CRTCross Timbers Royalty TrustEnergy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.60 · now $12.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRT has typically landed between $9.98 and $15.45 — a range of −20.8% to +22.6% from the issuance price $12.60.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CRT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.98worst · -20.8%$15.45best · +22.6%
  • now $12.6 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.75 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.73–$13.76
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.98–$15.45
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-04−57.9%−57.9%+0.0%
2009-02-03−57.4%−57.4%+0.0%
2009-02-05−55.6%−57.8%+0.0%
3 best
2023-03-17+53.6%+0.0%+53.9%
2023-03-20+49.3%+0.0%+49.3%
2008-10-10+47.5%+0.0%+58.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+6.1%
n=20
Feb
55%
−2.5%
n=20
Mar
40%
−1.8%
n=20
Apr
75%
+5.8%
n=20
May
50%
+2.6%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Jul
40%
−0.8%
n=20
Aug
65%
+1.1%
n=20
Sep
35%
−0.3%
n=20
Oct
65%
+2.8%
n=20
Nov
55%
−0.1%
n=20
Dec
40%
−3.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$13$72026-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $187K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-09: 1 insider purchase, $81K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-08: 1 insider purchase, $67K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-04: 1 insider purchase, $60K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-03: 1 insider purchase, $8K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-02: 1 insider purchase, $24K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $41K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $100K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-08-13: 1 insider purchase, $31K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $131K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-08-11: 1 insider purchase, $131K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-25: 1 insider purchase, $33K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-24: 1 insider purchase, $35K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-23: 1 insider purchase, $300K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-22: 1 insider purchase, $181K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-02: 1 insider purchase, $60K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-06-01: 1 insider purchase, $48K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-05-29: 1 insider purchase, $96K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $254K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-05-20: 1 insider purchase, $205K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $91K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-20: 1 insider purchase, $42K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-17: 1 insider purchase, $301K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-15: 1 insider purchase, $39K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-14: 1 insider purchase, $226K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-10: 1 insider purchase, $71K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-08: 1 insider purchase, $104K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-07: 1 insider purchase, $48K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-06: 1 insider purchase, $2K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-02: 1 insider purchase, $4K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-04-01: 1 insider purchase, $135K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-03-31: 1 insider purchase, $441 — OLIVER ERIC L2026-03-27: 1 insider purchase, $701K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-03-26: 1 insider purchase, $31K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-03-25: 1 insider purchase, $253K — OLIVER ERIC L2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $986K2026-04: 10 open-market purchases, $973K2026-05: 4 open-market purchases, $647K2026-06: 6 open-market purchases, $659K2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $393K2026-09: 7 open-market purchases, $469K↑ buys↓ salesdirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-03, filed 5 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-08-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-22, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-05-20, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-17, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-10, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-02, filed 5 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-04-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-03-31, filed 2 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-03-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-03-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector OLIVER ERIC L — Purchase on 2026-03-25, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase16,360 @ $11.46$187K+1.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,005,873Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-09OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase7,134 @ $11.29$81K+0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open989,513Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-08OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase6,142 @ $10.94$67K+0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open982,379Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-04OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase5,473 @ $10.90$60K+0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open976,237Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-03OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase790 @ $10.67$8K+0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open970,764Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-09-02OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase2,289 @ $10.63$24K+0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open969,974Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase3,947 @ $10.51$41K+0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open967,685Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase9,609 @ $10.44$100K+1.0% of holding+28.5%not yet — horizon still open963,738Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-13OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase3,087 @ $10.12$31K+0.3% of holding+21.3%not yet — horizon still open954,129Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-12OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase12,950 @ $10.08$131K+1.4% of holding+17.0%not yet — horizon still open951,042Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase13,132 @ $9.95$131K+1.4% of holding+14.9%not yet — horizon still open938,092Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-25OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase3,727 @ $8.88$33K+0.4% of holding+13.6%not yet — horizon still open924,960Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-24OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase4,047 @ $8.66$35K+0.4% of holding+17.0%not yet — horizon still open921,233Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-23OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase34,596 @ $8.68$300K+3.9% of holding+15.6%not yet — horizon still open917,186Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase20,968 @ $8.65$181K+2.4% of holding+13.1%not yet — horizon still open882,590Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-02OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase5,748 @ $10.52$60K+0.7% of holding−12.8%not yet — horizon still open861,622Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase4,642 @ $10.43$48K+0.5% of holding−11.8%not yet — horizon still open855,874Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-29OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase9,297 @ $10.37$96K+1.1% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open851,232Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-26OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase23,386 @ $10.88$254K+2.9% of holding−16.6%not yet — horizon still open841,935Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase18,902 @ $10.87$205K+2.4% of holding−21.7%not yet — horizon still open818,549Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase8,542 @ $10.61$91K+1.1% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open799,647Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-20OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase4,032 @ $10.38$42K+0.5% of holding−1.7%not yet — horizon still open791,105Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-17OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase28,861 @ $10.44$301K+3.8% of holding−2.3%not yet — horizon still open787,073Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-15OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase3,747 @ $10.48$39K+0.5% of holding−3.1%not yet — horizon still open758,212Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-14OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase21,678 @ $10.42$226K+3.0% of holding−2.4%not yet — horizon still open754,465Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-10OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase6,844 @ $10.42$71K+0.9% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open732,787Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-08OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase10,033 @ $10.40$104K+1.4% of holding−9.3%not yet — horizon still open725,943Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-07OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase4,585 @ $10.49$48K+0.6% of holding−12.2%not yet — horizon still open715,910Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-06OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase182 @ $10.50$2K+0.0% of holding−6.7%not yet — horizon still open711,325Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-02OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase399 @ $10.60$4K+0.1% of holding−8.7%not yet — horizon still open711,143Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-04-01OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase12,851 @ $10.50$135K+1.8% of holding−8.8%not yet — horizon still open710,744Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase42 @ $10.50$441+0.0% of holding−8.2%not yet — horizon still open697,893Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-27OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase68,467 @ $10.24$701K+10.9% of holding−9.3%not yet — horizon still open697,851Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-26OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase3,159 @ $9.91$31K+0.5% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open629,384Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-25OLIVER ERIC LdirectorPurchase26,134 @ $9.69$253K+4.4% of holding−2.1%not yet — horizon still open626,225Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.