Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.68 · now $7.68 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CSPI has typically landed between $6.02 and $10.03 — a range of −21.6% to +30.6% from the issuance price $7.68.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.68) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CSPI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.68 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.68 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.68 (+0.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.97–$8.39
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.02–$10.03
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −64.5% | −64.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −61.0% | −64.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −59.8% | −64.0% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-01-31 | +134.1% | −10.9% | +134.1% |
| 2024-01-25 | +124.6% | −12.0% | +124.6% |
| 2024-02-02 | +104.2% | −7.4% | +143.3% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 472 @ $7.96 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,423,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 28 @ $7.90 | $221 | +0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,423,028 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-14 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $7.90 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,423,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,600 @ $7.75 | $12K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,420,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $7.90 | $8K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,422,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $7.85 | $8K | +0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,421,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $8.32 | $832 | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,418,900 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-10 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 71 @ $8.29 | $589 | +0.0% of holding | −7.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,418,800 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-09 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 700 @ $8.69 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,418,530 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 199 @ $8.05 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | +3.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,418,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $8.75 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,416,530 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 800 @ $8.40 | $7K | +0.1% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,417,830 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.60 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | +3.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,417,030 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | FOLGER ANTHONY | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $9.36 | $23K | +25.0% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,500 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | Azeri Ismail | director | Purchase | 218 @ $9.41 | $2K | +0.2% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,490 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Webber Stephen J. | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $9.48 | $24K | +25.0% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | Azeri Ismail | director | Purchase | 2,282 @ $9.38 | $21K | +2.2% of holding | −0.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 108,272 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $8.59 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −5.1% | −26.4% | 1,411,282 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-12 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.58 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.0% | 1,410,675 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-12 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 407 @ $8.45 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −2.4% | −25.0% | 1,411,082 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 400 @ $8.50 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | +1.7% | −22.4% | 1,409,475 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 400 @ $8.48 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | +1.7% | −22.4% | 1,410,175 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $8.45 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | +1.7% | −22.4% | 1,409,775 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.80 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,408,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $8.91 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,408,075 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $8.95 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,408,275 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $8.92 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,407,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $8.75 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,408,975 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $8.70 | $870 | +0.0% of holding | −3.3% | −21.2% | 1,409,075 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.79 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −28.1% | 1,407,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.71 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −28.1% | 1,407,075 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-24 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $8.69 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −4.8% | −28.1% | 1,406,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 400 @ $9.13 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −9.1% | −34.4% | 1,406,075 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-19 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 112 @ $9.18 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −9.1% | −34.4% | 1,405,675 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-18 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,300 @ $9.20 | $12K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | −29.0% | 1,403,763 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $9.30 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | −29.0% | 1,402,463 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $9.21 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | −29.0% | 1,404,763 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 800 @ $9.12 | $7K | +0.1% of holding | −4.2% | −29.0% | 1,405,563 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,800 @ $9.21 | $17K | +0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −32.9% | 1,400,563 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,500 @ $9.32 | $14K | +0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −32.9% | 1,396,563 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,200 @ $9.18 | $11K | +0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −32.9% | 1,397,763 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $9.27 | $9K | +0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −32.9% | 1,398,763 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 900 @ $9.15 | $8K | +0.1% of holding | −5.8% | −32.9% | 1,401,463 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,200 @ $11.21 | $13K | +0.1% of holding | −0.3% | −23.2% | 1,394,063 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $11.21 | $11K | +0.1% of holding | −0.3% | −23.2% | 1,395,063 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,150 @ $11.91 | $26K | +0.2% of holding | −5.5% | +8.7% | 1,392,163 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000 @ $11.99 | $12K | +0.1% of holding | −5.5% | +8.7% | 1,390,013 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $11.80 | $6K | +0.0% of holding | −5.5% | +8.7% | 1,392,663 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $11.71 | $2K | +0.0% of holding | −5.5% | +8.7% | 1,392,863 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $13.86 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −14.0% | −18.4% | 1,388,513 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-06 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $13.60 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −14.0% | −18.4% | 1,388,713 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-06 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $13.50 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −14.0% | −18.4% | 1,388,913 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-06 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $13.48 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −14.0% | −18.4% | 1,389,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-05 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $13.92 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −17.6% | −29.6% | 1,388,313 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500 @ $13.96 | $7K | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | −32.3% | 1,387,813 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300 @ $14.10 | $4K | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | −32.3% | 1,388,113 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $14.00 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | −32.3% | 1,387,213 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $13.97 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | −32.3% | 1,387,313 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 100 @ $13.91 | $1K | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | −32.3% | 1,387,113 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | NERGES JOSEPH R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200 @ $14.75 | $3K | +0.0% of holding | −19.5% | −40.0% | 1,387,013 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
10 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | LEVINE GARY W | officer | Award / grant | 259 | 216,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | SOUTHWELL GARY | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 135,222 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Azeri Ismail | director | Award / grant | 5,000 | 105,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | FOLGER ANTHONY | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | LEVINE GARY W | officer | Award / grant | 8,500 | 216,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Dellovo Victor | director | Award / grant | 35,000 | 866,860 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | Webber Stephen J. | director | Award / grant | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-31 | LEVINE GARY W | officer | Award / grant | 200 | 198,696 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-31 | LEVINE GARY W | officer | Award / grant | 136 | 198,496 | Form 4 |
| 2024-11-15 | SOUTHWELL GARY | officer | Award / grant | 20,000 | 120,102 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.