Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.23 · now $71.23 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRVL has typically landed between $62.35 and $82.05 — a range of −12.5% to +15.2% from the issuance price $71.23.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.23) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CRVL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.23 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $71.23 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $71.93 (+1.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $67.57–$76.3
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $62.35–$82.05
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2007-02-01 | −39.4% | −39.4% | +0.0% |
| 2007-02-02 | −37.1% | −39.1% | +0.0% |
| 2007-02-05 | −36.6% | −38.5% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-14 | +48.0% | +0.0% | +51.7% |
| 2020-05-07 | +43.6% | −5.3% | +43.6% |
| 2020-05-13 | +42.2% | −0.4% | +51.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
55%
−0.9%
n=20
Feb
50%
−2.9%
n=20
Mar
75%
+1.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.3%
n=20
May
85%
+4.3%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.4%
n=20
Aug
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Sep
50%
−0.9%
n=20
Oct
60%
+4.1%
n=20
Nov
55%
+3.1%
n=20
Dec
65%
+5.4%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 127,824 @ $70.16 | $9.0M | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,517,108 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,925 @ $69.05 | $2.1M | −0.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,644,932 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,538 @ $68.76 | $1000K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,675,857 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 51,713 @ $68.91 | $3.6M | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,690,395 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 4,023 @ $70.07 | $282K | −3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 111,798 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 1,262 @ $70.64 | $89K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 115,821 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 1,562 @ $70.71 | $110K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 117,083 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Sale | 2,100 @ $70.92 | $149K | −49.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,173 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Sale | 2,250 @ $60.59 | $136K | −24.2% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,050 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-12 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 500 @ $60.79 | $30K | −3.9% of holding | +0.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,322 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-11 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $60.55 | $424K | −35.3% of holding | −0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,822 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-10 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $61.38 | $430K | −26.1% of holding | −0.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,822 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $60.98 | $549K | −1.6% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 559,721 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $60.90 | $426K | −20.7% of holding | −0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 26,822 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-08 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 7,000 @ $60.22 | $422K | −17.1% of holding | +2.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 33,822 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Sale | 958 @ $61.02 | $58K | −30.6% of holding | +3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,173 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Sale | 900 @ $61.02 | $55K | −29.3% of holding | +3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,173 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Sale | 141 @ $61.02 | $9K | −6.1% of holding | +3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,173 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $54.00 | $130K | −25.4% of holding | −0.8% | +19.5% | 7,050 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 8,013 @ $54.00 | $433K | −16.4% of holding | +0.0% | +12.7% | 40,760 | Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | HAMERSLAG STEVEN J | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $48.41 | $484K | −3.4% of holding | +11.3% | +22.0% | 287,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | HAMERSLAG STEVEN J | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $47.17 | $472K | −3.3% of holding | +15.5% | +24.5% | 297,000 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-19 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Sale | 1,200 @ $72.35 | $87K | −31.6% of holding | −6.9% | −25.5% | 2,594 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-11 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 7,076 @ $76.94 | $544K | −5.8% of holding | −9.8% | −36.0% | 115,045 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 210 @ $76.27 | $16K | −0.2% of holding | −9.5% | −32.7% | 122,121 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 3,247 @ $76.20 | $247K | −2.8% of holding | −13.5% | −34.7% | 111,798 | Form 4 · filed 17 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Sale | 9,000 @ $87.82 | $790K | −56.1% of holding | −17.2% | −41.6% | 7,050 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 70,000 @ $91.46 | $6.4M | −0.4% of holding | −21.4% | −47.8% | 18,742,108 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-08 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 1,764 @ $91.54 | $161K | −16.5% of holding | −21.4% | −47.8% | 8,948 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | CORSTAR HOLDINGS INC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,000 @ $88.85 | $3.6M | −0.2% of holding | −20.7% | −47.0% | 18,812,108 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-20 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $89.16 | $1.1M | −63.0% of holding | −15.0% | −53.1% | 7,050 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Sale | 900 @ $89.17 | $80K | −25.8% of holding | −10.8% | −53.7% | 2,586 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $88.58 | $133K | −1.3% of holding | +3.0% | −53.0% | 113,713 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 500 @ $88.58 | $44K | −2.0% of holding | +3.0% | −53.0% | 24,192 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 3,957 @ $108.46 | $429K | −25.1% of holding | −12.5% | −51.5% | 11,804 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $108.28 | $325K | −2.5% of holding | −12.5% | −51.5% | 115,213 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-09 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Sale | 2,400 @ $108.09 | $259K | −25.4% of holding | −12.5% | −51.5% | 7,050 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 2,211 @ $110.64 | $245K | −12.3% of holding | −13.8% | −51.8% | 15,761 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-03 | Combs Michael G | officer | Sale | 2,816 @ $112.36 | $316K | −6.0% of holding | −13.2% | −50.6% | 44,281 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 6,351 @ $110.41 | $701K | −4.9% of holding | −13.7% | −50.3% | 122,331 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 150 @ $111.76 | $17K | −0.1% of holding | −11.3% | −50.8% | 128,682 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Sale | 1,050 @ $111.39 | $117K | −33.5% of holding | −12.2% | −49.7% | 2,088 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 687 @ $111.25 | $76K | −0.5% of holding | −12.2% | −49.7% | 128,832 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $113.05 | $339K | −15.2% of holding | −13.0% | −48.1% | 16,688 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Sale | 935 @ $113.50 | $106K | −0.7% of holding | −13.0% | −48.1% | 129,519 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Sale | 900 @ $113.34 | $102K | −25.8% of holding | −13.0% | −48.1% | 2,586 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 8,609 @ $117.31 | $1.0M | −1.5% of holding | −5.5% | −59.7% | 551,787 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 7,914 @ $116.64 | $923K | −1.4% of holding | −5.5% | −59.7% | 560,396 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 9,000 @ $116.28 | $1.0M | −1.6% of holding | +1.7% | −25.9% | 569,787 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 1,086 @ $117.15 | $127K | −0.2% of holding | +1.7% | −25.9% | 568,310 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Sale | 391 @ $118.48 | $46K | −0.1% of holding | +1.7% | −25.9% | 569,396 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 1,512 @ $117.54 | $178K | −8.8% of holding | −2.4% | −30.3% | 15,630 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 5,200 @ $116.50 | $606K | −4.2% of holding | −1.7% | −30.0% | 118,213 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $116.28 | $581K | −3.9% of holding | −1.7% | −30.0% | 123,413 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 1,206 @ $119.56 | $144K | −6.5% of holding | −3.4% | −30.4% | 17,459 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 317 @ $119.56 | $38K | −1.8% of holding | −3.4% | −30.4% | 17,142 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 4,000 @ $121.29 | $485K | −16.9% of holding | −1.2% | −31.2% | 19,688 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | O'Brien Brandon | officer | Sale | 991 @ $122.02 | $121K | −5.0% of holding | −1.2% | −31.2% | 18,665 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Sale | 800 @ $121.10 | $97K | −0.6% of holding | −1.2% | −31.2% | 128,413 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | HAMERSLAG STEVEN J | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $123.48 | $1.2M | −3.1% of holding | −7.0% | −35.5% | 314,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
153 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 2,100 | 4,273 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-20 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 2,100 | 852 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Combs Michael G | officer | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | HAMERSLAG STEVEN J | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Burkey Joanna M. | director | Award / grant | 1,500 | 1,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Option exercise | 51 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Option exercise | 51 | 56 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 45 | 11 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1 | 10 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 33,192 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | HOOPS ALAN | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Option exercise | 750 | 3,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 634 | 2,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 33 | 2,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Scott Sarah A. | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Option exercise | 2,250 | 9,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-12 | Shishin Maxim | officer | Option exercise | 2,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Withheld for tax | 2,153 | 118,645 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | JESSUP R JUDD | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 120,798 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 568,721 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-09 | MICHAEL JEFFREY J | director | Option exercise | 9,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 958 | 3,131 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 900 | 3,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 141 | 2,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 958 | 2,241 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 900 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-26 | Yoss Jennifer | officer | Option exercise | 141 | 2,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Option exercise | 18 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Option exercise | 18 | 18 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 12 | 6 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Nichols Brian S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1 | 5 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Option exercise | 1,050 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Option exercise | 1,050 | 3,656 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 736 | 2,920 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-22 | Bertels Mark E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 94 | 2,826 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.