
2026-04-22	Krishnan K Ranga	director	Option exercise	46,950	228,321	Form 4
2026-03-02	SMITH WAYNE T	director	Gift	19,400	5,217,579	Form 4
2026-03-01	HAMMONS KEVIN J	officer	Withheld for tax	96,896	895,545	Form 4
2026-03-01	STOCKTON KEVIN A	officer	Withheld for tax	35,573	208,290	Form 4
2026-03-01	Pitt Justin D	officer	Withheld for tax	24,922	287,750	Form 4
2026-03-01	Johnson Jason K	officer	Withheld for tax	23,610	268,439	Form 4
2026-03-01	Posey Phillip A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,188	51,736	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	9,756	67,856	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	20,906	88,762	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	19,933	108,695	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	9,756	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	20,906	20,906	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Option exercise	19,933	39,868	Form 4
2026-03-01	Brooks Susan W	director	Award / grant	52,023	52,023	Form 4
2026-03-01	BURGESS RONALD L JR	director	Award / grant	52,023	174,542	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	9,756	327,924	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	20,906	348,830	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	19,933	368,763	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	9,756	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	20,906	20,906	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Option exercise	19,933	39,868	Form 4
2026-03-01	CLERICO JOHN A	director	Award / grant	52,023	52,023	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	9,756	372,037	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	20,906	392,943	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	19,933	412,876	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	9,756	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	20,906	20,906	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Option exercise	19,933	39,868	Form 4
2026-03-01	Ely James S. III	director	Award / grant	52,023	52,023	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	9,756	228,127	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	20,906	249,033	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	19,933	268,966	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	9,756	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	20,906	20,906	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Option exercise	19,933	39,868	Form 4
2026-03-01	FRY JOHN A	director	Award / grant	52,023	52,023	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i