CX · TickerCove

CXCEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.Basic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.16 · now $10.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CX has typically landed between $8.51 and $12.01 — a range of −16.3% to +18.2% from the issuance price $10.16.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$10.16 · 28% of range

$8.83 low$13.52 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 16.9%

−16.3%worst (p90)+18.2%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $10.16 (+0.0%)
typical $10.29 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $9.43–$11.14
90% range $8.51–$12.01

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−67.9%	−67.9%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−67.2%	−67.2%	+0.0%
2008-09-11	−64.7%	−64.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-21	+120.1%	+0.0%	+158.6%
2008-11-18	+107.3%	−13.6%	+123.4%
2008-11-19	+102.0%	−10.5%	+131.5%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

70%

+3.4%

n=20

Feb

45%

−2.5%

n=20

Mar

60%

+2.3%

n=20

Apr

55%

+2.4%

n=20

May

50%

+2.0%

n=20

Jun

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Jul

55%

+0.8%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.2%

n=20

Sep

20%

−4.4%

n=20

Oct

45%

−3.7%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.6%

n=20

Dec

70%

+4.2%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	Elizondo de la Garza Oscar Balmore	officer	Sale	212,680 @ $10.68	$2.3M	−42.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	289,490	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28	Gonzalez Herrera Jesus Vicente	officer	Sale	35,000 @ $12.16	$426K	−4.0% of holding	+1.7%	not yet — horizon still open	846,010	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	Zambrano Lozano Rogelio	director	Withheld for tax	640,030	50,316,801	Form 4
2026-08-14	Al Haffar Maher	officer	Withheld for tax	203,360	6,058,120	Form 4
2026-08-14	Gonzalez Herrera Jesus Vicente	officer	Withheld for tax	172,680	9,819,060	Form 4
2026-08-14	Echavez Hernandez Luis	officer	Withheld for tax	144,800	7,914,518	Form 4
2026-08-14	Naya Barba Ricardo	officer	Withheld for tax	133,970	3,437,390	Form 4
2026-08-14	Muguiro Dominguez Jaime	officer	Withheld for tax	133,760	6,187,850	Form 4
2026-08-14	Gonzalez Flores Jose Antonio	officer	Withheld for tax	132,460	3,161,800	Form 4
2026-08-14	Menendez Sergio Mauricio	officer	Withheld for tax	130,420	3,979,960	Form 4
2026-08-14	Ramirez Cantu Alejandro Alberto	officer	Withheld for tax	97,900	1,656,000	Form 4
2026-08-14	Rodriguez Louisa	officer	Withheld for tax	96,640	1,284,420	Form 4
2026-08-14	Doehner Cobian Mauricio	director	Withheld for tax	80,560	1,512,830	Form 4
2026-08-14	Saldana Madero Roger	officer	Withheld for tax	67,590	1,055,180	Form 4
2026-08-14	Cabrera Guerra Jose Antonio	officer	Withheld for tax	46,570	1,302,780	Form 4
2026-08-14	Elizondo de la Garza Oscar Balmore	officer	Withheld for tax	40,790	502,170	Form 4
2026-08-14	Saldana Madero Roger	officer	Award / grant	193,070	1,122,770	Form 4
2026-08-14	Muguiro Dominguez Jaime	officer	Award / grant	382,140	6,321,610	Form 4
2026-08-14	Menendez Sergio Mauricio	officer	Award / grant	372,610	4,110,380	Form 4
2026-08-14	Gonzalez Herrera Jesus Vicente	officer	Award / grant	438,810	9,991,740	Form 4
2026-08-14	Al Haffar Maher	officer	Award / grant	394,460	6,261,480	Form 4
2026-08-14	Rodriguez Louisa	officer	Award / grant	216,900	1,381,060	Form 4
2026-08-14	Gonzalez Flores Jose Antonio	officer	Award / grant	378,440	3,294,260	Form 4
2026-08-14	Echavez Hernandez Luis	officer	Award / grant	413,680	8,059,318	Form 4
2026-08-14	Zambrano Lozano Rogelio	director	Award / grant	1,828,640	50,956,831	Form 4
2026-08-14	Ramirez Cantu Alejandro Alberto	officer	Award / grant	265,150	1,753,900	Form 4
2026-08-14	Cabrera Guerra Jose Antonio	officer	Award / grant	99,070	1,349,350	Form 4
2026-08-14	Doehner Cobian Mauricio	director	Award / grant	230,170	1,593,390	Form 4
2026-08-14	Elizondo de la Garza Oscar Balmore	officer	Award / grant	116,520	542,960	Form 4
2026-08-14	Naya Barba Ricardo	officer	Award / grant	382,730	3,571,360	Form 4
2026-07-01	Martinez Merla Jaime	officer	Award / grant	7,650	117,020	Form 4
2026-06-15	Echavez Hernandez Luis	officer	Withheld for tax	35,694	301,511	Form 4
2026-06-15	Gonzalez Herrera Jesus Vicente	officer	Withheld for tax	35,115	884,453	Form 4
2026-06-15	Menendez Sergio Mauricio	officer	Withheld for tax	33,326	209,136	Form 4
2026-06-15	Naya Barba Ricardo	officer	Withheld for tax	32,178	110,666	Form 4
2026-06-15	Rodriguez Louisa	officer	Withheld for tax	17,887	84,435	Form 4
2026-06-15	Doehner Cobian Mauricio	director	Withheld for tax	16,024	100,125	Form 4
2026-06-15	Ramirez Cantu Alejandro Alberto	officer	Withheld for tax	15,884	118,386	Form 4
2026-06-15	Elizondo de la Garza Oscar Balmore	officer	Withheld for tax	7,687	25,584	Form 4
2026-06-15	Cabrera Guerra Jose Antonio	officer	Withheld for tax	5,365	112,409	Form 4
2026-06-15	Cabrera Guerra Jose Antonio	officer	Award / grant	12,619	125,028	Form 4
2026-06-15	Rodriguez Louisa	officer	Award / grant	31,981	116,416	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i