Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.54 · now $12.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CWK has typically landed between $10.02 and $15.18 — a range of −20.1% to +21.0% from the issuance price $12.54.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,020 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-08-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CWK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $12.54 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.56 (+0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.54–$13.57
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.02–$15.18
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −58.3% | −58.3% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-21 | −48.6% | −57.7% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −48.1% | −57.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-10-28 | +40.6% | +0.0% | +44.9% |
| 2025-04-10 | +37.7% | −1.1% | +37.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | +37.2% | −4.7% | +38.0% |
2,020 overlapping windows · 2018-08-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Robinson Nathaniel | officer | Sale | 12,500 @ $13.39 | $167K | −17.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 58,376 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Sayed Laurida | officer | Sale | 16,000 @ $13.88 | $222K | −74.6% of holding | −9.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,461 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-04 | Robinson Nathaniel | officer | Sale | 24,828 @ $13.25 | $329K | −25.9% of holding | +5.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,876 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Robinson Nathaniel | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $13.52 | $135K | −9.5% of holding | −1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 95,704 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Robinson Nathaniel | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $13.50 | $135K | −8.6% of holding | −3.2% | −12.5% | 105,704 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Sun Angela | director | Sale | 6,800 @ $16.02 | $109K | −12.8% of holding | −10.1% | −28.4% | 46,498 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
193 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Daimler Susan | director | Option exercise | 11,873 | 11,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Wennes Timothy H | director | Option exercise | 11,873 | 11,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Wennes Timothy H | director | Option exercise | 11,873 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | Daimler Susan | director | Option exercise | 11,873 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MACKAY MICHELLE | director | Withheld for tax | 73,706 | 485,838 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perkins Noelle J | officer | Withheld for tax | 72,299 | 181,884 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCDONALD ANDREW R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 29,063 | 483,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MACKAY MICHELLE | director | Withheld for tax | 13,803 | 426,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perkins Noelle J | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,540 | 90,980 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCDONALD ANDREW R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,443 | 455,623 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCDONALD ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 57,120 | 512,743 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perkins Noelle J | officer | Option exercise | 163,203 | 254,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perkins Noelle J | officer | Option exercise | 30,563 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCDONALD ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 10,697 | 461,066 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Perkins Noelle J | officer | Option exercise | 30,563 | 104,520 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCDONALD ANDREW R. | officer | Option exercise | 10,697 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MACKAY MICHELLE | director | Option exercise | 24,960 | 440,064 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MACKAY MICHELLE | director | Option exercise | 133,283 | 559,544 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MACKAY MICHELLE | director | Option exercise | 24,960 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FELMAN MICHELLE | director | Gift | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | FELMAN MICHELLE | director | Gift | 17,013 | 44,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vennam Rajesh | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sun Angela | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McPeek Jennifer J | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | FELMAN MICHELLE | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Williamson Billie Ida | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McLean Jodie W. | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Williamson Billie Ida | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 106,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Williamson Billie Ida | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 106,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McLean Jodie W. | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 88,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McPeek Jennifer J | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 35,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Sun Angela | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 63,511 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McPeek Jennifer J | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 35,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vennam Rajesh | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 35,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | McLean Jodie W. | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 88,836 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | FELMAN MICHELLE | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 17,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vennam Rajesh | director | Option exercise | 17,013 | 35,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | McLean Jodie W. | director | Award / grant | 14,041 | 14,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Daimler Susan | director | Award / grant | 14,041 | 14,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | PLAVIN STEPHEN D | director | Award / grant | 21,841 | 21,841 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.