CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedBasic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $317.54 · now $317.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CSL has typically landed between $275.29 and $364.36 — a range of −13.3% to +14.7% from the issuance price $317.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($317.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CSL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $317.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$275.29worst · -13.3%$364.36best · +14.7%
  • now $317.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $323.15 (+1.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $302.76–$343.55
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $275.29–$364.36
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-23−42.1%−42.1%+0.0%
2008-09-22−41.8%−41.8%+0.0%
2008-09-24−40.8%−40.8%+0.0%
3 best
2009-07-09+47.1%+0.0%+47.1%
2009-07-10+43.4%+0.0%+45.9%
2009-07-08+42.0%−1.1%+43.8%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.7%
n=20
Feb
80%
+4.4%
n=20
Mar
50%
+0.3%
n=20
Apr
60%
+3.5%
n=20
May
65%
+1.5%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.4%
n=20
Jul
55%
+3.1%
n=20
Aug
65%
+1.2%
n=20
Sep
30%
−3.3%
n=20
Oct
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Nov
85%
+4.3%
n=20
Dec
55%
+0.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$416$2942026-02-19: 1 insider sale, $95K — Easton Andrew C2026-02-12: 2 insider sales, $2.5M — Schwar Stephen …2026-02-10: 15 insider sales, $25.6M — KOCH D CHRISTIAN, Zdimal Kevin P, SMITH DAVID W …2026-02: 18 open-market sales, $28.2M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Easton Andrew C — Sale on 2026-02-19, filed same dayofficer Schwar Stephen — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schwar Stephen — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KOCH D CHRISTIAN — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KOCH D CHRISTIAN — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KOCH D CHRISTIAN — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KOCH D CHRISTIAN — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SMITH DAVID W — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer SMITH DAVID W — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Zdimal Kevin P — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-19Easton Andrew CofficerSale233 @ $407.57$95K−20.1% of holding−14.7%−24.0%926Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-12Schwar StephenofficerSale4,549 @ $417.42$1.9M−34.8% of holding−17.6%−25.2%8,540Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12Schwar StephenofficerSale1,500 @ $417.16$626K−10.3% of holding−17.6%−25.2%13,089Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorSale12,280 @ $412.31$5.1M−8.2% of holding−13.6%−19.8%137,218Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorSale11,652 @ $414.18$4.8M−9.2% of holding−13.6%−19.8%114,944Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorSale10,622 @ $413.49$4.4M−7.7% of holding−13.6%−19.8%126,596Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale5,824 @ $405.44$2.4M−12.5% of holding−13.6%−19.8%40,730Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale5,414 @ $406.08$2.2M−10.4% of holding−13.6%−19.8%46,554Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale4,199 @ $406.26$1.7M−10.3% of holding−13.6%−19.8%36,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale2,533 @ $416.69$1.1M−7.7% of holding−13.6%−19.8%30,294Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale2,306 @ $405.19$934K−4.2% of holding−13.6%−19.8%51,968Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale2,129 @ $415.91$885K−6.1% of holding−13.6%−19.8%32,827Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10KOCH D CHRISTIANdirectorSale1,706 @ $415.03$708K−1.5% of holding−13.6%−19.8%113,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale1,447 @ $407.44$590K−4.0% of holding−13.6%−19.8%35,084Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10SMITH DAVID WofficerSale1,020 @ $414.05$422K−21.6% of holding−13.6%−19.8%3,697Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10SMITH DAVID WofficerSale780 @ $414.05$323K−17.4% of holding−13.6%−19.8%3,697Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale200 @ $417.61$84K−0.7% of holding−13.6%−19.8%30,094Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10Zdimal Kevin PofficerSale128 @ $408.06$52K−0.4% of holding−13.6%−19.8%34,956Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-08PATEL MEHULofficerSale150 @ $350.53$53K−15.5% of holding+2.1%−1.4%815Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-07Collins Jonathan R.directorSale1,050 @ $349.24$367K−28.3% of holding+2.1%−1.4%2,665Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

209 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorOption exercise4,0700Form 4
2026-09-10Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant246246Form 4
2026-09-10Frias James DdirectorOther acquisition1975,723Form 4
2026-09-10Ricard Corrine D.directorOther acquisition1976,015Form 4
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorDisposition5058,247Form 4
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorOption exercise4,0708,752Form 4
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorOption exercise4,0708,752Form 4
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorOption exercise4,0708,752Form 4
2026-09-10Singh Jesse GdirectorOption exercise4,0708,752Form 4
2026-09-01Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant11Form 4
2026-09-01Frias James DdirectorAward / grant328,704Form 4
2026-09-01Hansen MaiadirectorAward / grant1335Form 4
2026-09-01Ricard Corrine D.directorAward / grant267,147Form 4
2026-09-01Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant164,070Form 4
2026-09-01Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant1313Form 4
2026-06-01Hansen MaiadirectorAward / grant1334Form 4
2026-06-01Frias James DdirectorAward / grant298,672Form 4
2026-06-01Ricard Corrine D.directorAward / grant237,121Form 4
2026-06-01Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant134,054Form 4
2026-06-01Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant1111Form 4
2026-06-01Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant11Form 4
2026-04-29Collins Jonathan R.directorOption exercise5,9020Form 4
2026-04-29Collins Jonathan R.directorOption exercise5,9029,029Form 4
2026-04-29Collins Jonathan R.directorOption exercise5,9029,029Form 4
2026-04-28Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant4343Form 4
2026-04-28Myers Charles DaviddirectorAward / grant5052,173Form 4
2026-04-28Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant5051,078Form 4
2026-04-28Ricard Corrine D.directorAward / grant5055,818Form 4
2026-04-28Hansen MaiadirectorAward / grant5054,682Form 4
2026-04-28Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant5054,682Form 4
2026-04-28Frias James DdirectorAward / grant5055,526Form 4
2026-03-02Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant99Form 4
2026-03-02Collins Jonathan R.directorAward / grant165,902Form 4
2026-03-02Singh Jesse GdirectorAward / grant114,041Form 4
2026-03-02Hansen MaiadirectorAward / grant1333Form 4
2026-03-02Ricard Corrine D.directorAward / grant207,098Form 4
2026-03-02Frias James DdirectorAward / grant248,643Form 4
2026-03-02Palmer SheryldirectorAward / grant11Form 4
2026-02-19Easton Andrew CofficerOption exercise3001,159Form 4
2026-02-19Easton Andrew CofficerOption exercise30095Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.