CXTCrane NXT, Co.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $47.33 · now $47.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CXT has typically landed between $41.06 and $54.35 — a range of −13.2% to +14.8% from the issuance price $47.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($47.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CXT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $47.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$41.06worst · -13.2%$54.35best · +14.8%
  • now $47.33 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $47.86 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $45.05–$50.66
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.06–$54.35
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−54.2%−54.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−53.1%−53.1%+0.0%
2008-09-30−51.6%−53.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+46.1%+0.0%+46.1%
2026-06-02+44.0%−0.9%+44.0%
2026-06-03+43.8%−0.1%+45.2%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+3.9%
n=20
Feb
65%
+0.4%
n=20
Mar
60%
+0.5%
n=20
Apr
65%
+2.8%
n=20
May
55%
+1.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Jul
65%
+2.1%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Sep
45%
−1.1%
n=20
Oct
55%
+0.2%
n=20
Nov
45%
+2.6%
n=20
Dec
50%
+1.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$68$362026-06-12: 2 insider purchases, $1.2M — Saak Aaron W, Cristiano Christina2026-06: 2 open-market purchases, $1.2M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Saak Aaron W — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Cristiano Christina — Purchase on 2026-06-12, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-12Saak Aaron WdirectorPurchase24,000 @ $42.13$1.0M+59.1% of holding+19.0%not yet — horizon still open64,595Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-12Cristiano ChristinaofficerPurchase3,550 @ $41.96$149K+31.9% of holding+19.0%not yet — horizon still open14,663Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-03Keayes SamuelofficerSale14,761 @ $54.00$797K−43.1% of holding−0.6%−10.7%19,496Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Igoe Paul GerardofficerPurchase12 @ $53.41$641+0.3% of holding−9.1%−0.6%3,913Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

215 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-21DINKINS MICHAELdirectorAward / grant19319,854Form 4
2026-05-21DINKINS MICHAELdirectorAward / grant4,11919,661Form 4
2026-05-21HAIME ELLEN MCCLAINdirectorAward / grant34333,546Form 4
2026-05-21Benck JeffdirectorAward / grant4,8374,837Form 4
2026-05-21TULLIS JAMES L LdirectorOption exercise4,6549,374Form 4
2026-05-21TULLIS JAMES L LdirectorAward / grant44837,074Form 4
2026-05-21TULLIS JAMES L LdirectorOption exercise4,65432,420Form 4
2026-05-21PETRATIS DAVID DdirectorAward / grant5,24315,465Form 4
2026-05-21PETRATIS DAVID DdirectorAward / grant13115,596Form 4
2026-05-21Stroup John SdirectorAward / grant7,36423,971Form 4
2026-05-21Stroup John SdirectorAward / grant21024,181Form 4
2026-05-21Grogan William KdirectorAward / grant6,36616,172Form 4
2026-05-21Grogan William KdirectorAward / grant12616,298Form 4
2026-05-21Kogl Cristen LdirectorAward / grant13314,690Form 4
2026-05-21Joyce SandradirectorAward / grant4,1199,624Form 4
2026-05-21Joyce SandradirectorAward / grant709,694Form 4
2026-05-21Kogl Cristen LdirectorAward / grant4,11914,557Form 4
2026-05-21HAIME ELLEN MCCLAINdirectorAward / grant4,56933,203Form 4
2026-05-03Keayes SamuelofficerWithheld for tax38323,447Form 4
2026-05-03Keayes SamuelofficerOption exercise81323,830Form 4
2026-05-03Keayes SamuelofficerOption exercise8138,536Form 4
2026-04-20Cristiano ChristinaofficerWithheld for tax1,68511,113Form 4
2026-04-20Shardelow Bianca B.officerWithheld for tax1824,226Form 4
2026-04-20Cristiano ChristinaofficerOption exercise3,30012,798Form 4
2026-04-20Shardelow Bianca B.officerOption exercise3554,408Form 4
2026-04-20Shardelow Bianca B.officerOption exercise3552,917Form 4
2026-04-20Cristiano ChristinaofficerOption exercise3,30015,206Form 4
2026-03-20Igoe Paul GerardofficerWithheld for tax1,43811,723Form 4
2026-03-20Igoe Paul GerardofficerOption exercise4,73913,161Form 4
2026-03-20Igoe Paul GerardofficerDisposition4,73913,007Form 4
2026-02-28Saak Aaron WdirectorWithheld for tax1,87640,595Form 4
2026-02-28Cristiano ChristinaofficerWithheld for tax5239,498Form 4
2026-02-28Igoe Paul GerardofficerWithheld for tax2628,422Form 4
2026-02-28Keayes SamuelofficerWithheld for tax22823,017Form 4
2026-02-28Shardelow Bianca B.officerWithheld for tax1114,053Form 4
2026-02-28Shardelow Bianca B.officerOption exercise2164,164Form 4
2026-02-28Igoe Paul GerardofficerOption exercise86217,746Form 4
2026-02-28Saak Aaron WdirectorOption exercise3,87942,471Form 4
2026-02-28Cristiano ChristinaofficerOption exercise1,02418,506Form 4
2026-02-28Keayes SamuelofficerOption exercise48523,245Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.