CUBI · TickerCove

CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $78.14 · now $78.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CUBI has typically landed between $64.57 and $98.72 — a range of −17.4% to +26.3% from the issuance price $78.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,643 overlapping 1 month windows · 2012-02-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($78.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$78.14 · 76% of range

$60.52 low$83.65 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.3%

typical move · IQR 17.8%

−17.4%worst (p90)+26.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CUBI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $78.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $78.14 (+0.0%)
typical $77.93 (-0.3%)
middle 50% $70.97–$84.9
90% range $64.57–$98.72

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,643 windows spanning 2012-02-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-03-05	−56.8%	−56.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−56.0%	−56.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-25	−53.4%	−54.1%	+0.0%
3 best
2023-05-08	+68.3%	−4.3%	+68.3%
2023-05-09	+66.4%	−1.4%	+73.3%
2023-05-12	+63.3%	+0.0%	+73.1%

3,643 overlapping windows · 2012-02-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~15 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

57%

+3.2%

n=14

Feb

50%

+1.7%

n=14

Mar

40%

−5.7%

n=15

Apr

60%

+5.2%

n=15

May

47%

−0.9%

n=15

Jun

67%

+3.1%

n=15

Jul

47%

+4.8%

n=15

Aug

33%

−1.2%

n=15

Sep

33%

−1.6%

n=15

Oct

79%

+8.6%

n=14

Nov

57%

+4.6%

n=14

Dec

57%

+3.3%

n=14

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-13	Allon Andrea R.	director	Sale	10,000 @ $82.81	$828K	−25.0% of holding	−3.2%	not yet — horizon still open	30,034	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-03	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	68,821 @ $80.09	$5.5M	−9.3% of holding	−5.7%	not yet — horizon still open	667,757	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-30	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	835 @ $79.00	$66K	−0.1% of holding	−3.2%	not yet — horizon still open	736,578	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-29	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	30,344 @ $79.20	$2.4M	−4.0% of holding	−5.2%	not yet — horizon still open	737,413	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-29	Cunningham Lyle	officer	Sale	47,914 @ $75.03	$3.6M	−70.7% of holding	+6.3%	not yet — horizon still open	19,854	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-27	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	60,315 @ $76.23	$4.6M	−7.3% of holding	+9.0%	not yet — horizon still open	767,557	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Purchase	1,000 @ $72.58	$73K	+0.2% of holding	+4.5%	not yet — horizon still open	521,714	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11	Watkins Philip	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $75.67	$227K	−6.4% of holding	+4.3%	not yet — horizon still open	43,993	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09	Velasquez Jessie John Deano	officer	Sale	2,242 @ $71.05	$159K	−38.0% of holding	+10.2%	+1.8%	3,654	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	128,185 @ $69.43	$8.9M	−14.0% of holding	+6.5%	−4.3%	790,031	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-25	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	7,479 @ $70.06	$524K	−0.8% of holding	+6.6%	−4.3%	918,216	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24	Watkins Philip	officer	Sale	2,900 @ $65.04	$189K	−5.4% of holding	+9.0%	−2.5%	50,849	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-12	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	2,522 @ $68.39	$172K	−0.3% of holding	+8.6%	−1.3%	925,695	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-11	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	24,784 @ $68.05	$1.7M	−2.6% of holding	+7.2%	−0.8%	928,217	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	13,595 @ $68.69	$934K	−1.4% of holding	+3.8%	−3.5%	953,001	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-07	Banks Bernard Bennett	director	Sale	9,000 @ $66.93	$602K	−54.5% of holding	+1.7%	−1.2%	7,524	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	1,263 @ $67.75	$86K	−0.1% of holding	+4.5%	+0.3%	966,596	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-05	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	22,172 @ $67.76	$1.5M	−2.2% of holding	+3.8%	+4.8%	967,859	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-04	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	67,000 @ $56.82	$3.8M	−6.5% of holding	−7.4%	+2.2%	965,723	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-31	SIDHU JAY S	director	Sale	33,173 @ $57.25	$1.9M	−3.1% of holding	−6.6%	+4.9%	1,032,723	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-30	Hedde Glenn	officer	Sale	15,815 @ $58.25	$921K	−22.3% of holding	−4.6%	+5.2%	55,211	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

195 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Robinson Nicholas John	officer	Withheld for tax	479	13,235	Form 4
2026-06-15	Zuckerman Steven J	director	Award / grant	958	73,648	Form 4
2026-06-15	Banks Bernard Bennett	director	Award / grant	881	9,912	Form 4
2026-06-15	BUFORD ROBERT J	director	Award / grant	849	24,473	Form 4
2026-06-15	Way T Lawrence	director	Award / grant	849	126,562	Form 4
2026-06-15	Krasne Robert Morris	director	Award / grant	849	2,461	Form 4
2026-06-15	Sirmans Dalton Talley	director	Award / grant	737	2,760	Form 4
2026-06-15	Gill Mike	director	Award / grant	625	1,685	Form 4
2026-06-15	Looney Susan Dianne	director	Award / grant	625	1,768	Form 4
2026-06-15	Allon Andrea R.	director	Award / grant	625	40,034	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mackay Robert Neil	director	Award / grant	522	10,335	Form 4
2026-06-15	ROTHERMEL DANIEL K	director	Award / grant	385	115,561	Form 4
2026-05-29	Cunningham Lyle	officer	Option exercise	10,000	67,768	Form 4
2026-05-29	Cunningham Lyle	officer	Option exercise	10,000	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	Cunningham Lyle	officer	Option exercise	5,123	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	Cunningham Lyle	officer	Option exercise	5,123	57,768	Form 4
2026-04-12	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	1,389	520,714	Form 4
2026-04-12	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	1,325	804,795	Form 4
2026-04-08	SIDHU JAY S	director	Award / grant	7,047	827,872	Form 4
2026-04-08	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Award / grant	5,285	539,305	Form 4
2026-04-08	MCCOLLOM MARK R	officer	Award / grant	2,711	5,082	Form 4
2026-04-08	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	1,562	522,103	Form 4
2026-04-08	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	1,461	806,120	Form 4
2026-04-08	Watkins Philip	officer	Withheld for tax	568	46,993	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Award / grant	17,553	793,825	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Award / grant	17,037	803,954	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Award / grant	17,036	814,285	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Award / grant	12,626	519,507	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Award / grant	12,255	524,842	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Award / grant	12,255	530,381	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	6,920	512,587	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	6,908	786,917	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	6,716	523,665	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	6,716	518,126	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	6,705	797,249	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	6,704	807,581	Form 4
2026-04-06	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	3,015	506,881	Form 4
2026-04-06	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	3,010	776,272	Form 4
2026-04-04	SIDHU JAY S	director	Withheld for tax	6,657	779,282	Form 4
2026-04-04	Sidhu Samvir S.	director	Withheld for tax	3,159	509,896	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i