CRI · TickerCove

CRICarter's Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retailas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $29.03 · now $29.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRI has typically landed between $24.61 and $33.06 — a range of −15.2% to +13.9% from the issuance price $29.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($29.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$29.03 · 13% of range

$26.85 low$43.76 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.4%

typical move · IQR 12.8%

−15.2%worst (p90)+13.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CRI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $29.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $29.03 (+0.0%)
typical $28.63 (-1.4%)
middle 50% $26.78–$30.49
90% range $24.61–$33.06

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−41.2%	−41.2%	+1.4%
2020-02-21	−40.7%	−41.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−39.9%	−42.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-07-10	+46.6%	−2.0%	+46.6%
2008-07-11	+44.5%	−0.4%	+49.0%
2008-10-15	+43.4%	+0.0%	+54.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−0.6%

n=20

Feb

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Mar

75%

+1.4%

n=20

Apr

65%

+2.2%

n=20

May

50%

−0.4%

n=20

Jun

45%

+0.0%

n=20

Jul

30%

−0.8%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Sep

35%

−0.4%

n=20

Oct

55%

+1.1%

n=20

Nov

70%

+3.0%

n=20

Dec

70%

+1.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

136 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-12	Smith Karen Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	1,124	54,451	Form 4
2026-08-09	Peterson Allison	officer	Withheld for tax	4,426	63,297	Form 4
2026-08-08	Scanlon Emily DeHaven Evert	officer	Withheld for tax	8,743	88,725	Form 4
2026-08-08	Crockett Sarah	officer	Withheld for tax	2,842	41,390	Form 4
2026-06-15	John Sharon Price	director	Award / grant	93,302	155,506	Form 4
2026-06-15	John Sharon Price	director	Award / grant	62,204	62,204	Form 4
2026-06-12	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Disposition	250	175,250	Form 4
2026-06-05	Eagle Jevin	director	Award / grant	12	27,020	Form 4
2026-05-14	Stahl Stephanie	director	Award / grant	4,266	17,303	Form 4
2026-05-14	Black Jeffrey Harry	director	Award / grant	4,266	17,303	Form 4
2026-05-14	Robinson Antonio	officer	Award / grant	4,444	61,066	Form 4
2026-05-14	PRICE GRETCHEN W	director	Award / grant	4,266	21,741	Form 4
2026-05-14	Eagle Jevin	director	Award / grant	4,266	27,008	Form 4
2026-05-14	Hipp Mark	director	Award / grant	4,266	21,184	Form 4
2026-05-14	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Award / grant	4,710	175,500	Form 4
2026-05-14	RAUCH STACEY	director	Award / grant	4,266	17,303	Form 4
2026-05-14	Anderson Rochester Jr.	director	Award / grant	4,266	17,303	Form 4
2026-05-14	Borgen Luis	director	Award / grant	4,266	17,671	Form 4
2026-04-03	Palladini Douglas C	director	Withheld for tax	10,957	343,211	Form 4
2026-04-01	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,085	170,790	Form 4
2026-04-01	Robinson Antonio	officer	Withheld for tax	543	56,622	Form 4
2026-03-27	Borenstein Hali	director	Award / grant	13	17,020	Form 4
2026-03-27	Eagle Jevin	director	Award / grant	13	22,742	Form 4
2026-03-02	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,726	135,549	Form 4
2026-03-02	Smith Karen Marie	officer	Withheld for tax	891	37,519	Form 4
2026-03-02	D'Emilio Julie	officer	Withheld for tax	891	51,628	Form 4
2026-03-02	Robinson Antonio	officer	Withheld for tax	613	35,182	Form 4
2026-03-02	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Disposition	6,594	128,955	Form 4
2026-03-02	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Award / grant	17,168	146,123	Form 4
2026-03-02	Westenberger Richard F.	officer	Award / grant	25,752	171,875	Form 4
2026-03-02	Tichiaz David B Jr.	officer	Award / grant	26,040	26,040	Form 4
2026-03-02	Robinson Antonio	officer	Award / grant	5,724	46,005	Form 4
2026-03-02	Scanlon Emily DeHaven Evert	officer	Award / grant	7,440	86,308	Form 4
2026-03-02	Robinson Antonio	officer	Award / grant	11,160	57,165	Form 4
2026-03-02	Smith Karen Marie	officer	Award / grant	12,876	55,575	Form 4
2026-03-02	Robinson Antonio	officer	Disposition	2,341	32,841	Form 4
2026-03-02	Robinson Antonio	officer	Award / grant	7,440	40,281	Form 4
2026-03-02	Scanlon Emily DeHaven Evert	officer	Award / grant	11,160	97,468	Form 4
2026-03-02	Tichiaz David B Jr.	officer	Award / grant	11,160	37,200	Form 4
2026-03-02	Crockett Sarah	officer	Award / grant	7,440	33,072	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i