CWTCalifornia Water Service GroupUtilities · Regulated Wateras of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.05 · now $48.05 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CWT has typically landed between $43.22 and $52.89 — a range of −10.0% to +10.1% from the issuance price $48.05.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.05) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CWT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.05 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.22worst · -10.0%$52.89best · +10.1%
  • now $48.05 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $47.95 (-0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $45.92–$49.97
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.22–$52.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−25.4%−25.4%+0.0%
2020-02-13−23.4%−23.4%+1.6%
2008-09-25−21.3%−23.0%+0.0%
3 best
2008-10-27+40.2%+0.0%+40.2%
2008-10-24+31.2%−5.2%+31.3%
2008-10-28+30.9%+0.0%+30.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.2%
n=20
Feb
55%
−0.1%
n=20
Mar
70%
+2.0%
n=20
Apr
50%
−1.3%
n=20
May
45%
−0.6%
n=20
Jun
50%
+1.3%
n=20
Jul
55%
+3.0%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Sep
40%
−1.3%
n=20
Oct
65%
+3.6%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
+0.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$52$412026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $25K — Snow Lester A2026-08-13: 1 insider sale, $186K — Krummel Thomas M2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $48K — Snow Lester A2026-05-21: 1 insider sale, $160K — Krummel Thomas M2026-03-20: 2 insider sales, $204K — Mares Michael S JR, Luu Michael B2025-12-23: 1 insider sale, $40K — Mortensen Michelle R2025-12-10: 1 insider purchase, $24K — Lynch James Patrick2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $24K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $40K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $204K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $209K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $186K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $25K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Snow Lester A — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same daydirector Krummel Thomas M — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Snow Lester A — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed same daydirector Krummel Thomas M — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed same dayofficer Mares Michael S JR — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Luu Michael B — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Mortensen Michelle R — Sale on 2025-12-23, filed same dayofficer Lynch James Patrick — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Snow Lester AdirectorSale500 @ $50.21$25K−2.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open17,817Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-13Krummel Thomas MdirectorSale3,700 @ $50.37$186K−15.5% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open20,104Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Snow Lester AdirectorSale1,100 @ $44.00$48K−5.7% of holding+14.0%not yet — horizon still open18,316Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-21Krummel Thomas MdirectorSale3,700 @ $43.30$160K−13.5% of holding+8.1%not yet — horizon still open23,805Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-20Mares Michael S JRofficerSale3,892 @ $44.00$171K−31.3% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open8,525Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Luu Michael BofficerSale740 @ $44.53$33K−3.0% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open23,655Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-23Mortensen Michelle RofficerSale924 @ $43.34$40K−7.4% of holding+2.7%+9.2%11,512Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10Lynch James PatrickofficerPurchase550 @ $42.80$24K+13.5% of holding+2.7%−0.4%4,619Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-12Snow Lester AdirectorSale1,200 @ $46.51$56K−4.4% of holding−5.9%−20.9%26,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-05KROPELNICKI MARTIN AofficerWithheld for tax493147,287Form 4
2026-09-05Mortensen Michelle RofficerWithheld for tax7312,807Form 4
2026-09-05Dean Shannon CofficerWithheld for tax7223,613Form 4
2026-09-05Bunting Shawn CofficerWithheld for tax694,574Form 4
2026-09-05Luu Michael BofficerWithheld for tax6823,744Form 4
2026-09-05Mares Michael S JRofficerWithheld for tax678,252Form 4
2026-09-05Ouyang Elissa YofficerWithheld for tax6614,805Form 4
2026-09-05James Sophie MarwiehofficerWithheld for tax508,287Form 4
2026-09-05Lynch James PatrickofficerWithheld for tax486,486Form 4
2026-09-05Peters Todd KennethofficerWithheld for tax408,259Form 4
2026-09-05Jenkins Kenneth GofficerWithheld for tax385,126Form 4
2026-09-05Scanlon Thomas AofficerWithheld for tax305,690Form 4
2026-09-04KROPELNICKI MARTIN AofficerWithheld for tax505147,780Form 4
2026-09-04Dean Shannon CofficerWithheld for tax7523,685Form 4
2026-09-04Mortensen Michelle RofficerWithheld for tax7512,880Form 4
2026-09-04Bunting Shawn CofficerWithheld for tax714,643Form 4
2026-09-04Luu Michael BofficerWithheld for tax7023,812Form 4
2026-09-04Mares Michael S JRofficerWithheld for tax698,319Form 4
2026-09-04Ouyang Elissa YofficerWithheld for tax6814,871Form 4
2026-09-04Jenkins Kenneth GofficerWithheld for tax645,164Form 4
2026-09-04James Sophie MarwiehofficerWithheld for tax518,337Form 4
2026-09-04Lynch James PatrickofficerWithheld for tax506,534Form 4
2026-09-04HAMNER KRISTAN AofficerWithheld for tax422,979Form 4
2026-09-04Peters Todd KennethofficerWithheld for tax418,299Form 4
2026-09-04Scanlon Thomas AofficerWithheld for tax305,720Form 4
2026-08-04Shimansky Gregory DaleofficerAward / grant4461,311Form 4
2026-06-05KROPELNICKI MARTIN AofficerWithheld for tax493148,285Form 4
2026-06-05Mortensen Michelle RofficerWithheld for tax7312,954Form 4
2026-06-05Dean Shannon CofficerWithheld for tax7323,742Form 4
2026-06-05Bunting Shawn CofficerWithheld for tax694,714Form 4
2026-06-05Luu Michael BofficerWithheld for tax6923,807Form 4
2026-06-05Mares Michael S JRofficerWithheld for tax688,388Form 4
2026-06-05Milleman Greg AofficerWithheld for tax6613,708Form 4
2026-06-05Ouyang Elissa YofficerWithheld for tax6614,939Form 4
2026-06-05James Sophie MarwiehofficerWithheld for tax508,321Form 4
2026-06-05Lynch James PatrickofficerWithheld for tax496,583Form 4
2026-06-05Peters Todd KennethofficerWithheld for tax408,340Form 4
2026-06-05Jenkins Kenneth GofficerWithheld for tax385,228Form 4
2026-06-05Scanlon Thomas AofficerWithheld for tax305,723Form 4
2026-06-04KROPELNICKI MARTIN AofficerWithheld for tax504148,778Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.