COLD · TickerCove

COLDAmericold Realty Trust, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Industrialas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.52 · now $14.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COLD has typically landed between $12.36 and $16.63 — a range of −14.9% to +14.6% from the issuance price $14.52.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,155 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-01-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.52 · 74% of range

$9.6 low$16.25 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.0%

typical move · IQR 12.8%

−14.9%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where COLD has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.52 (+0.0%)
typical $14.37 (-1.0%)
middle 50% $13.45–$15.3
90% range $12.36–$16.63

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,155 windows spanning 2018-01-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−35.6%	−35.6%	+2.7%
2025-10-22	−25.9%	−25.9%	+3.1%
2020-02-14	−25.4%	−36.9%	+0.6%
3 best
2020-03-16	+38.6%	+0.0%	+50.5%
2022-10-24	+31.7%	+0.0%	+33.9%
2026-04-29	+30.8%	−0.8%	+31.7%

2,155 overlapping windows · 2018-01-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

38%

−0.8%

n=8

Feb

33%

−2.4%

n=9

Mar

56%

+2.2%

n=9

Apr

56%

−1.0%

n=9

May

44%

+5.3%

n=9

Jun

89%

+3.8%

n=9

Jul

67%

+3.1%

n=9

Aug

44%

+0.1%

n=9

Sep

22%

−7.3%

n=9

Oct

50%

−1.2%

n=8

Nov

50%

+1.9%

n=8

Dec

50%

+2.0%

n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-02	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	442 @ $16.27	$7K	−4.5% of holding	−14.8%	not yet — horizon still open	9,408	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	665 @ $11.40	$8K	−7.4% of holding	+3.6%	+22.4%	8,334	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	579 @ $11.97	$7K	−7.6% of holding	−5.1%	+2.6%	7,050	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	308 @ $11.97	$4K	−4.8% of holding	−5.1%	+2.6%	6,045	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Chappelle George F. Jr.	director	Purchase	110,000 @ $17.99	$2.0M	ownership Δ n/a	−3.5%	−52.2%	110,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Wells Jay	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $17.91	$179K	ownership Δ n/a	−3.5%	−52.2%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	1,098 @ $22.68	$25K	−19.8% of holding	−6.0%	−52.2%	4,446	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-05	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	1,061 @ $22.64	$24K	−36.6% of holding	−4.0%	−21.4%	1,837	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-05	Harris Robert E.	officer	Sale	775 @ $22.64	$18K	−21.1% of holding	−4.0%	−21.4%	2,898	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

100 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-01	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,516	1,516	Form 4
2026-07-01	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	7,018	7,018	Form 4
2026-07-01	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,516	9,850	Form 4
2026-07-01	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	7,018	66,736	Form 4
2026-06-02	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	2,533	59,718	Form 4
2026-06-02	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	2,533	5,066	Form 4
2026-05-20	AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST	director	Option exercise	10,124	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Option exercise	10,124	43,016	Form 4
2026-05-20	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Option exercise	10,124	0	Form 4
2026-05-20	AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST	director	Option exercise	10,124	23,059	Form 4
2026-05-18	Fernandez Antonio F.	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	BARRETT KELLY HEFNER	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	Patterson Mark R	director	Award / grant	16,218	16,218	Form 4
2026-05-18	NEITHERCUT DAVID J	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	Sleigh Stephen R.	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	Reece Joseph E	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	AMERICOLD REALTY TRUST	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-05-18	Power Andrew	director	Award / grant	12,422	12,422	Form 4
2026-03-14	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,949	1,949	Form 4
2026-03-14	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,949	8,999	Form 4
2026-03-14	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Award / grant	4,667	4,667	Form 4
2026-03-14	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	4,667	57,175	Form 4
2026-03-08	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Award / grant	44,764	44,764	Form 4
2026-03-08	Winnall Richard Charles	officer	Option exercise	2,695	48,703	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harwell Nathan H	officer	Award / grant	28,777	28,777	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harwell Nathan H	officer	Award / grant	43,165	43,165	Form 4
2026-03-08	CHAMBERS ROBERT SCOTT	director	Award / grant	191,847	191,847	Form 4
2026-03-08	CHAMBERS ROBERT SCOTT	director	Award / grant	287,770	287,770	Form 4
2026-03-08	Verbarendse Michael Bryan	officer	Award / grant	44,764	44,764	Form 4
2026-03-08	Verbarendse Michael Bryan	officer	Award / grant	67,146	67,146	Form 4
2026-03-08	Henderson Russell Scott	officer	Award / grant	28,777	28,777	Form 4
2026-03-08	Henderson Russell Scott	officer	Award / grant	43,165	43,165	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	842	6,353	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,584	7,629	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Award / grant	11,990	11,990	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	842	842	Form 4
2026-03-08	Harris Robert E.	officer	Option exercise	1,584	1,584	Form 4
2026-03-08	PAPA CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	54,357	54,357	Form 4
2026-03-08	PAPA CHRISTOPHER J	director	Award / grant	81,535	81,535	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i