Issued 2026-09-16 at $273.41 · now $273.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRL has typically landed between $228.27 and $329.25 — a range of −16.5% to +20.4% from the issuance price $273.41.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($273.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CRL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $273.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $273.41 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $270.06 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $248.25–$291.86
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $228.27–$329.25
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-22 | −48.2% | −48.2% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-14 | −47.4% | −47.4% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-21 | −47.2% | −47.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +46.6% | +0.0% | +46.6% |
| 2025-04-11 | +44.4% | +0.0% | +44.4% |
| 2025-04-10 | +43.2% | −0.2% | +43.2% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
$10.9B
market cap
$-3.76
EPS (TTM)
—
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-05
next earnings
Revenue$4.0B
'20'25
Net income−$144M
'20'25
Free cash flow$518M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr-3.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr-4.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.97
'20'25
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$97.89
- Analyst target · range $213.00–$260.00$220.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$273.41
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
67%
+2.9%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.5%
n=19
Mar
74%
+0.6%
n=19
Apr
26%
−3.4%
n=19
May
63%
+2.9%
n=19
Jun
53%
+3.7%
n=19
Jul
68%
+5.2%
n=19
Aug
42%
−0.7%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.8%
n=19
Oct
50%
−1.1%
n=18
Nov
56%
−0.4%
n=18
Dec
67%
+3.2%
n=18
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Sale | 33,561 @ $300.00 | $10.1M | −51.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 31,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Sale | 2,039 @ $294.12 | $600K | −29.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Andrews Nancy C | director | Sale | 573 @ $285.24 | $163K | −28.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,438 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Girshick Birgit | director | Sale | 6,500 @ $279.90 | $1.8M | −15.3% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 36,013 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Sale | 3,714 @ $279.66 | $1.0M | −43.6% of holding | −1.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-10 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Sale | 28,733 @ $275.00 | $7.9M | −47.6% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,596 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Creamer Victoria L | officer | Sale | 4,179 @ $259.16 | $1.1M | −12.2% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,051 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 1,274 @ $259.07 | $330K | −7.9% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 14,878 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 1,205 @ $258.53 | $312K | −8.7% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,588 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 901 @ $260.63 | $235K | −6.1% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,977 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 810 @ $261.45 | $212K | −5.8% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,167 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 736 @ $258.53 | $190K | −5.8% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,852 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 620 @ $263.94 | $164K | −4.8% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,334 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 482 @ $265.17 | $128K | −3.9% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,852 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 404 @ $258.53 | $104K | −2.8% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,793 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Sale | 213 @ $262.37 | $56K | −1.6% of holding | +8.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,954 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Sale | 5,046 @ $263.00 | $1.3M | −51.2% of holding | +12.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Sale | 75,000 @ $225.00 | $16.9M | −70.4% of holding | +5.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,596 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Purchase | 25 @ $174.54 | $4K | +0.1% of holding | +3.0% | +48.1% | 27,448 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-22 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Sale | 400 @ $163.72 | $65K | −1.7% of holding | −10.2% | −4.5% | 23,716 | Form 4 · filed 151 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Sale | 800 @ $157.60 | $126K | −3.2% of holding | −5.2% | −6.6% | 24,116 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-07 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Sale | 400 @ $150.04 | $60K | −1.6% of holding | +5.5% | +16.5% | 24,916 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 81 @ $137.68 | $11K | −1.4% of holding | +6.7% | +7.4% | 5,599 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 35 @ $136.32 | $5K | −0.6% of holding | +6.7% | +7.4% | 5,680 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-15 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 24 @ $139.05 | $3K | −0.4% of holding | +6.7% | +7.4% | 5,575 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 91 @ $139.95 | $13K | −1.6% of holding | +6.0% | +6.5% | 5,764 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 21 @ $140.78 | $3K | −0.4% of holding | +6.0% | +6.5% | 5,743 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 14 @ $141.85 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +6.0% | +6.5% | 5,729 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 7 @ $145.54 | $1K | −0.1% of holding | +6.0% | +6.5% | 5,715 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | MASSARO GEORGE | director | Sale | 7 @ $143.77 | $1K | −0.1% of holding | +6.0% | +6.5% | 5,722 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Sale | 500 @ $145.41 | $73K | −2.5% of holding | +2.6% | +3.4% | 19,513 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Purchase | 6,075 @ $165.01 | $1.0M | +3.4% of holding | +10.4% | −9.5% | 183,639 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Sale | 4,400 @ $162.50 | $715K | −18.0% of holding | +10.4% | −9.5% | 20,013 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Girshick Birgit | director | Purchase | 1,514 @ $164.63 | $249K | +2.8% of holding | +10.4% | −9.5% | 55,058 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
176 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 21,132 | 52,728 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 12,429 | 65,157 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 21,132 | 7,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-25 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 12,429 | 12,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Option exercise | 2,039 | 6,846 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Option exercise | 2,039 | 2,039 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-19 | Girshick Birgit | director | Gift | 528 | 35,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Andrews Nancy C | director | Option exercise | 573 | 2,011 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Andrews Nancy C | director | Option exercise | 573 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Girshick Birgit | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 42,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Option exercise | 3,714 | 8,521 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Girshick Birgit | director | Option exercise | 6,500 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-11 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Option exercise | 3,714 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 28,733 | 60,329 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Option exercise | 28,733 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Gift | 257 | 31,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Creamer Victoria L | officer | Option exercise | 4,179 | 34,230 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 1,205 | 13,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 736 | 14,197 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 404 | 12,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Creamer Victoria L | officer | Option exercise | 4,179 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 404 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 1,205 | 402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-06 | Knell Michael Gunnar | officer | Option exercise | 736 | 736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 153,361 | 126,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 153,361 | 155,611 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 20,000 | 106,596 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Girshick Birgit | director | Gift | 3,386 | 36,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 10,000 | 10,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Gift | 1,529 | 9,680 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Gift | 1,529 | 9,853 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | FOSTER JAMES C | director | Gift | 10,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Girshick Birgit | director | Gift | 3,386 | 43,803 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Barg Steven | director | Award / grant | 422 | 3,287 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Girshick Birgit | director | Withheld for tax | 378 | 39,399 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | LaPlume Joseph W | officer | Withheld for tax | 235 | 31,298 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Creamer Victoria L | officer | Withheld for tax | 194 | 30,051 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Parisotto Shannon M | officer | Withheld for tax | 170 | 11,382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-31 | Mintz Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 64 | 9,546 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-03-09 | 2026-02-05 | $1–15K |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | purchase | 2025-06-22 | 2025-05-08 | $15–50K |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | sale | 2025-06-22 | 2025-05-12 | $15–50K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | sale | 2025-05-31 | 2025-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-05-12 | 2025-04-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-05-12 | 2025-04-09 | $1–15K |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | purchase | 2025-05-08 | 2025-04-08 | $15–50K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-04-10 | 2025-03-12 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-04-10 | 2025-03-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-19 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2025-03-06 | 2025-02-25 | $1–15K |
| Julie Johnson | House | purchase | 2025-02-12 | 2025-01-15 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.