Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.14 · now $11.14 (2026-09-11, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CXIIU has typically landed between $11.04 and $12.11 — a range of −0.9% to +8.7% from the issuance price $11.14.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
74 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-04-28 – 2026-08-12 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CXIIU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.14 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.26 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.06–$11.46
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.04–$12.11
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-07-06 | −1.4% | −2.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-08 | −0.9% | −1.7% | +0.4% |
| 2026-07-15 | −0.9% | −1.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-03 | +8.6% | −0.5% | +8.6% |
| 2026-06-16 | +8.4% | +0.0% | +8.8% |
| 2026-06-15 | +8.4% | +0.0% | +8.8% |
74 overlapping windows · 2026-04-28 – 2026-09-11 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Klein Michael Stuart | director | Purchase | 350,000 @ $10.00 | $3.5M | ownership Δ n/a | −5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 350,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.