CWHCamping World Holdings, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealershipsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.56 · now $5.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CWH has typically landed between $4.30 and $6.91 — a range of −22.7% to +24.3% from the issuance price $5.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,477 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-10-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CWH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.3worst · -22.7%$6.91best · +24.3%
  • now $5.56 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.42 (-2.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.83–$6
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.3–$6.91
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,477 windows spanning 2016-10-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-19−75.3%−75.4%+2.3%
2020-02-18−75.1%−75.1%+3.5%
2020-02-20−73.5%−76.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-24+185.6%+0.0%+185.6%
2020-05-01+180.0%+0.0%+181.0%
2020-04-22+173.5%−1.2%+173.5%

2,477 overlapping windows · 2016-10-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+9.3%
n=10
Feb
20%
−8.7%
n=10
Mar
30%
−10.4%
n=10
Apr
50%
+3.4%
n=10
May
50%
+11.5%
n=10
Jun
70%
+8.4%
n=10
Jul
50%
+3.9%
n=10
Aug
50%
−3.1%
n=10
Sep
50%
−0.8%
n=10
Oct
33%
−7.5%
n=9
Nov
80%
+13.8%
n=10
Dec
30%
−3.7%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$18$6↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-03-04Wagner Matthew DdirectorPurchase5,725 @ $17.61$101K+1.9% of holding−3.7%−14.4%300,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

35 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-15Christen LindseyofficerWithheld for tax13,289180,367Form 4
2026-08-15Kirn Thomas EofficerWithheld for tax11,075158,883Form 4
2026-08-15Wagner Matthew DdirectorWithheld for tax8,860732,305Form 4
2026-05-21BALTINS ANDRIS AdirectorAward / grant20,325124,238Form 4
2026-05-21Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.directorAward / grant20,3251,951,221Form 4
2026-05-21George Mary JdirectorAward / grant20,32579,247Form 4
2026-05-21Moody Brent L.directorAward / grant20,325429,958Form 4
2026-05-21MALONE MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant20,32573,209Form 4
2026-05-21LANE KATHY SdirectorAward / grant20,32537,638Form 4
2026-05-21SCHICKLI KENT DILLONdirectorAward / grant20,325109,012Form 4
2026-04-07Kirn Thomas EofficerAward / grant20,000169,958Form 4
2026-04-07Christen LindseyofficerAward / grant25,000193,656Form 4
2026-02-15Wagner Matthew DdirectorWithheld for tax4,541741,165Form 4
2026-01-01Moody Brent L.directorAward / grant59,518409,633Form 4
2026-01-01Wagner Matthew DdirectorAward / grant465,000745,706Form 4
2025-12-15LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorWithheld for tax242,9431,401,016Form 4
2025-12-12LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorAward / grant217,3911,643,959Form 4
2025-11-15LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorWithheld for tax78,7001,426,568Form 4
2025-11-15Wagner Matthew DdirectorWithheld for tax4,429280,706Form 4
2025-11-15Christen LindseyofficerWithheld for tax1,772168,656Form 4
2025-11-15Kirn Thomas EofficerWithheld for tax1,772149,958Form 4
2025-08-15Wagner Matthew DdirectorWithheld for tax15,505285,135Form 4
2025-08-15Christen LindseyofficerWithheld for tax15,505170,428Form 4
2025-08-15Kirn Thomas EofficerWithheld for tax13,733151,730Form 4
2025-05-15MALONE MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant9,65052,884Form 4
2025-05-15Crestview Partners II GP, L.P.directorAward / grant9,6501,930,896Form 4
2025-05-15George Mary JdirectorAward / grant9,65058,922Form 4
2025-05-15LANE KATHY SdirectorAward / grant9,65017,313Form 4
2025-05-15Moody Brent L.directorAward / grant16,083350,115Form 4
2025-05-15BALTINS ANDRIS AdirectorAward / grant9,650103,913Form 4
2025-05-15SCHICKLI KENT DILLONdirectorAward / grant9,65088,687Form 4
2025-02-15Wagner Matthew DdirectorWithheld for tax4,614294,915Form 4
2025-01-26LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorAward / grant600,000755,268Form 4
2025-01-26LEMONIS MARCUSdirectorAward / grant750,0001,505,268Form 4
2024-12-31Moody Brent L.directorWithheld for tax16,723334,032Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.