Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.26 · now $7.26 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRBP has typically landed between $4.74 and $11.19 — a range of −34.7% to +54.1% from the issuance price $7.26.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,964 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-10-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.26) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CRBP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.26 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $7.26 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.05 (-2.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.82–$8.28
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.74–$11.19
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-09-03 | −87.1% | −87.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-09-04 | −86.9% | −86.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-08-26 | −81.0% | −82.6% | +8.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-12-29 | +360.1% | −1.8% | +360.1% |
| 2023-12-27 | +334.5% | +0.0% | +334.5% |
| 2023-12-28 | +330.0% | −3.7% | +330.0% |
2,964 overlapping windows · 2014-10-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Ben Yong | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $7.84 | $16K | −17.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Saxena Nishant C | officer | Purchase | 2,600 @ $9.63 | $25K | +3.5% of holding | −11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 77,900 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Cohen Yuval | director | Sale | 17,000 @ $10.08 | $171K | −9.8% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 157,316 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-07 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Sale | 12,000 @ $10.08 | $121K | −12.4% of holding | +5.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 84,694 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Sale | 4,800 @ $7.91 | $38K | −55.6% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,833 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Sale | 2,412 @ $7.91 | $19K | −24.1% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-10 | Kung Winston | director | Sale | 2,026 @ $7.91 | $16K | −14.3% of holding | +13.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,140 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-03 | Saxena Nishant C | officer | Purchase | 9,000 @ $7.58 | $68K | +13.6% of holding | +22.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-02 | Saxena Nishant C | officer | Purchase | 4,500 @ $7.33 | $33K | +7.3% of holding | +24.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,300 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Smethurst Dominic | officer | Sale | 6,097 @ $8.30 | $51K | −6.4% of holding | +17.4% | +18.3% | 89,790 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | Hodgson Ian | officer | Sale | 847 @ $7.38 | $6K | −1.6% of holding | +23.5% | +21.1% | 51,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Cohen Yuval | director | Sale | 13,871 @ $7.78 | $108K | −7.4% of holding | +29.0% | +24.8% | 174,316 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Sale | 4,701 @ $7.78 | $37K | −4.6% of holding | +29.0% | +24.8% | 96,694 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Smethurst Dominic | officer | Sale | 3,285 @ $8.09 | $27K | −3.3% of holding | +0.2% | +5.9% | 95,887 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-03 | Hodgson Ian | officer | Sale | 2,415 @ $8.09 | $20K | −4.4% of holding | +0.2% | +5.9% | 51,927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | Cormorant Asset Management, LP | other | Sale | 30,029 @ $11.46 | $344K | −1.3% of holding | −18.9% | −24.2% | 2,344,971 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-27 | Cohen Yuval | director | Sale | 8,973 @ $17.14 | $154K | −6.1% of holding | −31.7% | −46.7% | 138,187 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-24 | Cohen Yuval | director | Sale | 18,660 @ $17.01 | $317K | −11.9% of holding | −31.0% | −47.5% | 138,187 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-24 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Sale | 12,981 @ $17.02 | $221K | −15.0% of holding | −31.0% | −47.5% | 73,313 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Sale | 1,060 @ $20.50 | $22K | −14.6% of holding | −32.6% | −49.2% | 6,191 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Sale | 2,783 @ $7.35 | $20K | −98.8% of holding | −8.6% | +38.9% | 33 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Sale | 1,392 @ $7.25 | $10K | −50.0% of holding | −8.6% | +38.9% | 1,391 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | Smethurst Dominic | officer | Sale | 6,393 @ $6.78 | $43K | −8.3% of holding | −16.5% | +27.8% | 70,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Cohen Yuval | director | Sale | 7,134 @ $8.76 | $62K | −4.9% of holding | −17.6% | +2.6% | 138,187 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Sale | 2,792 @ $8.76 | $24K | −3.7% of holding | −17.6% | +2.6% | 73,313 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Nicacio Leonardo Viana | officer | Award / grant | 191,676 | 191,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | Nicacio Leonardo Viana | officer | Award / grant | 58,333 | 58,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Saxena Nishant C | officer | Award / grant | 58,300 | 61,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Saxena Nishant C | officer | Award / grant | 192,300 | 192,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kung Winston | director | Award / grant | 3,800 | 14,166 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kung Winston | director | Award / grant | 12,300 | 12,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 12,300 | 12,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 3,800 | 8,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 12,300 | 12,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 3,800 | 11,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Award / grant | 3,800 | 9,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Award / grant | 12,300 | 12,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Pfeiffenberger Brent | director | Award / grant | 7,500 | 7,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Pfeiffenberger Brent | director | Award / grant | 24,700 | 24,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Ben Yong | director | Award / grant | 3,800 | 11,383 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Ben Yong | director | Award / grant | 12,300 | 12,300 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Award / grant | 28,082 | 101,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Award / grant | 84,247 | 84,247 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Hodgson Ian | officer | Award / grant | 28,365 | 54,342 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Hodgson Ian | officer | Award / grant | 85,095 | 85,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Smethurst Dominic | officer | Award / grant | 28,365 | 99,172 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Smethurst Dominic | officer | Award / grant | 85,095 | 85,095 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cohen Yuval | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 188,187 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cohen Yuval | director | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Cohen Yuval | director | Option exercise | 8,973 | 147,160 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-27 | Cohen Yuval | director | Option exercise | 8,973 | 22,106 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Cohen Yuval | director | Option exercise | 18,660 | 156,847 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Option exercise | 12,981 | 86,294 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Moran Sean F. | officer | Option exercise | 12,981 | 10,386 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-24 | Cohen Yuval | director | Option exercise | 18,660 | 31,079 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Option exercise | 1,060 | 7,251 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-20 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Option exercise | 1,060 | 4,247 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Award / grant | 4,800 | 6,191 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Jacques Rachelle Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Altmeyer Anne | director | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 4,800 | 4,833 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Jenkins John Kenneth | director | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Kung Winston | director | Award / grant | 4,800 | 10,366 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Kung Winston | director | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-30 | Ben Yong | director | Award / grant | 16,000 | 16,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.