Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.16 · now $13.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRSR has typically landed between $10.29 and $17.16 — a range of −21.8% to +30.4% from the issuance price $13.16.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,481 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CRSR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.16 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.88 (-2.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.68–$14.08
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.29–$17.16
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-03-10 | −43.9% | −43.9% | +0.6% |
| 2025-03-12 | −43.3% | −44.0% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-20 | −41.8% | −41.8% | +1.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-10-26 | +109.4% | −6.2% | +109.4% |
| 2020-10-23 | +83.7% | −6.9% | +83.7% |
| 2026-04-28 | +78.6% | +0.0% | +78.6% |
1,481 overlapping windows · 2020-09-23 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Sale | 8,874 @ $13.69 | $121K | −28.3% of holding | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 22,458 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-25 | La Thi L | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $6.10 | $305K | +11.6% of holding | −3.4% | +84.7% | 480,726 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Sale | 5,263 @ $6.42 | $34K | −19.8% of holding | +3.9% | +4.6% | 21,312 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-11-07 | Szteinbaum Samuel R. | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $6.59 | $659K | +31.2% of holding | +2.5% | +3.9% | 420,267 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-12 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Sale | 7,286 @ $9.20 | $67K | −21.5% of holding | −4.5% | −55.0% | 26,575 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | Potter Michael G | officer | Sale | 1,123 @ $10.08 | $11K | −0.9% of holding | −4.9% | −52.4% | 122,816 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-19 | Potter Michael G | officer | Sale | 4,124 @ $10.08 | $42K | −3.2% of holding | −34.4% | −32.9% | 125,650 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 8,345 | 763,389 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 5,820 | 771,734 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,908 | 777,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 2,563 | 779,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Award / grant | 16,367 | 16,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | cahilly jason glen | director | Award / grant | 10,020 | 56,397 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | cahilly jason glen | director | Award / grant | 16,367 | 16,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Award / grant | 10,020 | 31,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | WEISENBURGER RANDALL J | director | Award / grant | 10,020 | 115,220 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | WEISENBURGER RANDALL J | director | Award / grant | 16,367 | 16,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Szteinbaum Samuel R. | director | Award / grant | 10,020 | 430,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Szteinbaum Samuel R. | director | Award / grant | 16,367 | 16,367 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 8,679 | 782,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-18 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 5,820 | 790,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-16 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,908 | 796,524 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | La Thi L | director | Award / grant | 196,886 | 821,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | La Thi L | director | Award / grant | 323,000 | 323,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 23,313 | 798,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Mattingly Gordon | officer | Award / grant | 323,000 | 323,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | La Thi L | director | Award / grant | 166,000 | 624,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Mattingly Gordon | officer | Award / grant | 166,000 | 166,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 16,394 | 458,859 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-16 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,528 | 475,253 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-15 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 2,075 | 476,781 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,870 | 478,856 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-16 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,342 | 430,726 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-16 | Potter Michael G | officer | Withheld for tax | 627 | 120,300 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-16 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,342 | 432,068 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-16 | Potter Michael G | officer | Withheld for tax | 627 | 120,927 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,803 | 433,410 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-15 | Potter Michael G | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,262 | 121,554 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | La Thi L | director | Withheld for tax | 1,626 | 435,213 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-02 | Potter Michael G | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,084 | 123,939 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-30 | Paul Andrew J. | director | Withheld for tax | 57,960 | 2,859,375 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Szteinbaum Samuel R. | director | Award / grant | 26,738 | 26,738 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Bell Diana L. | director | Award / grant | 12,438 | 36,770 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Bell Diana L. | director | Award / grant | 26,738 | 26,738 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Award / grant | 12,438 | 33,861 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | Kim Sarah Mears | director | Award / grant | 26,738 | 26,738 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-10 | WEISENBURGER RANDALL J | director | Award / grant | 26,738 | 26,738 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.