CWEN · TickerCove

CWENClearway Energy, Inc.Utilities · Renewable Utilitiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $29.98 · now $29.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CWEN has typically landed between $26.39 and $34.35 — a range of −12.0% to +14.6% from the issuance price $29.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,291 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-07-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($29.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$29.98 · 21% of range

$26.91 low$41.26 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.0%

typical move · IQR 12.2%

−12.0%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CWEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $29.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $29.98 (+0.0%)
typical $29.99 (+0.0%)
middle 50% $28.17–$31.82
90% range $26.39–$34.35

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,291 windows spanning 2013-07-17 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2015-08-28	−29.8%	−29.8%	+0.0%
2015-07-08	−29.2%	−29.2%	+0.7%
2015-07-13	−28.8%	−29.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2016-02-11	+35.0%	+0.0%	+37.9%
2020-09-10	+33.2%	+0.0%	+33.3%
2020-09-09	+30.6%	−2.0%	+30.6%

3,291 overlapping windows · 2013-07-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

38%

−0.5%

n=13

Feb

54%

−1.9%

n=13

Mar

77%

+3.3%

n=13

Apr

62%

+1.4%

n=13

May

69%

+4.4%

n=13

Jun

38%

−1.2%

n=13

Jul

77%

+3.2%

n=13

Aug

50%

+0.1%

n=14

Sep

43%

−4.0%

n=14

Oct

69%

+5.8%

n=13

Nov

77%

+4.3%

n=13

Dec

46%

−0.1%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

300 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Brown Michael August	officer	Award / grant	335	22,629	Form 4
2026-09-01	Rubenstein Sarah	officer	Award / grant	860	52,999	Form 4
2026-09-01	Cornelius Craig	director	Award / grant	4,277	362,364	Form 4
2026-09-01	ONEAL E STANLEY	director	Award / grant	1,209	91,467	Form 4
2026-09-01	More Daniel B.	director	Award / grant	1,056	71,154	Form 4
2026-09-01	Lowry Jennifer Elaine	director	Award / grant	371	25,840	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ford Brian R.	director	Award / grant	1,560	105,123	Form 4
2026-09-01	Cornelius Craig	director	Award / grant	4,277	362,364	Form 4
2026-09-01	Rubenstein Sarah	officer	Award / grant	860	52,999	Form 4
2026-09-01	Brown Michael August	officer	Award / grant	335	22,629	Form 4
2026-09-01	Lowry Jennifer Elaine	director	Award / grant	371	25,840	Form 4
2026-09-01	More Daniel B.	director	Award / grant	1,056	71,154	Form 4
2026-09-01	ONEAL E STANLEY	director	Award / grant	1,209	91,467	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ford Brian R.	director	Award / grant	1,560	105,123	Form 4
2026-09-01	ONEAL E STANLEY	director	Award / grant	1,209	91,467	Form 4
2026-09-01	Brown Michael August	officer	Award / grant	335	22,629	Form 4
2026-09-01	More Daniel B.	director	Award / grant	1,056	71,154	Form 4
2026-09-01	Lowry Jennifer Elaine	director	Award / grant	371	25,840	Form 4
2026-09-01	Lowry Jennifer Elaine	director	Award / grant	371	25,840	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ford Brian R.	director	Award / grant	1,560	105,123	Form 4
2026-09-01	Cornelius Craig	director	Award / grant	4,277	362,364	Form 4
2026-09-01	Brown Michael August	officer	Award / grant	335	22,629	Form 4
2026-09-01	Cornelius Craig	director	Award / grant	4,277	362,364	Form 4
2026-09-01	Rubenstein Sarah	officer	Award / grant	860	52,999	Form 4
2026-09-01	More Daniel B.	director	Award / grant	1,056	71,154	Form 4
2026-09-01	Ford Brian R.	director	Award / grant	1,560	105,123	Form 4
2026-09-01	ONEAL E STANLEY	director	Award / grant	1,209	91,467	Form 4
2026-09-01	Rubenstein Sarah	officer	Award / grant	860	52,999	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	BlackRock Portfolio Management LLC	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	BlackRock Portfolio Management LLC	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	BlackRock Portfolio Management LLC	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	BlackRock Portfolio Management LLC	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4
2026-08-07	TotalEnergies SE	director	Other acquisition	1,646	78,938	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i