Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.02 · now $3.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CVRX has typically landed between $1.96 and $4.23 — a range of −35.1% to +40.2% from the issuance price $3.02.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,288 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CVRX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.02 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.96 (-2.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.5–$3.42
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.96–$4.23
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-04-11 | −59.8% | −59.8% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-09 | −59.4% | −59.4% | +0.0% |
| 2024-04-10 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-10-10 | +123.3% | +0.0% | +123.3% |
| 2024-10-11 | +111.6% | +0.0% | +111.6% |
| 2024-10-09 | +103.4% | −8.9% | +103.4% |
1,288 overlapping windows · 2021-06-30 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Purchase | 26,223 @ $2.91 | $76K | +86.6% of holding | +4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,514 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Sale | 1,309 @ $2.55 | $3K | −4.1% of holding | +6.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,291 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Hykes Kevin | director | Sale | 7,763 @ $7.90 | $61K | −2.7% of holding | +20.1% | −76.3% | 284,237 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | John Robert Allen | officer | Sale | 3,964 @ $7.90 | $31K | −4.4% of holding | +20.1% | −76.3% | 86,036 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | OASHEIM JARED | officer | Sale | 1,744 @ $7.90 | $14K | −1.8% of holding | +20.1% | −76.3% | 96,703 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | VERRASTRO PAUL | officer | Sale | 1,284 @ $7.90 | $10K | −2.1% of holding | +20.1% | −76.3% | 60,551 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Adamson Philip B. | officer | Sale | 1,262 @ $7.90 | $10K | −2.0% of holding | +20.1% | −76.3% | 61,578 | Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Purchase | 46,800 @ $6.36 | $298K | +5.0% of holding | +42.5% | −65.2% | 980,183 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Purchase | 600 @ $4.64 | $3K | +11.9% of holding | +81.8% | −54.5% | 5,650 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-26 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 6,337 @ $10.03 | $64K | −0.2% of holding | −28.1% | −57.0% | 4,040,861 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-24 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,200 @ $10.06 | $22K | −0.1% of holding | −25.5% | −56.3% | 4,047,198 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 500 @ $10.00 | $5K | −0.0% of holding | −27.4% | −55.8% | 4,049,398 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,000 @ $10.00 | $10K | −0.0% of holding | −11.0% | −45.9% | 4,049,898 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200 @ $10.00 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −15.2% | −56.4% | 4,050,898 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | JOHNSON & JOHNSON | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 52,332 @ $10.21 | $534K | −1.3% of holding | −12.3% | −42.1% | 4,051,098 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Purchase | 10,966 @ $5.45 | $60K | +0.6% of holding | −7.1% | +29.5% | 1,910,134 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Purchase | 61,200 @ $5.23 | $320K | +3.3% of holding | +9.2% | +63.0% | 1,899,168 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-13 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Purchase | 101,413 @ $5.29 | $536K | +5.8% of holding | +6.1% | +63.8% | 1,837,968 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Purchase | 150 @ $5.26 | $789 | +3.1% of holding | +6.1% | +63.8% | 5,050 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Purchase | 25,200 @ $4.79 | $121K | +1.5% of holding | +36.0% | +86.0% | 1,736,555 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | Hykes Kevin | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $4.84 | $24K | +3.9% of holding | +36.0% | +86.0% | 133,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-12 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $4.66 | $7K | +44.1% of holding | +36.0% | +86.0% | 4,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
46 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | DALE MICHAEL D | director | Award / grant | 36,252 | 36,252 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SLATTERY JOSEPH P | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 39,365 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hill, Mitch C. | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 8,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hill, Mitch C. | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SHADAN MARTHA | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 8,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SHADAN MARTHA | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ballinger Kevin J. | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 8,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Ballinger Kevin J. | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | DALE MICHAEL D | director | Award / grant | 29,005 | 29,005 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SLATTERY JOSEPH P | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 8,720 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Award / grant | 8,720 | 14,370 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Award / grant | 11,182 | 11,182 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Morrison Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 154,500 | 154,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Morrison Gregory | officer | Award / grant | 34,000 | 34,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Hykes Kevin | director | Award / grant | 159,000 | 292,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Adamson Philip B. | officer | Award / grant | 41,000 | 62,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Adamson Philip B. | officer | Award / grant | 62,000 | 62,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | VERRASTRO PAUL | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 61,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | VERRASTRO PAUL | officer | Award / grant | 67,000 | 67,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | OASHEIM JARED | officer | Award / grant | 61,000 | 98,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | OASHEIM JARED | officer | Award / grant | 91,000 | 91,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Hykes Kevin | director | Award / grant | 238,000 | 238,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | John Robert Allen | officer | Award / grant | 35,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | John Robert Allen | officer | Award / grant | 52,000 | 52,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 31,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Award / grant | 23,000 | 23,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Award / grant | 16,600 | 16,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Binkowski Brent | officer | Award / grant | 74,900 | 74,900 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Nielsen Kirk G. | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Hill, Mitch C. | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | SHADAN MARTHA | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | SLATTERY JOSEPH P | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Ballinger Kevin J. | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-03 | Jain Mudit K. | director | Award / grant | 19,554 | 19,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | OASHEIM JARED | officer | Award / grant | 22,000 | 37,447 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | OASHEIM JARED | officer | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | VERRASTRO PAUL | officer | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,835 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-28 | VERRASTRO PAUL | officer | Award / grant | 24,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.