CSR · TickerCove

CSRCenterspaceas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $56.83 · now $56.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CSR has typically landed between $49.62 and $62.95 — a range of −12.7% to +10.8% from the issuance price $56.83.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($56.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$56.83 · 29% of range

$52.39 low$67.96 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.1%

typical move · IQR 9.6%

−12.7%worst (p90)+10.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CSR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $56.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $56.83 (+0.0%)
typical $56.91 (+0.1%)
middle 50% $54.19–$59.62
90% range $49.62–$62.95

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-03-05	−40.8%	−40.8%	+0.0%
2020-03-04	−37.4%	−37.4%	+0.0%
2020-03-06	−35.4%	−40.7%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20	+38.0%	+0.0%	+38.0%
2020-05-06	+32.4%	+0.0%	+32.4%
2020-04-03	+32.3%	+0.0%	+43.2%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

39%

−0.6%

n=18

Feb

47%

−1.8%

n=19

Mar

68%

+1.5%

n=19

Apr

42%

+0.5%

n=19

May

58%

+0.7%

n=19

Jun

68%

+1.0%

n=19

Jul

68%

+1.5%

n=19

Aug

47%

+0.1%

n=19

Sep

47%

+0.3%

n=19

Oct

67%

−0.4%

n=18

Nov

72%

+1.8%

n=18

Dec

61%

+1.2%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-22	Jones-Tyson Rodney	director	Purchase	1,700 @ $55.26	$94K	+27.5% of holding	+2.2%	not yet — horizon still open	7,877	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-18	Schissel John A	director	Purchase	500 @ $54.90	$27K	+3.0% of holding	+1.0%	not yet — horizon still open	17,195	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Olson Anne	director	Purchase	750 @ $55.10	$41K	+4.0% of holding	+9.4%	+13.4%	19,496	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Schissel John A	director	Purchase	500 @ $54.00	$27K	+3.6% of holding	+9.4%	+13.4%	14,398	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Patel Bhairav	officer	Purchase	500 @ $54.00	$27K	+15.5% of holding	+9.4%	+13.4%	3,733	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

86 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-01	TWINEM MARY J	director	Option exercise	1,446	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Rosenberg Jay L.	director	Option exercise	1,446	2,587	Form 4
2026-06-01	Jones-Tyson Rodney	director	Option exercise	1,446	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Jones-Tyson Rodney	director	Option exercise	1,446	6,177	Form 4
2026-06-01	Schissel John A	director	Option exercise	2,297	16,695	Form 4
2026-06-01	Rosenberg Jay L.	director	Option exercise	1,446	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hixon Ola Oyinsan	director	Option exercise	1,446	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Green Emily Nagle	director	Option exercise	1,446	8,568	Form 4
2026-06-01	Green Emily Nagle	director	Option exercise	1,446	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Hixon Ola Oyinsan	director	Option exercise	1,446	3,193	Form 4
2026-06-01	Schissel John A	director	Option exercise	2,297	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	TWINEM MARY J	director	Option exercise	1,446	11,566	Form 4
2026-05-13	Hixon Ola Oyinsan	director	Award / grant	1,337	1,337	Form 4
2026-05-13	Jones-Tyson Rodney	director	Award / grant	1,337	1,337	Form 4
2026-05-13	Schissel John A	director	Award / grant	2,124	2,124	Form 4
2026-05-13	TWINEM MARY J	director	Award / grant	1,337	1,337	Form 4
2026-05-13	Rosenberg Jay L.	director	Award / grant	1,337	1,337	Form 4
2026-03-31	Olson Anne	director	Withheld for tax	2,875	30,226	Form 4
2026-03-31	Patel Bhairav	officer	Withheld for tax	637	9,062	Form 4
2026-03-31	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	1,831	9,699	Form 4
2026-03-31	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	1,831	0	Form 4
2026-03-31	Olson Anne	director	Option exercise	5,492	33,101	Form 4
2026-03-31	Olson Anne	director	Option exercise	5,492	0	Form 4
2026-02-02	Olson Anne	director	Withheld for tax	322	27,609	Form 4
2026-02-02	Patel Bhairav	officer	Withheld for tax	202	7,868	Form 4
2026-02-02	Patel Bhairav	officer	Award / grant	620	8,070	Form 4
2026-02-02	Olson Anne	director	Award / grant	1,050	27,931	Form 4
2026-01-01	Patel Bhairav	officer	Award / grant	4,895	4,895	Form 4
2026-01-01	Olson Anne	director	Award / grant	13,437	13,437	Form 4
2025-12-26	Olson Anne	director	Withheld for tax	4,281	26,881	Form 4
2025-12-26	Olson Anne	director	Withheld for tax	3,835	31,162	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Withheld for tax	2,468	7,450	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Withheld for tax	1,427	9,918	Form 4
2025-12-26	Olson Anne	director	Option exercise	3,378	3,378	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	595	0	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	1,175	1,175	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	1,018	2,038	Form 4
2025-12-26	Olson Anne	director	Option exercise	2,938	26,820	Form 4
2025-12-26	Olson Anne	director	Award / grant	8,177	34,997	Form 4
2025-12-26	Patel Bhairav	officer	Option exercise	595	4,328	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i