CPTCamden Property TrustReal Estate · REIT - Residentialas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $101.30 · now $101.30 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CPT has typically landed between $90.62 and $110.27 — a range of −10.5% to +8.9% from the issuance price $101.30.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($101.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $101.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$90.62worst · -10.5%$110.27best · +8.9%
  • now $101.3 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $101.44 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $97.04–$105.83
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $90.62–$110.27
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−44.1%−44.1%+0.0%
2008-09-26−44.1%−44.1%+0.0%
2020-02-24−41.1%−43.6%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-20+69.6%+0.0%+74.7%
2008-11-21+62.3%+0.0%+72.8%
2008-11-19+52.9%−12.5%+52.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$11.4B
market cap
$3.57
EPS (TTM)
31.9
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$1.6B
'20'25
Net income$384M
'20'25
Free cash flow$386M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr24.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.89
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $101.30$89.86$125.45
  • DCF (intrinsic)$92.31
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$117.36
  • Analyst target · range $102.00–$123.00$113.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$101.30

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.1%
n=18
Feb
47%
−1.6%
n=19
Mar
68%
+1.9%
n=19
Apr
74%
+4.5%
n=19
May
63%
+0.5%
n=19
Jun
63%
+0.9%
n=19
Jul
79%
+3.7%
n=19
Aug
47%
+0.5%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.9%
n=19
Oct
44%
−1.2%
n=18
Nov
67%
+0.6%
n=18
Dec
67%
+3.5%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$118$952026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $3.4M — CAMPO RICHARD J2026-02-18: 3 insider sales, $253K — Baker Laurie, Gallagher Michael P …2026-01-06: 2 insider sales, $634K — CAMPO RICHARD J, Baker Laurie2026-01-05: 8 insider sales, $5.3M — CAMPO RICHARD J, Jessett Alexander J., WESTBROOK KELVIN R, Brunner Heather J. …2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $17K — WEBSTER STEVEN A2026-01: 11 open-market sales, $6.0M2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $253K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $3.4M↑ buys↓ salesdirector CAMPO RICHARD J — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same dayofficer Baker Laurie — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gallagher Michael P — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Baker Laurie — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CAMPO RICHARD J — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Baker Laurie — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CAMPO RICHARD J — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CAMPO RICHARD J — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jessett Alexander J. — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WESTBROOK KELVIN R — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Brunner Heather J. — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Baker Laurie — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Baker Laurie — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Benito Javier — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBSTER STEVEN A — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale30,000 @ $112.42$3.4M−9.2% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open297,437Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18Baker LaurieofficerSale2,163 @ $108.40$234K−2.2% of holding−4.3%−10.8%94,473Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Gallagher Michael PofficerSale169 @ $108.43$18K−0.4% of holding−4.3%−10.8%39,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Baker LaurieofficerSale5 @ $108.47$542−0.0% of holding−4.3%−10.8%94,468Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-06CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale5,600 @ $110.21$617K−1.9% of holding−1.3%−4.5%295,556Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-06Baker LaurieofficerSale150 @ $110.21$17K−0.2% of holding−1.3%−4.5%96,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale24,838 @ $109.82$2.7M−7.6% of holding−0.1%−2.4%301,156Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale13,183 @ $109.69$1.4M−3.9% of holding−0.1%−2.4%325,994Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Jessett Alexander J.officerSale5,627 @ $109.69$617K−3.8% of holding−0.1%−2.4%141,821Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05WESTBROOK KELVIN RdirectorSale2,225 @ $109.69$244K−7.1% of holding−0.1%−2.4%28,985Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Brunner Heather J.directorSale2,104 @ $109.69$231K−17.1% of holding−0.1%−2.4%10,205Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Baker LaurieofficerSale384 @ $109.82$42K−0.4% of holding−0.1%−2.4%96,786Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Baker LaurieofficerSale147 @ $109.69$16K−0.2% of holding−0.1%−2.4%97,170Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Benito JavierdirectorSale101 @ $109.69$11K−1.3% of holding−0.1%−2.4%7,872Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-02WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorSale154 @ $109.18$17K−0.1% of holding−3.9%−1.1%118,820Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-16WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorSale1,200 @ $118.76$143K−1.0% of holding−3.7%−26.3%117,374Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-07CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale15,428 @ $119.53$1.8M−5.3% of holding−9.4%−34.2%274,292Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-06CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale5,572 @ $119.50$666K−1.9% of holding−8.9%−34.7%289,720Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Gallagher Michael PofficerSale135 @ $122.18$16K−0.3% of holding−0.8%−23.6%39,596Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-19Baker LaurieofficerSale2,308 @ $118.38$273K−2.9% of holding+8.7%−11.9%78,558Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-11CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale45,000 @ $119.07$5.4M−15.0% of holding+6.3%−16.3%254,092Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-08Jessett Alexander J.officerSale1,862 @ $110.06$205K−1.5% of holding+4.9%−2.0%122,384Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-08CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale1,043 @ $110.06$115K−0.3% of holding+4.9%−2.0%299,092Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-08Brunner Heather J.directorSale264 @ $110.06$29K−2.5% of holding+4.9%−2.0%10,273Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-06Jessett Alexander J.officerSale13,067 @ $114.50$1.5M−9.5% of holding+1.9%−4.0%124,246Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-06CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorSale7,324 @ $114.50$839K−2.4% of holding+1.9%−4.0%300,135Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-06Brunner Heather J.directorSale1,853 @ $114.50$212K−15.0% of holding+1.9%−4.0%10,537Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

40 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-02Necas Kevin J. Jr.officerAward / grant2,1334,131Form 4
2026-05-08Sevilla-Sacasa Frances AldrichdirectorAward / grant2,50724,388Form 4
2026-05-08WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorAward / grant1,350120,170Form 4
2026-05-08WESTBROOK KELVIN RdirectorAward / grant2,50731,492Form 4
2026-05-08Gibson MarkdirectorAward / grant2,50714,677Form 4
2026-05-08Benito JavierdirectorAward / grant2,50710,379Form 4
2026-05-08Brunner Heather J.directorAward / grant2,50712,712Form 4
2026-05-08Khator RenudirectorAward / grant2,50721,271Form 4
2026-05-08INGRAHAM SCOTT SdirectorAward / grant2,50770,692Form 4
2026-02-25ODEN D KEITHdirectorAward / grant31,881543,794Form 4
2026-02-25CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant31,881327,437Form 4
2026-02-25Jessett Alexander J.officerAward / grant17,059158,880Form 4
2026-02-25Baker LaurieofficerAward / grant13,502107,970Form 4
2026-02-25Gallagher Michael PofficerAward / grant4,03443,674Form 4
2026-01-05CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise67,129339,177Form 4
2026-01-05CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorOption exercise67,12972,267Form 4
2026-01-05Baker LaurieofficerOption exercise1,16215,916Form 4
2026-01-05Baker LaurieofficerOption exercise1,16297,317Form 4
2026-01-02WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorOption exercise1,600118,974Form 4
2026-01-02WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorOption exercise1,60025,599Form 4
2025-12-31Jessett Alexander J.officerGift229147,448Form 4
2025-12-22CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorGift2,450272,048Form 4
2025-05-16WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorOption exercise1,20027,199Form 4
2025-05-16WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorOption exercise1,200118,574Form 4
2025-05-15Khator RenudirectorAward / grant2,03618,764Form 4
2025-05-15WESTBROOK KELVIN RdirectorAward / grant2,03631,210Form 4
2025-05-15Gibson MarkdirectorAward / grant2,03612,170Form 4
2025-05-15Sevilla-Sacasa Frances AldrichdirectorAward / grant2,03621,881Form 4
2025-05-15WEBSTER STEVEN AdirectorAward / grant2,036117,374Form 4
2025-05-15Brunner Heather J.directorAward / grant2,03612,309Form 4
2025-05-15Benito JavierdirectorAward / grant2,0367,973Form 4
2025-05-15INGRAHAM SCOTT SdirectorAward / grant2,03668,185Form 4
2025-02-27Jessett Alexander J.officerGift242147,462Form 4
2025-02-19ODEN D KEITHdirectorAward / grant41,200511,698Form 4
2025-02-19CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorAward / grant41,200295,292Form 4
2025-02-19Jessett Alexander J.officerAward / grant25,320147,704Form 4
2025-02-19Baker LaurieofficerAward / grant17,38895,946Form 4
2025-02-19Gallagher Michael PofficerAward / grant3,46639,731Form 4
2024-12-30CAMPO RICHARD JdirectorGift2,195307,459Form 4
2024-12-30Jessett Alexander J.officerGift220137,313Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-05-142025-04-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-01-042023-12-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-12-062023-11-03$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.