CTRI · TickerCove

CTRICenturi Holdings, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Gasas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $19.16 · now $19.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CTRI has typically landed between $14.94 and $23.39 — a range of −22.0% to +22.1% from the issuance price $19.16.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

584 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-04-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($19.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$19.16 · 0% of range

$19.07 low$41.8 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.5%

typical move · IQR 17.5%

−22.0%worst (p90)+22.1%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CTRI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $19.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $19.16 (+0.0%)
typical $19.27 (+0.5%)
middle 50% $17.59–$20.94
90% range $14.94–$23.39

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 584 windows spanning 2024-04-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2025-02-10	−30.9%	−30.9%	+0.0%
2024-05-30	−29.7%	−29.7%	+1.6%
2025-01-30	−29.0%	−29.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-04-06	+38.3%	+0.0%	+38.3%
2025-04-08	+37.7%	+0.0%	+38.7%
2026-04-07	+36.3%	+0.0%	+36.3%

584 overlapping windows · 2024-04-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+12.3%

n=2

Feb

50%

−4.9%

n=2

Mar

−5.7%

n=2

Apr

100%

+19.2%

n=2

May

67%

+3.0%

n=3

Jun

33%

−7.7%

n=3

Jul

−8.7%

n=3

Aug

33%

−8.6%

n=3

Sep

−4.0%

n=3

Oct

50%

+5.8%

n=2

Nov

100%

+8.5%

n=2

Dec

50%

+4.9%

n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-12-04	Brown Christian	director	Sale	7,108 @ $24.51	$174K	−24.3% of holding	+6.0%	+10.2%	22,089	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14	ICAHN CARL C	director	Purchase	3,488,372 @ $21.50	$75.0M	+32.2% of holding	+23.5%	+28.9%	14,336,044	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05	Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	27,362,210 @ $19.60	$536.3M	−100.0% of holding	−11.4%	+33.6%	0	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-11	Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	18,823,500 @ $19.50	$367.1M	−40.8% of holding	+10.1%	+41.2%	27,362,210	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-08	Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,060,240 @ $20.75	$22.0M	−2.2% of holding	−2.0%	+14.8%	46,185,710	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-18	Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	11,212,500 @ $20.75	$232.7M	−19.2% of holding	−6.6%	+8.1%	47,245,950	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-22	Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	13,207,142 @ $17.50	$231.1M	−18.4% of holding	+14.0%	−8.4%	58,458,450	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-28	Dill Julie	director	Purchase	500 @ $16.57	$8K	+9.1% of holding	+11.7%	+5.7%	6,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-26	Dill Julie	director	Purchase	500 @ $16.63	$8K	+10.0% of holding	+15.0%	+8.0%	5,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

110 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Hunter Danielle E.	director	Award / grant	8,837	25,804	Form 4
2026-08-12	Hunter Danielle E.	director	Award / grant	16,967	16,967	Form 4
2026-08-12	Youngblood Kelly	officer	Award / grant	72,864	72,864	Form 4
2026-05-19	Krummel Christopher A	director	Award / grant	4,067	20,809	Form 4
2026-05-19	Patton Charles R.	director	Award / grant	4,067	29,309	Form 4
2026-05-19	Dill Julie	director	Award / grant	4,067	24,309	Form 4
2026-05-19	NIELSEN STEVEN E	director	Award / grant	5,290	5,290	Form 4
2026-05-19	DeMaria Dustin	director	Award / grant	7,736	7,736	Form 4
2026-05-19	Haller Karen S	director	Award / grant	4,067	30,309	Form 4
2026-05-19	MARIUCCI ANNE L	director	Award / grant	4,067	89,709	Form 4
2026-05-19	Evans Andrew W	director	Award / grant	4,067	18,309	Form 4
2026-05-18	Haller Karen S	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Dill Julie	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Krummel Christopher A	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	MARIUCCI ANNE L	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Patton Charles R.	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Evans Andrew W	director	Option exercise	7,338	0	Form 4
2026-05-18	Krummel Christopher A	director	Option exercise	7,338	16,742	Form 4
2026-05-18	MARIUCCI ANNE L	director	Option exercise	7,338	85,642	Form 4
2026-05-18	MARIUCCI ANNE L	director	Option exercise	7,338	85,642	Form 4
2026-05-18	Evans Andrew W	director	Option exercise	7,338	14,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Evans Andrew W	director	Option exercise	7,338	14,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Haller Karen S	director	Option exercise	7,338	26,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Haller Karen S	director	Option exercise	7,338	26,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Patton Charles R.	director	Option exercise	7,338	25,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Dill Julie	director	Option exercise	7,338	20,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Dill Julie	director	Option exercise	7,338	20,242	Form 4
2026-05-18	Krummel Christopher A	director	Option exercise	7,338	16,742	Form 4
2026-05-18	Patton Charles R.	director	Option exercise	7,338	25,242	Form 4
2026-02-25	Brown Christian	director	Withheld for tax	4,893	197,904	Form 4
2026-02-25	Izenstark Gregory A.	officer	Withheld for tax	2,868	87,808	Form 4
2026-02-25	Wilcock Jason S.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,984	64,736	Form 4
2026-02-25	Chilton Kendra	officer	Withheld for tax	454	19,968	Form 4
2026-02-17	Wilcock Jason S.	officer	Option exercise	10,586	10,586	Form 4
2026-02-17	Chilton Kendra	officer	Option exercise	2,186	2,186	Form 4
2026-02-17	Brown Christian	director	Option exercise	31,417	31,417	Form 4
2026-02-17	Izenstark Gregory A.	officer	Award / grant	11,309	74,565	Form 4
2026-02-17	Brown Christian	director	Award / grant	45,683	171,380	Form 4
2026-02-17	Izenstark Gregory A.	officer	Option exercise	16,111	16,111	Form 4
2026-02-17	Wilcock Jason S.	officer	Award / grant	9,455	56,134	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i