CVEOCiveo CorporationIndustrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.62 · now $33.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CVEO has typically landed between $29.29 and $39.17 — a range of −12.9% to +16.5% from the issuance price $33.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,080 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-05-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CVEO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$29.29worst · -12.9%$39.17best · +16.5%
  • now $33.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $34.14 (+1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $32–$36.29
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.29–$39.17
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,080 windows spanning 2014-05-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−72.6%−72.6%+0.0%
2020-02-18−71.1%−71.1%+0.7%
2020-02-21−70.9%−72.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-13+115.2%−0.4%+129.8%
2020-10-27+109.9%+0.0%+109.9%
2020-10-26+105.0%+0.0%+105.0%

3,080 overlapping windows · 2014-05-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+12.6%
n=12
Feb
58%
+2.9%
n=12
Mar
42%
−9.2%
n=12
Apr
50%
+12.1%
n=12
May
58%
−1.4%
n=12
Jun
69%
+4.5%
n=13
Jul
54%
+0.1%
n=13
Aug
54%
−1.0%
n=13
Sep
31%
−6.3%
n=13
Oct
42%
−2.9%
n=12
Nov
42%
+6.6%
n=12
Dec
50%
−1.8%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$36$202026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $115K — McCann Peter2026-02-18: 3 insider sales, $266K — Engine Capital Management, LP …2026-02-13: 3 insider sales, $12.0M — Engine Capital Management, LP …2026-02: 6 open-market sales, $12.3M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $115K↑ buys↓ salesofficer McCann Peter — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed same daytenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed same daytenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed same daytenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed same daytenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Engine Capital Management, LP — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-06McCann PeterofficerSale4,000 @ $28.64$115K−7.3% of holding−5.0%+2.4%50,942Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale7,730 @ $29.03$224K−1.0% of holding+0.4%+4.9%768,827Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale781 @ $29.03$23K−1.0% of holding+0.4%+4.9%77,642Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale658 @ $29.03$19K−1.0% of holding+0.4%+4.9%65,461Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-13Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale335,394 @ $28.80$9.7M−30.2% of holding+0.7%+3.6%776,557Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale46,109 @ $28.80$1.3M−41.1% of holding+0.7%+3.6%66,119Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-02-13Engine Capital Management, LPtenPercentOwnerSale35,512 @ $28.80$1.0M−31.2% of holding+0.7%+3.6%78,423Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

139 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerDisposition6,6570Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,65717,237Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-08-19Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise6,6576,657Form 4
2026-05-27Wall Timothy OdirectorAward / grant3,62421,813Form 4
2026-05-27Silvers Daniel B.directorAward / grant3,6243,624Form 4
2026-05-27Scofield JeffreydirectorAward / grant3,6249,242Form 4
2026-05-27NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorAward / grant1,23271,559Form 4
2026-05-27BLANKENSHIP C RONALDdirectorAward / grant3,62454,446Form 4
2026-05-27LAMBERT MARTINdirectorAward / grant3,62440,060Form 4
2026-05-27MOORE CONSTANCE BdirectorAward / grant3,62449,983Form 4
2026-05-27NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorAward / grant3,62470,327Form 4
2026-05-27Montelongo MichaeldirectorAward / grant3,62425,522Form 4
2026-03-05Dodson Bradley JdirectorAward / grant25,98264,000Form 4
2026-03-05McCann PeterofficerAward / grant5,43312,635Form 4
2026-03-05Fraser AndrewofficerAward / grant5,67123,894Form 4
2026-03-05Gerry Elbridge CollinofficerAward / grant6,51517,597Form 4
2026-03-05Brewer BarclayofficerAward / grant6,27314,959Form 4
2026-03-03Dodson Bradley JdirectorDisposition11,862261,466Form 4
2026-03-03Brewer BarclayofficerDisposition2,8649,521Form 4
2026-03-03Gerry Elbridge CollinofficerDisposition2,6913,267Form 4
2026-03-03Fraser AndrewofficerDisposition2,4540Form 4
2026-03-03McCann PeterofficerDisposition2,20954,942Form 4
2026-03-03Gerry Elbridge CollinofficerOption exercise2,69111,082Form 4
2026-03-03Dodson Bradley JdirectorOption exercise11,86238,018Form 4
2026-03-03Gerry Elbridge CollinofficerOption exercise2,6915,958Form 4
2026-03-03Brewer BarclayofficerOption exercise2,8648,686Form 4
2026-03-03Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise2,45418,223Form 4
2026-03-03McCann PeterofficerOption exercise2,20957,151Form 4
2026-03-03Brewer BarclayofficerOption exercise2,86412,385Form 4
2026-03-03McCann PeterofficerOption exercise2,2097,202Form 4
2026-03-03Dodson Bradley JdirectorOption exercise11,862273,328Form 4
2026-03-03Fraser AndrewofficerOption exercise2,4542,454Form 4
2026-03-02Dodson Bradley JdirectorDisposition14,292261,466Form 4
2026-03-02Gerry Elbridge CollinofficerDisposition5,6993,267Form 4
2026-03-02Brewer BarclayofficerDisposition2,9579,521Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.