Issued 2026-09-16 at $318.50 · now $318.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COR has typically landed between $293.84 and $353.13 — a range of −7.7% to +10.9% from the issuance price $318.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($318.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where COR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $318.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $318.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $326.72 (+2.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $312.99–$340.45
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $293.84–$353.13
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-09-11 | −27.8% | −27.8% | +0.5% |
| 2009-02-09 | −26.9% | −26.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-09-10 | −24.1% | −24.1% | +1.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-20 | +24.6% | +0.0% | +28.1% |
| 2008-12-04 | +21.4% | +0.0% | +21.9% |
| 2017-11-20 | +21.0% | +0.0% | +21.1% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$639.34
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$357.82
- Analyst target · range $331.00–$412.00$350.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$318.50
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Sale | 985 @ $325.97 | $321K | −5.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,169 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Sale | 11,300 @ $324.12 | $3.7M | −36.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 19,455 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-22 | Tyler Lauren M | director | Purchase | 550 @ $270.23 | $149K | +14.4% of holding | +10.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 4,359 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-18 | DURCAN DERMOT MARK | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $274.19 | $1.1M | +14.4% of holding | +11.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,767 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | DURCAN DERMOT MARK | director | Purchase | 4,000 @ $266.26 | $1.1M | +16.8% of holding | +6.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 27,767 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 3,762 @ $358.94 | $1.4M | −5.4% of holding | −6.5% | −23.4% | 65,393 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 1,333 @ $359.46 | $479K | −2.0% of holding | −4.0% | −24.4% | 65,393 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 5,096 @ $354.73 | $1.8M | −7.1% of holding | +1.6% | −24.8% | 66,726 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Sale | 3,351 @ $342.10 | $1.1M | −12.3% of holding | +2.2% | −24.5% | 23,891 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-19 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Sale | 1,677 @ $345.00 | $579K | −8.2% of holding | +2.2% | −24.5% | 18,796 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 5,096 @ $343.45 | $1.8M | −7.0% of holding | +1.7% | −26.5% | 68,059 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Sale | 4,031 @ $343.24 | $1.4M | −19.0% of holding | +1.0% | −32.4% | 17,154 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 5,096 @ $366.64 | $1.9M | −7.2% of holding | −8.3% | −39.5% | 65,746 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 5,097 @ $326.80 | $1.7M | −11.8% of holding | +12.3% | −12.1% | 37,940 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Sale | 1,886 @ $313.28 | $591K | −12.8% of holding | +7.7% | +5.9% | 12,824 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 5,097 @ $290.00 | $1.5M | −11.5% of holding | +11.0% | +14.0% | 39,274 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-16 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 31,350 @ $289.86 | $9.1M | −9.3% of holding | +9.1% | +11.7% | 305,913 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 14,579 @ $289.98 | $4.2M | −4.5% of holding | −4.8% | +14.7% | 307,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 4,968 @ $293.53 | $1.5M | −10.9% of holding | −2.9% | +17.2% | 40,608 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-22 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 14,578 @ $292.67 | $4.3M | −4.5% of holding | +2.4% | +10.9% | 309,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 4,968 @ $294.11 | $1.5M | −10.5% of holding | −3.2% | +10.7% | 42,351 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-24 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 14,579 @ $292.62 | $4.3M | −4.5% of holding | −5.8% | +2.5% | 311,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 4,969 @ $295.30 | $1.5M | −10.1% of holding | −6.9% | +3.0% | 44,094 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Sale | 4,077 @ $297.40 | $1.2M | −26.5% of holding | −6.9% | +3.0% | 11,297 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Sale | 2,992 @ $288.96 | $865K | −14.8% of holding | −1.9% | +11.4% | 17,162 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-29 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Sale | 8 @ $289.06 | $2K | −0.0% of holding | −1.9% | +11.4% | 17,154 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-20 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 14,578 @ $293.84 | $4.3M | −4.4% of holding | −0.3% | +11.9% | 313,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 4,969 @ $291.43 | $1.4M | −9.8% of holding | +1.0% | +12.6% | 45,838 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | GREENBERG LON R | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $279.05 | $837K | −14.4% of holding | +4.5% | +13.7% | 17,851 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 14,579 @ $281.81 | $4.1M | −4.4% of holding | −8.6% | −12.7% | 315,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-21 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 4,969 @ $289.33 | $1.4M | −9.5% of holding | −11.0% | −14.5% | 47,582 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 12,578 @ $269.51 | $3.4M | −3.8% of holding | +10.2% | −0.3% | 319,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-25 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $269.51 | $539K | −0.6% of holding | +10.2% | −0.3% | 317,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-24 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Sale | 2,127 @ $268.28 | $571K | −11.3% of holding | +13.2% | −2.7% | 16,665 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-24 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $268.28 | $537K | −12.0% of holding | +13.2% | −2.7% | 14,665 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 3,226 @ $260.93 | $842K | −5.9% of holding | +13.7% | −8.3% | 51,070 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-18 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 1,744 @ $260.93 | $455K | −3.4% of holding | +13.7% | −8.3% | 49,326 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Sale | 2,000 @ $260.06 | $520K | −9.0% of holding | +16.2% | −2.1% | 20,154 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 3,226 @ $255.00 | $823K | −5.9% of holding | +12.2% | +5.6% | 51,070 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Sale | 1,744 @ $255.00 | $445K | −3.3% of holding | +12.2% | +5.6% | 51,070 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 12,579 @ $251.08 | $3.2M | −3.8% of holding | +15.3% | +5.3% | 319,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-27 | COLLIS STEVEN H | director | Sale | 2,000 @ $251.08 | $502K | −0.6% of holding | +15.3% | +5.3% | 319,913 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Sale | 5,000 @ $242.24 | $1.2M | −24.5% of holding | +14.8% | +13.5% | 15,374 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. | other | Sale | 1,081,885 @ $244.51 | $264.5M | −5.4% of holding | +14.1% | +10.6% | 18,898,115 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. | other | Sale | 204,491 @ $244.51 | $50.0M | −1.6% of holding | +14.1% | +10.6% | 12,570,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-20 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Sale | 1,678 @ $228.72 | $384K | −7.6% of holding | +6.3% | +26.7% | 20,329 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
244 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | NALLY DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 113 | 13,188 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Tyler Lauren M | director | Award / grant | 97 | 4,456 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cooper Ellen | director | Award / grant | 97 | 893 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Award / grant | 58 | 23,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Award / grant | 50 | 30,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Boratto Eva C | director | Award / grant | 21,304 | 21,304 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | Boratto Eva C | director | Award / grant | 21,304 | 21,304 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | NALLY DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 116 | 13,075 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tyler Lauren M | director | Award / grant | 99 | 3,809 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Cooper Ellen | director | Award / grant | 99 | 796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Krikorian Lazarus | officer | Award / grant | 3,936 | 3,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,842 | 30,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cleary James F | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,409 | 160,357 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Withheld for tax | 3,673 | 23,566 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cleary James F | officer | Option exercise | 12,623 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Option exercise | 8,415 | 27,239 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Option exercise | 8,415 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Option exercise | 12,623 | 36,548 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Option exercise | 12,623 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cleary James F | officer | Option exercise | 12,623 | 165,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | DURCAN DERMOT MARK | director | Award / grant | 905 | 23,767 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | GREENBERG LON R | director | Award / grant | 557 | 18,408 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Clyburn Frank | director | Award / grant | 557 | 1,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Kim Lorence H. | director | Award / grant | 557 | 4,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Cooper Ellen | director | Award / grant | 557 | 697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Ryerkerk Lori | director | Award / grant | 557 | 1,073 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | NALLY DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 557 | 12,959 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Baumann Werner | director | Award / grant | 557 | 3,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Miller Redonda | director | Award / grant | 557 | 3,751 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Tyler Lauren M | director | Award / grant | 557 | 3,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Option exercise | 3,762 | 69,155 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Option exercise | 3,762 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | NALLY DENNIS M | director | Award / grant | 98 | 12,402 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Tyler Lauren M | director | Award / grant | 84 | 3,153 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Cooper Ellen | director | Award / grant | 69 | 74 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-30 | Cooper Ellen | director | Award / grant | 66 | 140 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Option exercise | 3,763 | 71,822 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Mauch Robert P. | director | Option exercise | 3,763 | 3,762 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Campbell Elizabeth S | officer | Award / grant | 34 | 23,925 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-31 | Battaglia Silvana | director | Award / grant | 27 | 18,824 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-02 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2026-06-19 | 2026-05-06 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | sale | 2026-06-19 | 2026-05-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $15–50K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2026-05-04 | 2026-04-30 | $100–250K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Jared Moskowitz | House | purchase | 2026-04-30 | 2026-03-31 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Michael T. McCaul | House | sale | 2025-11-10 | 2025-10-27 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.