COOK · TickerCove

COOKTraeger, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliancesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.69 · now $48.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COOK has typically landed between $34.47 and $66.92 — a range of −29.2% to +37.4% from the issuance price $48.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,268 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$48.69 · 42% of range

$24.42 low$82 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−5.8%

typical move · IQR 25.6%

−29.2%worst (p90)+37.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where COOK has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $48.69 (+0.0%)
typical $45.87 (-5.8%)
middle 50% $39.64–$52.1
90% range $34.47–$66.92

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,268 windows spanning 2021-07-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-02-05	−45.5%	−45.5%	+0.0%
2026-02-04	−43.1%	−43.1%	+0.0%
2026-02-24	−42.7%	−42.7%	+1.0%
3 best
2026-04-30	+75.6%	−4.8%	+75.6%
2026-04-29	+73.6%	−0.9%	+73.6%
2026-05-13	+68.0%	−2.3%	+75.4%

1,268 overlapping windows · 2021-07-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

−0.7%

n=5

Feb

40%

−3.8%

n=5

Mar

40%

−13.5%

n=5

Apr

20%

−6.0%

n=5

May

60%

+16.5%

n=5

Jun

60%

+6.9%

n=5

Jul

40%

−9.0%

n=5

Aug

50%

+1.9%

n=6

Sep

33%

−10.4%

n=6

Oct

20%

−1.3%

n=5

Nov

20%

−13.4%

n=5

Dec

40%

−0.6%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-27	VandenAkker Cole	officer	Sale	2,750 @ $55.30	$152K	−10.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	23,913	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Purchase	176,425 @ $1.46	$257K	+1.3% of holding	+27.5%	−60.9%	14,228,779	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-05	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Purchase	250,000 @ $1.38	$345K	+1.8% of holding	+39.5%	−55.2%	14,052,354	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Purchase	300,762 @ $1.34	$404K	+2.2% of holding	+35.1%	−52.8%	13,805,554	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-02	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Purchase	3,200 @ $1.37	$4K	+0.0% of holding	+34.9%	−50.7%	13,504,792	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-04	VandenAkker Cole	officer	Withheld for tax	217	23,183	Form 4
2026-08-31	VandenAkker Cole	officer	Withheld for tax	513	23,400	Form 4
2026-08-03	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	253	11,161	Form 4
2026-06-09	Lempres Elizabeth Cahill	director	Award / grant	1,893	8,865	Form 4
2026-06-09	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	1,893	10,908	Form 4
2026-06-09	Beck Wendy A.	director	Award / grant	1,893	7,017	Form 4
2026-05-01	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	389	9,015	Form 4
2026-04-21	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	163	14,892	Form 4
2026-04-20	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Award / grant	129,240	129,240	Form 4
2026-04-20	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Award / grant	25,848	25,848	Form 4
2026-04-20	VandenAkker Cole	officer	Award / grant	35,541	35,541	Form 4
2026-04-08	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	598	15,055	Form 4
2026-04-06	VandenAkker Cole	officer	Withheld for tax	602	26,663	Form 4
2026-04-06	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	548	15,653	Form 4
2026-02-02	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	17,045	431,004	Form 4
2026-02-02	Alvarez Ralph	director	Award / grant	37,500	774,376	Form 4
2025-12-01	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	4,793	810,033	Form 4
2025-11-03	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	20,380	413,959	Form 4
2025-11-03	Alvarez Ralph	director	Award / grant	44,836	736,876	Form 4
2025-09-04	HARDY JAMES H JR	officer	Withheld for tax	15,955	1,255,513	Form 4
2025-09-02	HARDY JAMES H JR	officer	Withheld for tax	90,177	1,271,468	Form 4
2025-09-02	Hord Michael Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	11,980	814,826	Form 4
2025-08-01	Alvarez Ralph	director	Award / grant	25,152	692,040	Form 4
2025-08-01	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	11,432	393,579	Form 4
2025-06-05	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Gift	10,000	2,575,138	Form 4
2025-06-04	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Gift	3,200	3,200	Form 4
2025-06-04	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Gift	310	2,585,138	Form 4
2025-06-04	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Gift	310	3,510	Form 4
2025-06-04	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Gift	3,200	13,802,354	Form 4
2025-05-20	Alvarez Ralph	director	Award / grant	131,849	666,888	Form 4
2025-05-20	Lempres Elizabeth Cahill	director	Award / grant	131,849	348,560	Form 4
2025-05-20	Beck Wendy A.	director	Award / grant	131,849	332,310	Form 4
2025-05-20	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	131,849	382,147	Form 4
2025-05-01	Alvarez Ralph	director	Award / grant	28,253	535,039	Form 4
2025-05-01	Richman Steven Philip	director	Award / grant	12,842	250,298	Form 4
2025-04-15	Blosil Dominic	officer	Withheld for tax	109,436	1,464,594	Form 4
2025-04-15	HARDY JAMES H JR	officer	Withheld for tax	51,700	1,361,645	Form 4
2025-04-10	Blosil Dominic	officer	Award / grant	220,726	1,574,030	Form 4
2025-04-10	ANDRUS JEREMY	director	Award / grant	568,666	8,224,237	Form 4
2025-04-10	HARDY JAMES H JR	officer	Award / grant	355,416	1,281,960	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i