Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.89 · now $56.89 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CTS has typically landed between $49.25 and $66.30 — a range of −13.4% to +16.5% from the issuance price $56.89.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.89) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CTS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.89 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $56.89 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $57.28 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.88–$60.68
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $49.25–$66.3
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-05 | −57.8% | −57.8% | +0.4% |
| 2009-02-09 | −55.9% | −57.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-22 | −55.6% | −55.6% | +2.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-11 | +105.1% | +0.0% | +105.1% |
| 2009-03-06 | +86.2% | −4.1% | +99.5% |
| 2009-03-30 | +83.7% | +0.0% | +83.7% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 22,657 @ $66.67 | $1.5M | −6.9% of holding | −9.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 307,693 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 60,388 @ $66.26 | $4.0M | −15.5% of holding | −7.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 330,350 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 46,955 @ $63.31 | $3.0M | −10.7% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 390,738 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-02 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Sale | 25,000 @ $53.00 | $1.3M | −19.1% of holding | −0.7% | +15.3% | 105,987 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 6,690 @ $55.83 | $373K | −1.7% of holding | −6.5% | −23.9% | 375,643 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 8,494 @ $54.50 | $463K | −2.2% of holding | −3.2% | −21.6% | 382,333 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 9,629 @ $54.60 | $526K | −2.4% of holding | −1.7% | −20.3% | 390,827 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Sale | 12,794 @ $55.50 | $710K | −3.1% of holding | −4.1% | −21.8% | 400,456 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
56 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Pacioni Mark R. | officer | Withheld for tax | 531 | 7,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Award / grant | 14,253 | 23,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hawkins John M | officer | Award / grant | 757 | 2,010 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Hawkins John M | officer | Award / grant | 1,253 | 1,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Withheld for tax | 1,742 | 9,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-08 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Withheld for tax | 314 | 9,382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Award / grant | 16,873 | 445,219 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 7,526 | 437,693 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Award / grant | 4,310 | 111,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-24 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,024 | 109,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-12 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Award / grant | 24,596 | 428,346 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Award / grant | 6,002 | 106,744 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Pacioni Mark R. | officer | Award / grant | 3,693 | 8,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 11,438 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,743 | 403,750 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,237 | 407,493 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,621 | 100,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 866 | 103,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 827 | 104,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-06 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,680 | 410,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 931 | 105,056 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Withheld for tax | 289 | 8,063 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | PROFUSEK ROBERT | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 101,742 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Costello Donna | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 19,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Dodrill Amy M. | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 8,800 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Stone Randy Lee | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 12,200 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | Zulueta Alfonso G | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 35,913 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-06 | JOHNSON WILLIAM S | director | Award / grant | 3,500 | 46,700 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Pacioni Mark R. | officer | Award / grant | 4,600 | 4,600 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-08 | Trivedi Pratik | director | Withheld for tax | 206 | 8,352 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,394 | 414,410 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,069 | 130,987 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | D'Angelo Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 704 | 30,100 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Baumeister Martin | officer | Withheld for tax | 440 | 23,852 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-09 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,237 | 417,804 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-09 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 827 | 132,056 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-09 | D'Angelo Scott | officer | Withheld for tax | 614 | 30,804 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-09 | Baumeister Martin | officer | Withheld for tax | 338 | 24,292 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-08 | O'SULLIVAN KIERAN M | director | Withheld for tax | 3,743 | 421,041 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-07 | Agrawal Ashish | officer | Withheld for tax | 866 | 132,883 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.