Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.79 · now $2.79 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CURI has typically landed between $1.98 and $3.98 — a range of −28.9% to +42.6% from the issuance price $2.79.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,659 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-01-08 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.79) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CURI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.79 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.79 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.63 (-5.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.27–$3
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.98–$3.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,659 windows spanning 2020-01-08 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-03-24 | −39.0% | −39.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-03-23 | −38.8% | −38.8% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-18 | −38.8% | −41.4% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-03-08 | +192.9% | +0.0% | +192.9% |
| 2024-03-07 | +173.0% | +0.0% | +173.0% |
| 2024-03-06 | +155.6% | −1.9% | +155.6% |
1,659 overlapping windows · 2020-01-08 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
50%
+19.1%
n=6
Feb
0%
−5.6%
n=7
Mar
29%
+8.1%
n=7
Apr
71%
−1.3%
n=7
May
14%
+4.4%
n=7
Jun
71%
+4.0%
n=7
Jul
43%
−3.1%
n=7
Aug
43%
+4.4%
n=7
Sep
57%
+0.2%
n=7
Oct
17%
−8.4%
n=6
Nov
67%
+1.9%
n=6
Dec
17%
−8.1%
n=6
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $2.60 | $52K | +0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,021,260 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $2.55 | $77K | +1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,001,260 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Keeley Patrick J. | director | Sale | 31,559 @ $2.70 | $85K | −14.3% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 188,450 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 30,400 @ $2.56 | $78K | −29.9% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 71,267 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 25,744 @ $2.78 | $71K | +0.9% of holding | +2.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,971,260 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 94,256 @ $2.74 | $259K | +3.3% of holding | −2.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,945,516 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $2.67 | $80K | +1.1% of holding | −4.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,851,260 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 17,474 @ $3.76 | $66K | −14.7% of holding | −6.0% | −33.5% | 101,667 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-15 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $4.59 | $9K | −1.7% of holding | −15.6% | −46.9% | 119,141 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-10 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Sale | 5,768 @ $4.98 | $29K | −1.1% of holding | −25.3% | −52.8% | 508,880 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $4.62 | $462K | −4.0% of holding | −19.8% | −49.7% | 2,417,998 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-24 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 141,206 @ $4.65 | $657K | −5.3% of holding | −19.0% | −52.8% | 2,517,998 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-21 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 12,872 @ $4.60 | $59K | −0.5% of holding | −16.4% | −51.5% | 2,659,204 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 63,674 @ $4.92 | $313K | −2.3% of holding | −15.6% | −51.8% | 2,672,076 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 14,116 @ $5.00 | $71K | −1.2% of holding | −15.6% | −51.8% | 1,210,169 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-20 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Sale | 10,200 @ $4.98 | $51K | −1.9% of holding | −15.6% | −51.8% | 514,648 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 1,343 @ $4.50 | $6K | −1.1% of holding | −3.8% | −49.4% | 121,141 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-13 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 9,291 @ $5.00 | $46K | −0.8% of holding | −10.2% | −49.4% | 1,224,285 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Sale | 5,553 @ $4.98 | $28K | −1.0% of holding | −10.2% | −49.4% | 524,848 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 17,508 @ $3.87 | $68K | −45.7% of holding | +26.3% | −28.2% | 20,817 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Sale | 4,559 @ $4.06 | $19K | −14.6% of holding | +26.3% | −28.2% | 26,774 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-12 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $4.75 | $238K | −3.9% of holding | −1.8% | −31.6% | 1,233,576 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $4.50 | $113K | −1.9% of holding | +5.2% | −24.7% | 1,283,576 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $4.61 | $115K | −1.9% of holding | +9.5% | −32.7% | 1,308,576 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 16,149 @ $4.56 | $74K | −29.6% of holding | +12.3% | −27.8% | 38,325 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-29 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 40,057 @ $4.49 | $180K | −2.8% of holding | +14.0% | −30.2% | 1,374,383 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 35,578 @ $4.41 | $157K | −39.5% of holding | +14.0% | −30.2% | 54,474 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-27 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 96 @ $4.45 | $427 | −0.0% of holding | +21.7% | −26.8% | 1,414,440 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-26 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 16,225 @ $4.45 | $72K | −1.1% of holding | +16.3% | −28.5% | 1,414,536 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Sale | 2,815 @ $4.45 | $13K | −0.2% of holding | +17.0% | −30.9% | 1,430,761 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Sale | 273 @ $4.07 | $1K | −0.9% of holding | +21.4% | −29.8% | 31,277 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 8,050,000 @ $3.50 | $28.2M | −39.7% of holding | +13.2% | −26.6% | 12,206,188 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 102,810 @ $4.71 | $484K | −0.5% of holding | −11.7% | −23.8% | 20,262,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 80,000 @ $4.70 | $376K | −3.8% of holding | −11.7% | −23.8% | 2,005,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-16 | Hendricks Andrew | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $4.80 | $10K | −1.6% of holding | −11.7% | −23.8% | 124,883 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Sale | 252,486 @ $4.68 | $1.2M | −10.8% of holding | −10.8% | −10.8% | 2,085,827 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 80,000 @ $4.62 | $369K | −0.4% of holding | −10.8% | −10.8% | 20,365,585 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Hendricks Andrew | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $4.80 | $10K | −1.6% of holding | −10.8% | −10.8% | 126,883 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-12 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 125,000 @ $5.11 | $639K | −0.6% of holding | −15.5% | −15.2% | 20,445,585 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-11 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 150,000 @ $5.20 | $780K | −0.7% of holding | −19.5% | −19.6% | 20,570,585 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-10 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 45,470 @ $5.20 | $237K | −0.2% of holding | −14.7% | −13.3% | 20,720,585 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 25,000 @ $5.74 | $143K | −0.1% of holding | −23.1% | −28.3% | 20,766,055 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-05 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Sale | 71,720 @ $6.07 | $435K | −0.3% of holding | −22.5% | −29.5% | 20,791,055 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $4.89 | $5K | −1.1% of holding | −2.1% | −36.9% | 90,052 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-13 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $1.69 | $2K | +4.2% of holding | +22.2% | +201.8% | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Purchase | 17,877 @ $1.68 | $30K | +0.8% of holding | +11.2% | +205.3% | 2,155,306 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $1.67 | $3K | +5.6% of holding | +11.2% | +205.3% | 38,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
195 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Piche Sean Adam | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Withheld for tax | 52,631 | 643,749 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Option exercise | 187,500 | 696,380 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Option exercise | 187,500 | 562,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Option exercise | 187,500 | 696,380 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cudahy Theresa Ellen | officer | Option exercise | 187,500 | 562,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Gift | 9,664 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Gift | 9,664 | 80,931 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,105 | 68,533 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Withheld for tax | 7,836 | 9,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Option exercise | 37,500 | 81,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Option exercise | 37,500 | 112,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Option exercise | 17,500 | 17,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Option exercise | 37,500 | 81,638 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Option exercise | 17,500 | 52,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Option exercise | 17,500 | 17,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Option exercise | 17,500 | 52,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-24 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Option exercise | 37,500 | 112,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Withheld for tax | 196,738 | 2,821,260 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 1,200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 3,017,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 1,200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Stinchcomb Clinton Larry | director | Option exercise | 600,000 | 3,017,998 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Reed Rebecca R | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vilade John Thomas Jr | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vilade John Thomas Jr | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-10 | Hayden Phillip Brady | officer | Award / grant | 30,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Nikzad Michael | director | Option exercise | 38,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | HENDRICKS JOHN S | director | Award / grant | 27,439 | 27,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Hendricks Elizabeth Ann | director | Option exercise | 38,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Hendricks Andrew | director | Award / grant | 18,780 | 18,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Hendricks Andrew | director | Option exercise | 38,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Award / grant | 21,341 | 21,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Keeley Patrick J. | director | Option exercise | 43,750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Keeley Patrick J. | director | Award / grant | 21,341 | 21,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Blank Matthew | director | Award / grant | 18,049 | 18,049 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Blank Matthew | director | Option exercise | 37,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Hendricks Elizabeth Ann | director | Award / grant | 18,780 | 18,780 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | HUBERMAN JONATHAN | director | Option exercise | 43,750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Nikzad Michael | director | Award / grant | 18,780 | 18,780 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.