CSWCSW Industrials, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Specialtiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $287.80 · now $287.80 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CSW has typically landed between $250.29 and $338.48 — a range of −13.0% to +17.6% from the issuance price $287.80.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,264 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-03-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($287.80) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CSW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $287.8 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$250.29worst · -13.0%$338.48best · +17.6%
  • now $287.8 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $290.95 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $273.44–$308.45
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $250.29–$338.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,264 windows spanning 2013-03-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-01-22−22.3%−22.3%+0.0%
2025-01-21−21.7%−21.7%+0.0%
2025-01-23−21.4%−21.4%+0.0%
3 best
2015-09-21+358.8%+0.0%+358.8%
2015-09-18+353.1%+0.0%+353.1%
2015-09-22+344.3%+0.0%+358.8%

3,264 overlapping windows · 2013-03-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
46%
+0.2%
n=13
Feb
62%
+1.2%
n=13
Mar
46%
+0.0%
n=13
Apr
57%
+0.5%
n=14
May
57%
+1.3%
n=14
Jun
50%
+1.5%
n=14
Jul
71%
+4.9%
n=14
Aug
62%
+3.1%
n=13
Sep
38%
−1.0%
n=13
Oct
77%
+28.4%
n=13
Nov
69%
+5.6%
n=13
Dec
62%
+0.8%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$351$2312026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $434K — Armes Joseph B2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $518K — Armes Joseph B2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $250K — UNDERWOOD JEFF2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Sullivan Don2026-07-15: 1 insider sale, $435K — Armes Joseph B2026-06-15: 1 insider sale, $419K — Armes Joseph B2026-05-27: 1 insider sale, $426K — Armes Joseph B2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $292K — Alverson Luke2026-04-15: 2 insider sales, $480K — Armes Joseph B, Sullivan Don2026-04-07: 1 insider sale, $268K — Alverson Luke2026-03-23: 1 insider sale, $405K — Armes Joseph B2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $77K — Ash Darron K2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $447K — Armes Joseph B2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $158K — Alverson Luke2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $329K — Armes Joseph B2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $43K — Perry James E2025-12-15: 1 insider sale, $317K — Armes Joseph B2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Sullivan Don2025-12-02: 2 insider sales, $180K — UNDERWOOD JEFF, Alverson Luke2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $160K — Perry James E2025-11-18: 1 insider sale, $86K — WANG FANG2025-11-14: 1 insider sale, $250K — Armes Joseph B2025-10-30: 1 insider sale, $250K — Armes Joseph B2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $250K — Armes Joseph B2025-08-15: 10 insider sales, $259K — Armes Joseph B …2025-08-14: 1 insider sale, $302K — Sullivan Don2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $40K — Perry James E2025-08: 14 open-market sales, $651K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $250K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $250K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $336K2025-12: 5 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $371K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $605K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $77K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $405K2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $748K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $718K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $419K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $435K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $434K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer UNDERWOOD JEFF — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sullivan Don — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed same daydirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed same dayofficer Alverson Luke — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-04-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sullivan Don — Sale on 2026-04-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Alverson Luke — Sale on 2026-04-07, filed same daydirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ash Darron K — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Alverson Luke — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Perry James E — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sullivan Don — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer UNDERWOOD JEFF — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed same dayofficer Alverson Luke — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed same dayofficer Perry James E — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer WANG FANG — Sale on 2025-11-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Armes Joseph B — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Sullivan Don — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Perry James E — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $289.58$434K−2.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open62,736Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-14Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $345.16$518K−2.3% of holding−13.7%not yet — horizon still open64,236Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-10UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerSale720 @ $346.96$250K−10.1% of holding−13.4%not yet — horizon still open6,409Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Sullivan DonofficerSale4,526 @ $343.75$1.6M−21.0% of holding−12.1%not yet — horizon still open17,041Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $289.95$435K−2.2% of holding+13.7%not yet — horizon still open67,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $279.52$419K−2.1% of holding+10.6%not yet — horizon still open69,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $283.94$426K−2.1% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open70,600Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-01Alverson LukeofficerSale1,007 @ $289.57$292K−7.5% of holding−10.8%not yet — horizon still open12,450Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $286.77$430K−1.7% of holding−13.9%not yet — horizon still open84,494Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-15Sullivan DonofficerSale166 @ $300.26$50K−0.8% of holding−13.9%not yet — horizon still open21,567Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-07Alverson LukeofficerSale1,007 @ $266.11$268K−7.0% of holding−5.9%not yet — horizon still open13,457Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-23Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $270.11$405K−2.5% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open59,526Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-13Ash Darron KdirectorPurchase300 @ $256.62$77K+35.1% of holding+14.5%−1.0%1,155Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-17Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,500 @ $297.79$447K−2.4% of holding−10.1%+0.1%61,026Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Alverson LukeofficerSale500 @ $316.02$158K−3.9% of holding−16.0%−6.3%12,450Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,000 @ $328.64$329K−1.6% of holding−9.2%−23.9%62,526Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-02Perry James EofficerSale145 @ $293.53$43K−0.6% of holding−12.3%−17.8%25,204Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,000 @ $317.40$317K−1.5% of holding+1.9%−23.8%64,493Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Sullivan DonofficerSale4,136 @ $301.41$1.2M−18.5% of holding+7.1%−16.7%18,196Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerSale370 @ $278.96$103K−5.9% of holding+5.9%−14.2%5,853Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02Alverson LukeofficerSale280 @ $272.95$76K−2.1% of holding+5.9%−14.2%13,110Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-01Perry James EofficerSale580 @ $275.00$160K−2.2% of holding+6.9%−12.1%25,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18WANG FANGofficerSale359 @ $240.54$86K−11.8% of holding+24.6%−3.7%2,676Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,000 @ $250.00$250K−1.5% of holding+22.8%−8.0%65,493Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-30Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,000 @ $250.00$250K−1.5% of holding+10.5%+6.6%66,493Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale1,000 @ $250.00$250K−1.6% of holding−4.0%+2.4%61,522Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale266 @ $258.85$69K−0.4% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,955Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale191 @ $259.88$50K−0.3% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,764Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale160 @ $257.86$41K−0.3% of holding−7.8%+6.8%63,221Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale128 @ $262.09$34K−0.2% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,585Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale90 @ $255.45$23K−0.1% of holding−7.8%+6.8%63,432Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale51 @ $260.90$13K−0.1% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,713Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale51 @ $256.67$13K−0.1% of holding−7.8%+6.8%63,381Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale40 @ $262.94$11K−0.1% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,545Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale13 @ $268.43$3K−0.0% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,522Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-15Armes Joseph BdirectorSale10 @ $266.70$3K−0.0% of holding−7.8%+6.8%62,535Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14Sullivan DonofficerSale1,067 @ $283.14$302K−4.5% of holding−8.6%+10.3%22,641Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-12Perry James EofficerSale145 @ $275.05$40K−0.6% of holding−10.1%+8.5%25,178Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-01Swartz Robert MdirectorSale100 @ $250.46$25K−0.8% of holding+5.8%−6.1%12,419Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-01Swartz Robert MdirectorSale100 @ $250.28$25K−0.8% of holding+5.8%−6.1%12,319Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

69 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27GAMBRELL MICHAEL RdirectorAward / grant40922,522Form 4
2026-08-27Ash Darron KdirectorAward / grant409903Form 4
2026-08-27JOHNSTON TERRY LdirectorAward / grant40910,396Form 4
2026-08-27Griffin BobbydirectorAward / grant4093,352Form 4
2026-08-27Motsenbocker AnnedirectorAward / grant4092,654Form 4
2026-08-27LIVINGSTONE LINDA A.directorAward / grant40912,692Form 4
2026-08-03Perry James EofficerGift50027,253Form 4
2026-08-03Armes Joseph BdirectorGift1,86465,736Form 4
2026-08-03Alverson LukeofficerGift17512,275Form 4
2026-05-29Ash Darron KdirectorOther acquisition661661Form 4
2026-05-29Ash Darron KdirectorOther acquisition661494Form 4
2026-05-06Armes Joseph BdirectorAward / grant9,8369,836Form 4
2026-05-06UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerAward / grant1,8081,808Form 4
2026-05-06Garde DanielleofficerAward / grant1,0491,049Form 4
2026-05-06Alverson LukeofficerAward / grant1,0491,049Form 4
2026-05-06Perry James EofficerAward / grant1,8081,808Form 4
2026-04-26Armes Joseph BdirectorWithheld for tax12,39472,100Form 4
2026-04-09WANG FANGofficerAward / grant211211Form 4
2026-04-02Armes Joseph BdirectorWithheld for tax16,28485,994Form 4
2026-04-02Sullivan DonofficerWithheld for tax2,33321,733Form 4
2026-04-02Perry James EofficerWithheld for tax2,32127,753Form 4
2026-04-02Alverson LukeofficerWithheld for tax1,33314,464Form 4
2026-04-02Garde DanielleofficerWithheld for tax1,2645,690Form 4
2026-04-02UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerWithheld for tax8517,129Form 4
2026-04-02WANG FANGofficerWithheld for tax1743,118Form 4
2026-04-02Armes Joseph BdirectorOption exercise12,4220Form 4
2026-04-02WANG FANGofficerOption exercise6163,292Form 4
2026-04-02WANG FANGofficerOption exercise3110Form 4
2026-04-02Garde DanielleofficerOption exercise1,6390Form 4
2026-04-02Armes Joseph BdirectorOption exercise9,1869,186Form 4
2026-04-02Perry James EofficerOption exercise5,87030,074Form 4
2026-04-02Perry James EofficerOption exercise3,0370Form 4
2026-04-02Armes Joseph BdirectorOption exercise23,96883,494Form 4
2026-04-02Armes Joseph BdirectorOption exercise18,784102,278Form 4
2026-04-02Alverson LukeofficerOption exercise3,34715,797Form 4
2026-04-02Alverson LukeofficerOption exercise1,7310Form 4
2026-04-02UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerOption exercise2,1277,980Form 4
2026-04-02UNDERWOOD JEFFofficerOption exercise1,0970Form 4
2026-04-02Sullivan DonofficerOption exercise5,87024,066Form 4
2026-04-02Sullivan DonofficerOption exercise3,0370Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.