CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationUtilities · Regulated Gasas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $129.75 · now $129.75 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CPK has typically landed between $118.33 and $141.88 — a range of −8.8% to +9.3% from the issuance price $129.75.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($129.75) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CPK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $129.75 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$118.33worst · -8.8%$141.88best · +9.3%
  • now $129.75 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $130.49 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $125.58–$135.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $118.33–$141.88
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−26.0%−26.0%+0.0%
2008-12-18−24.3%−24.3%+0.0%
2009-02-09−23.9%−23.9%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-11+36.3%+0.0%+38.8%
2009-03-05+30.4%−5.2%+31.6%
2009-03-09+29.3%−1.1%+37.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−1.2%
n=20
Feb
55%
−0.6%
n=20
Mar
95%
+3.6%
n=20
Apr
65%
+0.6%
n=20
May
55%
+1.5%
n=20
Jun
45%
+1.0%
n=20
Jul
60%
+2.4%
n=20
Aug
60%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Oct
60%
+2.2%
n=20
Nov
60%
+1.7%
n=20
Dec
70%
+2.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$138$1192026-05-21: 3 insider sales, $1.3M — Householder Jeffry M …2026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $255K — Webber Kevin J2025-12-26: 1 insider sale, $240K — Householder Jeffry M2025-12-19: 3 insider sales, $394K — Householder Jeffry M …2025-12-18: 2 insider sales, $960K — Householder Jeffry M …2025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $951K — Householder Jeffry M2025-12-16: 2 insider sales, $634K — Householder Jeffry M …2025-11-20: 1 insider sale, $137K — Sylvester Jeffery S2025-09-25: 2 insider sales, $661K — Cooper Beth W …2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $661K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $137K2025-12: 9 open-market sales, $3.2M2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $1.5M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2026-05-21, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Webber Kevin J — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Householder Jeffry M — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sylvester Jeffery S — Sale on 2025-11-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Cooper Beth W — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Cooper Beth W — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-21Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale8,321 @ $126.27$1.1M−11.7% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open63,004Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-21Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale1,676 @ $125.40$210K−2.3% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open71,325Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-21Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale3 @ $127.56$383−0.0% of holding−2.8%not yet — horizon still open63,001Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-20Webber Kevin JofficerSale2,000 @ $127.37$255K−13.7% of holding−6.4%not yet — horizon still open12,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-26Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale1,908 @ $125.83$240K−3.5% of holding−0.8%−10.4%51,916Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale1,552 @ $128.08$199K−2.8% of holding−0.3%−9.7%53,824Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale1,040 @ $126.45$132K−1.8% of holding−0.3%−9.7%55,876Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-19Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale500 @ $127.33$64K−0.9% of holding−0.3%−9.7%55,376Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-18Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale7,300 @ $127.97$934K−11.3% of holding−3.1%−13.9%57,116Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-18Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale200 @ $128.49$26K−0.4% of holding−3.1%−13.9%56,916Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-17Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale7,500 @ $126.74$951K−10.4% of holding−4.8%−18.1%64,416Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-16Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale4,987 @ $126.72$632K−6.5% of holding−4.0%−14.8%71,929Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-16Householder Jeffry MdirectorSale13 @ $127.28$2K−0.0% of holding−4.0%−14.8%71,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-20Sylvester Jeffery SofficerSale1,000 @ $137.08$137K−7.7% of holding−13.9%−21.8%11,916Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25Cooper Beth WofficerSale4,974 @ $132.14$657K−5.2% of holding−2.9%−1.8%90,739Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-25Cooper Beth WofficerSale26 @ $132.80$3K−0.0% of holding−2.9%−1.8%90,713Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

29 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-06BRESNAN THOMAS JdirectorAward / grant1,11229,790Form 4
2026-05-06Jaber Lila AdirectorAward / grant1,1127,046Form 4
2026-05-06Eden Elisabeth AdirectorAward / grant1,1121,734Form 4
2026-05-06Bisaccia LisadirectorAward / grant1,1124,932Form 4
2026-05-06Forsythe Ronald G JrdirectorAward / grant1,11211,271Form 4
2026-05-06Petrone Sheree M.directorAward / grant1,1124,450Form 4
2026-05-06HUDSON DENNIS S IIIdirectorAward / grant1,11219,587Form 4
2026-02-24Householder Jeffry MdirectorAward / grant21,12373,217Form 4
2026-02-24Cooper Beth WofficerAward / grant7,55798,590Form 4
2026-02-24Moriarty James FofficerAward / grant7,55741,148Form 4
2026-02-24Sylvester Jeffery SofficerAward / grant3,89915,882Form 4
2026-02-24Webber Kevin JofficerAward / grant3,33614,681Form 4
2026-02-24Galtman Michael DofficerAward / grant2,8665,392Form 4
2026-01-06Cooper Beth WofficerOption exercise79291,033Form 4
2026-01-06Forsythe Ronald G JrdirectorWithheld for tax24610,109Form 4
2025-06-06Forsythe Ronald G JrdirectorWithheld for tax13810,191Form 4
2025-05-07BRESNAN THOMAS JdirectorAward / grant89528,416Form 4
2025-05-07Petrone Sheree M.directorAward / grant8953,268Form 4
2025-05-07Jaber Lila AdirectorAward / grant8955,817Form 4
2025-05-07HUDSON DENNIS S IIIdirectorAward / grant89518,475Form 4
2025-05-07Bisaccia LisadirectorAward / grant8953,746Form 4
2025-05-07Forsythe Ronald G JrdirectorAward / grant89510,329Form 4
2025-05-07Gary Stephanie NdirectorAward / grant8953,268Form 4
2025-02-26Householder Jeffry MdirectorAward / grant11,08877,033Form 4
2025-02-26Cooper Beth WofficerAward / grant4,33096,481Form 4
2025-02-26Moriarty James FofficerAward / grant4,33034,524Form 4
2025-02-26Sylvester Jeffery SofficerAward / grant2,11212,820Form 4
2025-02-26Webber Kevin JofficerAward / grant1,91111,262Form 4
2025-02-26Galtman Michael DofficerAward / grant1,6422,949Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.