CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions CorporationTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $61.85 · now $61.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CTSH has typically landed between $53.75 and $69.57 — a range of −13.1% to +12.5% from the issuance price $61.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($61.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CTSH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $61.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$53.75worst · -13.1%$69.57best · +12.5%
  • now $61.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $62.08 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $58.75–$65.41
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $53.75–$69.57
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-10−42.0%−42.0%+0.0%
2008-09-08−41.8%−41.8%+0.0%
2020-02-21−40.6%−40.6%+0.0%
3 best
2026-06-29+44.5%−0.0%+44.5%
2026-07-23+43.9%+0.0%+43.9%
2026-07-22+41.1%−0.4%+41.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$21.5B
market cap
$4.60
EPS (TTM)
9.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$21.1B
'20'25
Net income$2.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr14.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.10
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $61.85$34.93$166.41
  • DCF (intrinsic)$108.69
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$157.34
  • Analyst target · range $44.00–$100.00$67.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$61.85

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+2.8%
n=18
Feb
58%
+1.3%
n=19
Mar
47%
−0.0%
n=19
Apr
47%
−0.7%
n=19
May
53%
−0.9%
n=19
Jun
47%
−2.3%
n=19
Jul
79%
+5.3%
n=19
Aug
58%
+2.4%
n=19
Sep
32%
−1.4%
n=19
Oct
67%
+2.2%
n=18
Nov
72%
+3.7%
n=18
Dec
50%
+1.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$86$392026-09-14: 1 insider sale, $8K — Kerdman Alina2026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $158K — Kim John Sunshin2026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $9K — Kerdman Alina2026-08-03: 2 insider sales, $812K — Dalal Jatin P, Kim John Sunshin2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $5K — Kerdman Alina2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $7K — Kerdman Alina2026-06-10: 1 insider purchase, $210K — ROHLEDER STEPHEN J2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $8K — Kerdman Alina2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $1.3M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $188K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $551K2025-12: 13 open-market sales, $3.4M2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $984K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $154K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $17K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $12K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $7K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $210K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $15K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $5K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $821K2026-09: 2 open-market sales, $167K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Kerdman Alina — Sale on 2026-09-14, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kim John Sunshin — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kerdman Alina — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Dalal Jatin P — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kim John Sunshin — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kerdman Alina — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Kerdman Alina — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROHLEDER STEPHEN J — Purchase on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kerdman Alina — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-14Kerdman AlinaofficerSale134 @ $62.40$8K−10.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,129Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-02Kim John SunshinofficerSale2,500 @ $63.37$158K−5.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open39,909Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-31Kerdman AlinaofficerSale144 @ $63.34$9K−14.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open848Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Dalal Jatin PofficerSale12,000 @ $55.76$669K−20.7% of holding+14.4%not yet — horizon still open46,111Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03Kim John SunshinofficerSale2,500 @ $57.05$143K−5.8% of holding+14.4%not yet — horizon still open40,392Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01Kerdman AlinaofficerSale137 @ $39.82$5K−12.1% of holding+34.6%not yet — horizon still open992Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-15Kerdman AlinaofficerSale133 @ $51.70$7K−11.8% of holding−12.0%not yet — horizon still open990Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-10ROHLEDER STEPHEN JdirectorPurchase4,034 @ $52.00$210Kownership Δ n/a−18.3%not yet — horizon still open4,034Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01Kerdman AlinaofficerSale146 @ $56.41$8K−12.9% of holding−26.7%not yet — horizon still open989Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Singisetti Ravi KumardirectorWithheld for tax8,187129,563Form 4
2026-09-01Dalal Jatin PofficerWithheld for tax3,50449,055Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerWithheld for tax2,61139,813Form 4
2026-09-01Kim John SunshinofficerWithheld for tax2,38542,409Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerWithheld for tax1,06923,710Form 4
2026-09-01Varrier RajeshofficerWithheld for tax21010,462Form 4
2026-09-01Kerdman AlinaofficerWithheld for tax2061,263Form 4
2026-09-01Kerdman AlinaofficerOption exercise1428Form 4
2026-09-01Dalal Jatin PofficerOption exercise1,9643,929Form 4
2026-09-01Dalal Jatin PofficerOption exercise1,5299,171Form 4
2026-09-01Varrier RajeshofficerOption exercise3403,397Form 4
2026-09-01Kim John SunshinofficerOption exercise478957Form 4
2026-09-01Singisetti Ravi KumardirectorOption exercise5,30910,619Form 4
2026-09-01Kim John SunshinofficerOption exercise2,24222,420Form 4
2026-09-01Varrier RajeshofficerOption exercise2041,223Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise2,31023,099Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise4082,446Form 4
2026-09-01Kerdman AlinaofficerOption exercise199397Form 4
2026-09-01Ayyar Balu GaneshofficerOption exercise9031,805Form 4
2026-09-01Dalal Jatin PofficerOption exercise2,95529,553Form 4
2026-09-01Singisetti Ravi KumardirectorOption exercise9,78397,831Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise1,4278,560Form 4
2026-09-01Ayyar Balu GaneshofficerOption exercise1,15511,550Form 4
2026-09-01Kerdman AlinaofficerOption exercise4084,076Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise1,1682,336Form 4
2026-09-01Kim John SunshinofficerOption exercise1,2742,549Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise7431,487Form 4
2026-09-01Kim John SunshinofficerOption exercise4082,446Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise319638Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise9859,851Form 4
2026-09-01Ayyar Balu GaneshofficerOption exercise903113,075Form 4
2026-09-01Ayyar Balu GaneshofficerOption exercise1,155114,230Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise40824,779Form 4
2026-09-01Kerdman AlinaofficerOption exercise1991,047Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise1,16838,368Form 4
2026-09-01Singisetti Ravi KumardirectorOption exercise5,309127,967Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise98524,371Form 4
2026-09-01Diaz KathrynofficerOption exercise98524,371Form 4
2026-09-01Ayyar Balu GaneshofficerOption exercise1,155114,230Form 4
2026-09-01Gummadi SuryaofficerOption exercise1,42742,424Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Kevin HernHousesale2026-04-032026-03-17$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.