Issued 2026-09-16 at $22.92 · now $22.92 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CPS has typically landed between $16.80 and $33.29 — a range of −26.7% to +45.2% from the issuance price $22.92.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,070 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-05-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($22.92) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CPS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $22.92 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $22.92 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $22.33 (-2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $19.44–$25.22
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.8–$33.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −63.4% | −63.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −57.6% | −61.2% | +3.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −56.2% | −62.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-15 | +146.4% | −6.7% | +146.4% |
| 2022-07-14 | +142.5% | −7.1% | +142.7% |
| 2022-07-13 | +140.6% | −7.9% | +140.6% |
4,070 overlapping windows · 2010-05-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 3,391 @ $29.77 | $101K | +15.7% of holding | −2.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-12 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 1,494 @ $30.25 | $45K | +7.4% of holding | −3.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,609 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-11 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $31.00 | $62K | +11.0% of holding | −4.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,115 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $29.05 | $58K | +12.4% of holding | +7.2% | −8.8% | 18,115 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $28.22 | $14K | +0.9% of holding | +5.4% | −0.4% | 53,927 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $29.95 | $15K | +0.9% of holding | +2.1% | −4.7% | 53,427 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Purchase | 3,000 @ $15.00 | $45K | +8.4% of holding | +23.0% | +123.1% | 38,513 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $14.55 | $73K | +45.0% of holding | +19.3% | +125.5% | 16,115 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Mastrocola David John | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $15.27 | $46K | +37.0% of holding | +19.3% | +89.5% | 11,115 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
291 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Venkatasubramanian Somasundhar | officer | Withheld for tax | 86 | 24,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Venkatasubramanian Somasundhar | officer | Option exercise | 300 | 600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Venkatasubramanian Somasundhar | officer | Option exercise | 300 | 24,754 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,578 | 16,344 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Option exercise | 3,619 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Option exercise | 3,619 | 17,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Option exercise | 3,619 | 17,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Option exercise | 3,619 | 17,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-07 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Option exercise | 3,619 | 17,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | Couch Christopher | officer | Award / grant | 2,702 | 2,702 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Macouzet Flores Adriana E. | director | Withheld for tax | 1,130 | 56,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Macouzet Flores Adriana E. | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Macouzet Flores Adriana E. | director | Option exercise | 7,527 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Mastrocola David John | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | REMENAR ROBERT J | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | VAN OSS STEPHEN A | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Boss John G. | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Boss John G. | director | Option exercise | 7,527 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Sepahban Sonya F. | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Freeland Richard Joseph | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Moore Christine M | director | Award / grant | 3,937 | 3,937 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Macouzet Flores Adriana E. | director | Option exercise | 7,527 | 58,042 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Macouzet Flores Adriana E. | director | Option exercise | 7,527 | 58,042 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Boss John G. | director | Option exercise | 7,527 | 86,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Edwards Jeffrey S | director | Withheld for tax | 14,399 | 338,928 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Edwards Jeffrey S | director | Withheld for tax | 13,898 | 375,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Edwards Jeffrey S | director | Withheld for tax | 12,215 | 356,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,734 | 67,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,313 | 62,447 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Banas Jonathan P | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,274 | 58,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Couch Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,064 | 42,432 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Clark Patrick | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,064 | 11,326 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Clark Patrick | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,977 | 3,849 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Clark Patrick | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,719 | 7,364 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Couch Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,043 | 38,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ott Larry | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,648 | 53,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,432 | 14,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Couch Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,263 | 34,279 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Ott Larry | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,152 | 47,717 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kanary MaryAnn Peterson | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,115 | 10,729 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.