CSVCarriage Services, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Personal Products & Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.97 · now $31.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CSV has typically landed between $26.97 and $36.83 — a range of −15.6% to +15.2% from the issuance price $31.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CSV has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$26.97worst · -15.6%$36.83best · +15.2%
  • now $31.97 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.05 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $30.14–$33.95
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $26.97–$36.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−43.2%−43.2%+1.0%
2020-02-19−39.3%−43.7%+0.0%
2008-08-06−38.6%−38.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-04-06+109.6%+0.0%+109.6%
2009-04-08+105.9%+0.0%+108.1%
2009-04-03+103.7%+0.0%+103.7%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+2.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
+2.6%
n=20
Mar
60%
+2.6%
n=20
Apr
50%
+2.5%
n=20
May
45%
+1.9%
n=20
Jun
35%
+0.2%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
40%
−2.0%
n=20
Oct
65%
+1.6%
n=20
Nov
55%
+2.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
+2.1%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$51$322025-10-07: 1 insider sale, $196K — Quezada Carlos R.2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $578K — Pudenz Shane2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $779K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $196K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Quezada Carlos R. — Sale on 2025-10-07, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pudenz Shane — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-10-07Quezada Carlos R.directorSale4,250 @ $46.14$196K−4.3% of holding−6.0%+4.3%94,151Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-27Pudenz ShaneofficerSale13,027 @ $44.36$578K−46.6% of holding−1.2%−2.6%14,930Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-07Quezada Carlos R.directorSale4,250 @ $47.35$201K−4.1% of holding−12.1%−17.0%98,333Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-07Metzger Steven DofficerSale348 @ $46.78$16K−0.5% of holding−2.6%−20.3%73,896Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Metzger Steven DofficerSale1,653 @ $44.85$74K−2.2% of holding−0.9%−21.6%74,244Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-07Quezada Carlos R.directorSale4,357 @ $40.61$177K−4.1% of holding+3.3%−14.4%102,583Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07Metzger Steven DofficerSale3,000 @ $40.60$122K−3.8% of holding+3.3%−14.4%75,897Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29Quezada Carlos R.directorSale958 @ $40.02$38K−0.9% of holding+1.4%−12.6%106,940Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-28Metzger Steven DofficerSale2,492 @ $40.01$100K−3.1% of holding+2.0%−9.9%78,897Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-28Quezada Carlos R.directorSale2,179 @ $40.02$87K−2.0% of holding+2.0%−9.9%107,898Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-23Metzger Steven DofficerSale3,508 @ $40.09$141K−4.1% of holding−2.6%−11.0%81,389Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-23Quezada Carlos R.directorSale1,363 @ $40.12$55K−1.2% of holding−2.6%−11.0%110,077Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Robinson EdmondodirectorAward / grant6644,711Form 4
2026-06-30Webb SomerdirectorAward / grant61211,163Form 4
2026-06-30Sanders JuliedirectorAward / grant2084,481Form 4
2026-06-30BRUDNICKI GREG MotherAward / grant13029,033Form 4
2026-03-31Robinson EdmondodirectorAward / grant5574,047Form 4
2026-03-31Webb SomerdirectorAward / grant54110,551Form 4
2026-03-31Sanders JuliedirectorAward / grant1744,273Form 4
2026-03-31BRUDNICKI GREG MotherAward / grant10928,903Form 4
2026-02-25Quezada Carlos R.directorAward / grant20,417109,110Form 4
2026-02-25Metzger Steven DofficerAward / grant13,39883,634Form 4
2026-02-25Enwright JohnofficerAward / grant8,50715,217Form 4
2026-02-25Franch Rob PaulofficerAward / grant6,21025,454Form 4
2026-02-25Pudenz ShaneofficerAward / grant6,21019,223Form 4
2026-02-25Shanley KathrynofficerAward / grant6,00611,616Form 4
2026-02-25Mazzu Sam A. IIIofficerAward / grant1,5598,219Form 4
2026-02-25Pudenz ShaneofficerAward / grant6,2106,210Form 4
2026-02-25Enwright JohnofficerAward / grant8,5078,507Form 4
2026-02-25Metzger Steven DofficerAward / grant13,39813,398Form 4
2026-02-25Mazzu Sam A. IIIofficerAward / grant1,5591,559Form 4
2026-02-25Shanley KathrynofficerAward / grant6,0066,006Form 4
2026-02-25Enwright JohnofficerAward / grant8,5078,507Form 4
2026-02-25Franch Rob PaulofficerAward / grant6,2106,210Form 4
2026-02-25Quezada Carlos R.directorAward / grant20,41720,417Form 4
2026-02-25Metzger Steven DofficerAward / grant13,39813,398Form 4
2026-02-25Mazzu Sam A. IIIofficerAward / grant1,5591,559Form 4
2026-02-25Quezada Carlos R.directorAward / grant20,41720,417Form 4
2026-02-25Pudenz ShaneofficerAward / grant6,2106,210Form 4
2026-02-25Shanley KathrynofficerAward / grant6,0066,006Form 4
2026-02-25Franch Rob PaulofficerAward / grant6,2106,210Form 4
2026-02-22Quezada Carlos R.directorWithheld for tax1,18088,693Form 4
2026-02-22Metzger Steven DofficerWithheld for tax98370,236Form 4
2026-02-22Franch Rob PaulofficerWithheld for tax58919,244Form 4
2026-02-22Pudenz ShaneofficerWithheld for tax46213,013Form 4
2026-02-22Mazzu Sam A. IIIofficerWithheld for tax1366,660Form 4
2026-02-21Quezada Carlos R.directorWithheld for tax2,65189,873Form 4
2026-02-21Metzger Steven DofficerWithheld for tax1,74171,219Form 4
2026-02-21Franch Rob PaulofficerWithheld for tax86919,833Form 4
2026-02-21Pudenz ShaneofficerWithheld for tax78413,475Form 4
2026-02-21Mazzu Sam A. IIIofficerWithheld for tax1096,796Form 4
2026-02-19Quezada Carlos R.directorWithheld for tax1,62792,524Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.