Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.59 · now $5.59 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CXM has typically landed between $4.40 and $6.71 — a range of −21.3% to +20.0% from the issuance price $5.59.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,293 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.59) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CXM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.59 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.59 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.54 (-0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.09–$5.99
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.4–$6.71
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,293 windows spanning 2021-06-23 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2021-12-28 | −35.5% | −35.5% | +0.2% |
| 2021-12-23 | −35.4% | −35.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-12-27 | −34.6% | −35.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-01-06 | +36.7% | +0.0% | +40.5% |
| 2023-01-03 | +35.1% | −3.8% | +35.1% |
| 2026-07-23 | +34.5% | +0.0% | +34.5% |
1,293 overlapping windows · 2021-06-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
60%
−3.3%
n=5
Feb
60%
+1.3%
n=5
Mar
40%
+2.9%
n=5
Apr
20%
−4.7%
n=5
May
60%
+4.6%
n=5
Jun
40%
−7.5%
n=5
Jul
83%
+6.6%
n=6
Aug
50%
+1.6%
n=6
Sep
17%
−12.6%
n=6
Oct
40%
+1.0%
n=5
Nov
40%
−2.5%
n=5
Dec
60%
−1.6%
n=5
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 71,585 @ $6.97 | $499K | −11.0% of holding | −21.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 576,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 2,724 @ $4.97 | $14K | −0.4% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 648,412 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-17 | Suri Karthik | officer | Sale | 41,852 @ $5.14 | $215K | −3.6% of holding | +15.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,111,472 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 143,654 @ $5.30 | $761K | −4.0% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,419,190 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Corso Joy | officer | Sale | 33,635 @ $5.30 | $178K | −2.8% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,175,616 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 29,180 @ $5.30 | $155K | −3.3% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 854,779 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Macwan Sanjay | officer | Sale | 27,277 @ $5.30 | $145K | −4.7% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 552,933 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Suri Karthik | officer | Sale | 23,507 @ $5.30 | $125K | −2.0% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,153,324 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 16,380 @ $5.30 | $87K | −2.5% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 651,136 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-16 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 6,086 @ $5.30 | $32K | −0.8% of holding | +11.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 740,710 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 45,127 @ $5.92 | $267K | −4.9% of holding | −10.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 883,959 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-24 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 41,667 @ $5.82 | $243K | −4.3% of holding | −24.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 929,086 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Corso Joy | officer | Sale | 49,484 @ $5.85 | $289K | −3.9% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 1,209,251 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 45,001 @ $5.85 | $263K | −1.2% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 3,562,844 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 34,189 @ $5.85 | $200K | −3.4% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 970,753 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Pattabhiraman Arun | officer | Sale | 32,500 @ $5.85 | $190K | −6.3% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 485,378 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 20,141 @ $5.85 | $118K | −2.9% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 664,792 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 16,668 @ $5.85 | $98K | −2.3% of holding | −10.7% | −15.4% | 695,681 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 87,795 @ $6.00 | $527K | −5.5% of holding | −4.4% | +3.0% | 1,506,270 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-05 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 78,043 @ $6.02 | $470K | −4.7% of holding | −1.3% | +0.6% | 1,594,065 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 1,054 @ $6.35 | $7K | −0.1% of holding | −8.0% | −8.0% | 712,349 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-14 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 138,505 @ $7.13 | $988K | −7.6% of holding | −21.6% | −26.4% | 1,672,108 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-14 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 21,665 @ $7.12 | $154K | −5.1% of holding | −21.6% | −26.4% | 404,723 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 68,673 @ $7.78 | $534K | −3.7% of holding | −17.9% | −46.7% | 1,810,613 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 24,952 @ $7.78 | $194K | −3.4% of holding | −17.9% | −46.7% | 712,349 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Pattabhiraman Arun | officer | Sale | 16,533 @ $7.78 | $129K | −3.1% of holding | −17.9% | −46.7% | 517,878 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 9,942 @ $7.78 | $77K | −2.3% of holding | −17.9% | −46.7% | 426,388 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 9,099 @ $7.78 | $71K | −1.5% of holding | −17.9% | −46.7% | 584,627 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Sale | 116,226 @ $7.86 | $914K | −32.6% of holding | −7.2% | −41.9% | 239,928 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Sale | 41,163 @ $7.80 | $321K | −23.5% of holding | −1.9% | −37.6% | 134,186 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | READ RORY P | director | Sale | 258,214 @ $7.48 | $1.9M | −12.1% of holding | +0.9% | −41.8% | 1,879,286 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 1,365 @ $7.69 | $10K | −0.2% of holding | −4.3% | −37.1% | 737,301 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-08 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 148,500 @ $7.61 | $1.1M | −100.0% of holding | −1.2% | −30.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-08 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $7.61 | $11K | −100.0% of holding | −1.2% | −30.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-07 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 133,650 @ $7.51 | $1.0M | −47.4% of holding | −1.1% | −28.1% | 148,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-07 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 1,350 @ $7.51 | $10K | −47.4% of holding | −1.1% | −28.1% | 1,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 88,584 @ $7.78 | $689K | −23.9% of holding | −3.4% | −28.3% | 282,150 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-06 | Agrawal Neeraj | director | Sale | 895 @ $7.78 | $7K | −23.9% of holding | −3.4% | −28.3% | 2,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Sarin Manish | officer | Sale | 37,008 @ $7.75 | $287K | −5.1% of holding | −3.5% | −24.4% | 695,413 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 28,916 @ $7.75 | $224K | −3.8% of holding | −3.5% | −24.4% | 737,301 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Pattabhiraman Arun | officer | Sale | 16,795 @ $7.75 | $130K | −3.0% of holding | −3.5% | −24.4% | 534,411 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 9,244 @ $7.75 | $72K | −1.5% of holding | −3.5% | −24.4% | 593,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 6,688 @ $7.75 | $52K | −1.5% of holding | −3.5% | −24.4% | 434,976 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 1,435 @ $9.36 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | −9.2% | −39.8% | 766,217 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-09 | Sarin Manish | officer | Sale | 174,749 @ $9.07 | $1.6M | −19.3% of holding | −8.5% | −26.0% | 732,421 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-08 | Sarin Manish | officer | Sale | 600 @ $9.00 | $5K | −0.1% of holding | −1.7% | −28.2% | 907,170 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Sarin Manish | officer | Sale | 24,468 @ $9.00 | $220K | −2.6% of holding | −2.2% | −29.1% | 907,770 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-07 | Harvey Scott Michael | officer | Sale | 21,422 @ $9.00 | $193K | −3.0% of holding | −2.2% | −29.1% | 681,910 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 3,000,000 @ $8.37 | $25.1M | −79.7% of holding | −0.6% | −20.2% | 766,217 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-27 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 3,000,000 @ $7.98 | $23.9M | −79.7% of holding | +10.6% | −18.9% | 766,217 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-26 | Harvey Scott Michael | officer | Sale | 121,057 @ $8.32 | $1.0M | −14.7% of holding | +6.6% | −21.7% | 703,332 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Scott Jacob | officer | Sale | 62,422 @ $7.99 | $499K | −12.4% of holding | +7.0% | −16.0% | 441,664 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 3,000,000 @ $7.94 | $23.8M | −75.5% of holding | +6.1% | −15.4% | 974,286 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-16 | Sarin Manish | officer | Sale | 35,744 @ $8.17 | $292K | −3.7% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 932,238 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Sale | 35,710 @ $8.17 | $292K | −5.6% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 602,970 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Thomas Ragy | director | Sale | 32,768 @ $8.17 | $268K | −3.3% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 974,286 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Ricci Marlise | officer | Sale | 18,706 @ $8.17 | $153K | −6.3% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 279,104 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Pattabhiraman Arun | officer | Sale | 16,222 @ $8.17 | $133K | −2.9% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 551,206 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Corso Joy | officer | Sale | 14,354 @ $8.17 | $117K | −1.8% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 803,394 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Harvey Scott Michael | officer | Sale | 13,964 @ $8.17 | $114K | −1.7% of holding | +5.2% | −19.7% | 824,389 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
115 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Ribas Jordi | director | Award / grant | 29,850 | 29,850 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Addis Thomas | officer | Award / grant | 810,372 | 810,372 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Haverty Kevin | director | Award / grant | 47,025 | 139,197 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Schloss Eileen | director | Award / grant | 41,821 | 178,637 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | WARD JR STEPHEN M | director | Award / grant | 51,021 | 87,088 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thomas Ragy | director | Award / grant | 51,115 | 746,796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hauser Jan | director | Award / grant | 48,326 | 85,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Corso Joy | officer | Award / grant | 455,341 | 1,258,735 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Macwan Sanjay | officer | Award / grant | 280,210 | 580,210 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Suri Karthik | officer | Award / grant | 455,341 | 1,174,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Coletta Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 476,357 | 966,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Misra Amitabh | officer | Award / grant | 420,315 | 1,004,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scott Jacob | officer | Award / grant | 280,210 | 684,933 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | READ RORY P | director | Award / grant | 2,101,575 | 3,607,845 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | Meyers Michele M | officer | Award / grant | 309,119 | 309,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,054 | 20,557,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,054 | 713,403 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,054 | 713,403 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Option exercise | 221,968 | 221,968 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 221,968 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Option exercise | 221,968 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 221,968 | 356,154 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-09 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 221,968 | 356,154 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Option exercise | 78,032 | 78,032 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Option exercise | 78,032 | 221,968 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 78,032 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 78,032 | 175,349 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-08 | Kanouff Yvette | director | Conversion | 78,032 | 175,349 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Coletta Anthony | officer | Award / grant | 490,195 | 490,195 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-15 | Suri Karthik | officer | Award / grant | 718,952 | 718,952 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,365 | 20,558,565 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,365 | 738,666 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,365 | 738,666 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-25 | Millard Scott Francis | officer | Award / grant | 725,709 | 725,709 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,435 | 20,559,930 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,435 | 767,652 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 1,435 | 767,652 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-15 | Macwan Sanjay | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 3,000,000 | 20,561,365 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-01 | Thomas Ragy | director | Conversion | 3,000,000 | 3,766,217 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.