CVBFCVB Financial Corp.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.72 · now $22.72 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CVBF has typically landed between $20.13 and $26.10 — a range of −11.4% to +14.9% from the issuance price $22.72.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.72) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CVBF has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.72 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$20.13worst · -11.4%$26.1best · +14.9%
  • now $22.72 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $22.89 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $21.69–$24.09
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.13–$26.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−38.9%−38.9%+7.7%
2009-02-09−35.8%−43.2%+0.0%
2009-02-04−35.6%−35.6%+10.7%
3 best
2009-07-10+58.0%+0.0%+58.0%
2009-07-09+55.1%−0.3%+55.1%
2008-07-14+48.6%−3.0%+50.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−2.2%
n=20
Feb
50%
−1.2%
n=20
Mar
60%
+1.0%
n=20
Apr
40%
−0.3%
n=20
May
50%
−1.7%
n=20
Jun
60%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
70%
+5.8%
n=20
Aug
40%
−2.0%
n=20
Sep
45%
+1.3%
n=20
Oct
55%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
60%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
60%
+1.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$182026-08-31: 1 insider purchase, $220K — Maddox Mike2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $918K — Harvey David C2026-07-28: 1 insider purchase, $455K — O Brien Raymond V III2026-05-22: 1 insider purchase, $1000K — Borba George A Jr2026-05-19: 1 insider purchase, $500K — Borba George A Jr2026-05-14: 1 insider purchase, $500K — Borba George A Jr2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $1000K — Borba George A Jr2025-11-14: 1 insider purchase, $500K — Borba George A Jr2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $224K — Kan Anna2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $23K — Olvera Jane2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $1000K2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $23K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $224K2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $500K2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $3.0M2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $455K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $220K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $918K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Maddox Mike — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed same dayofficer Harvey David C — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed same daydirector O Brien Raymond V III — Purchase on 2026-07-28, filed same daydirector Borba George A Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-22, filed same daydirector Borba George A Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-19, filed same daydirector Borba George A Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Borba George A Jr — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed same daydirector Borba George A Jr — Purchase on 2025-11-14, filed same daydirector Kan Anna — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Olvera Jane — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Maddox MikedirectorPurchase10,000 @ $22.03$220K+318.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,138Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-05Harvey David CofficerSale40,000 @ $22.94$918K−29.0% of holding−2.2%not yet — horizon still open98,149Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-28O Brien Raymond V IIIdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $22.77$455K+30.4% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open85,780Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-22Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase48,894 @ $20.45$1000K+5.8% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open895,202Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-19Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase25,187 @ $19.85$500K+3.1% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open846,308Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase25,097 @ $19.92$500K+3.2% of holding+4.5%not yet — horizon still open821,121Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase50,242 @ $19.90$1000K+6.7% of holding+5.5%not yet — horizon still open796,024Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-14Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase27,094 @ $18.45$500K+3.8% of holding+5.0%−2.6%745,782Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-10Kan AnnadirectorSale11,000 @ $20.35$224K−25.8% of holding−10.2%−8.0%31,593Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-14Olvera JanedirectorSale1,200 @ $19.55$23K−100.0% of holding−0.7%+0.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Borba George A JrdirectorPurchase53,567 @ $18.67$1000K+8.1% of holding+4.6%+1.3%718,688Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-23Maddox MikedirectorAward / grant3,1383,138Form 4
2026-06-05WOHL RICHARD HofficerWithheld for tax8,94441,245Form 4
2026-06-01DeAngelis YamynnofficerWithheld for tax11,109122,848Form 4
2026-05-20Olvera JanedirectorAward / grant4,18729,097Form 4
2026-05-20Borba George A JrdirectorAward / grant4,18759,012Form 4
2026-05-20BIAGINI KOMAS JULIANNE MdirectorAward / grant4,18748,513Form 4
2026-05-20Ehrnman Roger LynnofficerAward / grant10,00010,500Form 4
2026-05-20Del Guercio Stephen AdirectorAward / grant4,18751,491Form 4
2026-05-20Kan AnnadirectorAward / grant4,18735,780Form 4
2026-05-20O Brien Raymond V IIIdirectorAward / grant4,18765,780Form 4
2026-05-20Oswalt Hal WdirectorAward / grant4,18753,780Form 4
2026-05-20Stephens Timothy MichaeldirectorAward / grant4,1876,468Form 4
2026-04-17BIAGINI KOMAS JULIANNE MdirectorAward / grant44,32644,326Form 4
2026-04-17Jones Robertson Clay JRdirectorAward / grant244,767244,767Form 4
2026-04-17Jones Robertson Clay JRdirectorAward / grant10,000254,767Form 4
2026-03-31Nicholson E AllenofficerOption exercise6,000133,776Form 4
2026-03-31Nicholson E AllenofficerOption exercise6,0000Form 4
2026-03-20Laygo SherylofficerWithheld for tax24814,152Form 4
2026-03-19Laygo SherylofficerWithheld for tax24814,400Form 4
2026-03-16Brager David A.officerWithheld for tax15,072245,493Form 4
2026-03-16Harvey David CofficerWithheld for tax6,256138,149Form 4
2026-03-16Nicholson E AllenofficerWithheld for tax6,238127,776Form 4
2026-03-16WOHL RICHARD HofficerWithheld for tax4,14550,189Form 4
2026-03-16Farnsworth David FofficerWithheld for tax3,42683,882Form 4
2026-03-16Nicholson E AllenofficerAward / grant12,562134,014Form 4
2026-03-16Brager David A.officerAward / grant30,149260,565Form 4
2026-03-16WOHL RICHARD HofficerAward / grant8,29154,334Form 4
2026-03-16Farnsworth David FofficerAward / grant9,54787,308Form 4
2026-03-16Harvey David CofficerAward / grant12,562144,405Form 4
2026-02-22Laygo SherylofficerWithheld for tax24814,648Form 4
2026-01-27DeAngelis YamynnofficerWithheld for tax575133,957Form 4
2026-01-26DeAngelis YamynnofficerWithheld for tax824134,532Form 4
2026-01-26Laygo SherylofficerWithheld for tax24814,896Form 4
2026-01-25Brager David A.officerWithheld for tax4,136230,416Form 4
2026-01-25Harvey David CofficerWithheld for tax1,717131,843Form 4
2026-01-25Nicholson E AllenofficerWithheld for tax1,712121,452Form 4
2026-01-25WOHL RICHARD HofficerWithheld for tax1,13746,043Form 4
2026-01-25DeAngelis YamynnofficerWithheld for tax1,022135,356Form 4
2026-01-25Farnsworth David FofficerWithheld for tax96377,761Form 4
2026-01-24Brager David A.officerWithheld for tax5,433234,552Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.