CRBG · TickerCove

CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.Financial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $34.85 · now $34.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CRBG has typically landed between $30.22 and $39.98 — a range of −13.3% to +14.7% from the issuance price $34.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

983 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-09-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($34.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$34.85 · 99% of range

$22.11 low$35.02 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.0%

typical move · IQR 11.4%

−13.3%worst (p90)+14.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CRBG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $34.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $34.85 (+0.0%)
typical $35.56 (+2.0%)
middle 50% $33.56–$37.55
90% range $30.22–$39.98

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 983 windows spanning 2022-09-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-02-10	−27.4%	−27.4%	+0.0%
2023-02-23	−27.3%	−27.3%	+2.0%
2023-02-15	−26.5%	−26.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2024-04-17	+23.3%	+0.0%	+23.3%
2025-04-08	+23.2%	+0.0%	+23.4%
2025-04-07	+23.0%	−0.3%	+23.0%

983 overlapping windows · 2022-09-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

100%

+8.8%

n=4

Feb

50%

−4.4%

n=4

Mar

25%

−4.5%

n=4

Apr

50%

+1.7%

n=4

May

50%

+4.1%

n=4

Jun

100%

+7.3%

n=4

Jul

100%

+4.1%

n=4

Aug

50%

−0.7%

n=4

Sep

50%

+2.9%

n=4

Oct

100%

+7.1%

n=4

Nov

50%

+1.0%

n=4

Dec

50%

−2.6%

n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE CO	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	295,967 @ $34.86	$10.3M	+0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,769,404	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-11	NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE CO	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	171,144 @ $34.61	$5.9M	+0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,473,437	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-11	Ditillo David	officer	Sale	8,736 @ $35.00	$306K	−7.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	102,417	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-10	NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE CO	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	176,300 @ $34.01	$6.0M	+0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,302,293	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-09-09	NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE CO	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	136,466 @ $33.78	$4.6M	+0.1% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	122,125,993	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-19	Cropper Elizabeth B	officer	Sale	7,745 @ $33.06	$256K	−14.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	46,473	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Argon Holdco LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	14,500,000 @ $33.87	$491.1M	−23.4% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	47,462,123	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Ditillo David	officer	Sale	12,414 @ $34.00	$422K	−10.0% of holding	+1.1%	not yet — horizon still open	111,153	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-16	Ditillo David	officer	Sale	12,414 @ $32.00	$397K	−9.4% of holding	+4.8%	not yet — horizon still open	119,653	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-06	Ditillo David	officer	Sale	4,250 @ $30.00	$128K	−3.2% of holding	−0.1%	not yet — horizon still open	128,153	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	Ditillo David	officer	Sale	4,250 @ $31.03	$132K	−3.2% of holding	−18.7%	−3.8%	128,229	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	24,654,833 @ $30.42	$750.0M	−49.2% of holding	−20.4%	+1.0%	25,457,020	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-04	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	32,600,000 @ $31.10	$1.0B	−39.4% of holding	−4.5%	−19.5%	50,111,853	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-05	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,184,160 @ $33.65	$39.8M	−1.4% of holding	−7.7%	−29.3%	82,711,853	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-06	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	30,000,000 @ $33.65	$1.0B	−26.3% of holding	−3.9%	−19.4%	83,896,013	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	13,386,629 @ $32.15	$430.4M	−10.5% of holding	−2.1%	−24.1%	113,896,013	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-09	AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.	tenPercentOwner	Sale	121,956,256 @ $31.47	$3.8B	−48.9% of holding	+0.5%	+6.7%	127,282,642	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

126 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-06	Ditillo David	officer	Option exercise	3,914	123,567	Form 4
2026-08-06	Ditillo David	officer	Option exercise	3,914	18,914	Form 4
2026-07-16	Ditillo David	officer	Option exercise	3,914	132,067	Form 4
2026-07-16	Ditillo David	officer	Option exercise	3,914	22,828	Form 4
2026-06-18	Schioldager Amy L.	director	Award / grant	6,553	34,962	Form 4
2026-06-18	Gubbay Keith	director	Award / grant	6,553	13,894	Form 4
2026-06-18	Colberg Alan B.	director	Award / grant	6,553	64,962	Form 4
2026-06-18	Bousa Edward Peter	director	Award / grant	6,553	16,852	Form 4
2026-06-18	Leone Deborah R	director	Award / grant	6,553	19,136	Form 4
2026-06-18	Lynch Christopher S.	director	Award / grant	6,553	34,962	Form 4
2026-06-18	Parris Colin J.	director	Award / grant	6,553	13,894	Form 4
2026-04-13	Filiaggi Christopher	officer	Award / grant	30,549	67,963	Form 4
2026-03-02	Habayeb Elias F.	officer	Withheld for tax	21,196	263,453	Form 4
2026-03-02	Klane Polly N.	officer	Withheld for tax	12,894	63,224	Form 4
2026-03-02	Novak Jonathan J	officer	Withheld for tax	12,087	150,186	Form 4
2026-03-02	Caldwell Steven Douglas JR	officer	Withheld for tax	11,159	41,219	Form 4
2026-03-02	Longino Lisa	officer	Withheld for tax	10,701	138,309	Form 4
2026-03-02	Fiedler Terri N	officer	Withheld for tax	9,766	160,857	Form 4
2026-03-02	Smith Christopher Brian	officer	Withheld for tax	8,612	50,741	Form 4
2026-03-02	Ditillo David	officer	Withheld for tax	7,957	132,403	Form 4
2026-03-02	Pinsky Bryan A	officer	Withheld for tax	6,124	49,859	Form 4
2026-03-02	Cropper Elizabeth B	officer	Withheld for tax	4,158	54,218	Form 4
2026-03-02	Palmer Elizabeth	officer	Withheld for tax	3,657	87,981	Form 4
2026-03-02	Filiaggi Christopher	officer	Withheld for tax	2,557	37,414	Form 4
2026-03-02	Miller Amber	officer	Withheld for tax	1,921	46,167	Form 4
2026-03-02	Byrne John P	officer	Withheld for tax	1,871	28,655	Form 4
2026-02-19	Cropper Elizabeth B	officer	Award / grant	37,386	37,386	Form 4
2026-02-19	Fiedler Terri N	officer	Award / grant	10,514	170,623	Form 4
2026-02-19	Fiedler Terri N	officer	Award / grant	42,262	42,262	Form 4
2026-02-19	Filiaggi Christopher	officer	Award / grant	19,505	19,505	Form 4
2026-02-19	Novak Jonathan J	officer	Award / grant	61,768	61,768	Form 4
2026-02-19	Ditillo David	officer	Award / grant	12,131	140,360	Form 4
2026-02-19	Ditillo David	officer	Award / grant	48,764	48,764	Form 4
2026-02-19	Byrne John P	officer	Award / grant	6,874	30,526	Form 4
2026-02-19	Byrne John P	officer	Award / grant	27,633	27,633	Form 4
2026-02-19	Costantini Marc	director	Award / grant	260,078	260,078	Form 4
2026-02-19	Smith Christopher Brian	officer	Award / grant	6,470	59,353	Form 4
2026-02-19	Smith Christopher Brian	officer	Award / grant	26,007	26,007	Form 4
2026-02-19	Palmer Elizabeth	officer	Award / grant	4,852	91,638	Form 4
2026-02-19	Palmer Elizabeth	officer	Award / grant	19,505	19,505	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i