COINCoinbase Global, Inc.Financial Services · Financial - Data & Stock Exchangesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $164.51 · now $164.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COIN has typically landed between $116.41 and $250.19 — a range of −29.2% to +52.1% from the issuance price $164.51.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,342 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-142026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($164.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where COIN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $164.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$116.41worst · -29.2%$250.19best · +52.1%
  • now $164.51 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $158.52 (-3.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $132.96$184.07
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $116.41$250.19
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,342 windows spanning 2021-04-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-11−65.1%−65.1%+0.6%
2022-04-12−61.0%−64.2%+3.3%
2022-04-19−58.3%−64.5%+0.0%
3 best
2023-01-03+142.4%−1.0%+142.4%
2023-01-05+122.5%−0.8%+142.9%
2023-01-06+114.7%+0.0%+144.9%

1,342 overlapping windows · 2021-04-142026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$41.7B
market cap
$2.66
EPS (TTM)
59.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$7.2B
'20'25
Net income$1.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr17.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr8.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.53
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 69 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $164.51$-2.96$349.29
  • DCF (intrinsic)$21.33
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.4× · n=69$43.58
  • Analyst target · range $107.00$325.00$216.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$164.51

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+3.5%
n=5
Feb
60%
+6.9%
n=5
Mar
40%
+2.6%
n=5
Apr
40%
−11.8%
n=5
May
67%
−0.4%
n=6
Jun
50%
+0.0%
n=6
Jul
83%
+12.3%
n=6
Aug
50%
−2.1%
n=6
Sep
17%
−4.3%
n=6
Oct
100%
+9.7%
n=5
Nov
40%
+14.8%
n=5
Dec
20%
−7.3%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$387$1412026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $2.5M — Andreessen Marc L2026-09-01: 7 insider sales, $1.8M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $389K — Jones Jennifer N.2026-08-03: 15 insider sales, $5.1M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2026-07-01: 14 insider sales, $1.6M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $324K — Jones Jennifer N.2026-06-01: 10 insider sales, $1.8M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2026-05-27: 6 insider sales, $347K — Grewal Paul …2026-05-22: 9 insider sales, $1.3M — Brock Lawrence J …2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — HAAS ALESIA J2026-04-16: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — HAAS ALESIA J2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $2.0M — HAAS ALESIA J …2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — HAAS ALESIA J2026-02-27: 7 insider sales, $230K — Grewal Paul …2026-02-24: 8 insider sales, $914K — Brock Lawrence J, Jones Jennifer N. …2026-02-06: 6 insider sales, $56.5M — HAAS ALESIA J …2026-01-15: 3 insider sales, $2.4M — HAAS ALESIA J, Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III …2026-01-14: 1 insider sale, $715K — Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III2026-01-05: 4 insider sales, $10.3M — Armstrong Brian, Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III …2026-01-02: 12 insider sales, $2.3M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2025-12-22: 5 insider sales, $10.0M — Armstrong Brian …2025-12-18: 1 insider sale, $348K — Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III2025-12-15: 4 insider sales, $2.0M — HAAS ALESIA J …2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $771K — Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III2025-12-08: 6 insider sales, $11.0M — Armstrong Brian …2025-12-04: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III …2025-12-01: 8 insider sales, $2.3M — WILSON FREDERICK R …2025-08: 36 open-market sales, $25.6M2025-09: 21 open-market sales, $20.7M2025-10: 22 open-market sales, $23.5M2025-11: 107 open-market sales, $189.7M2025-12: 32 open-market sales, $27.8M2026-01: 20 open-market sales, $15.7M2026-02: 21 open-market sales, $57.6M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $4.0M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $2.0M2026-05: 16 open-market sales, $3.6M2026-06: 11 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-07: 14 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-08: 16 open-market sales, $5.5M2026-09: 8 open-market sales, $4.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Andreessen Marc L — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Grewal Paul — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Brock Lawrence J — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jones Jennifer N. — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2025-12-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector HAAS ALESIA J — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Armstrong Brian — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Ehrsam Frederick Ernest III — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILSON FREDERICK R — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Andreessen Marc LdirectorSale13,676 @ $181.14$2.5M−1.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,136,324Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale3,397 @ $177.09$602K−37.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open5,703Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,403 @ $178.28$250K−24.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,317 @ $180.77$238K−42.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open1,800Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,183 @ $179.99$213K−27.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,117Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale992 @ $182.57$181K−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale900 @ $176.12$159K−9.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale808 @ $181.92$147K−44.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open992Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24Jones Jennifer N.officerSale2,062 @ $188.75$389K−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale10,589 @ $142.93$1.5M−75.9% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open3,361Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale10,494 @ $142.01$1.5M−42.9% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open13,950Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale2,761 @ $143.79$397K−82.1% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open600Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale2,200 @ $148.86$327K−8.3% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open24,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,800 @ $149.87$270K−7.4% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open22,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,298 @ $151.91$197K−11.5% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open10,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,202 @ $150.86$181K−5.3% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open21,298Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,000 @ $146.60$147K−3.5% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open27,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale800 @ $147.66$118K−2.9% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open26,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale646 @ $142.15$92K−2.2% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open29,354Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale624 @ $142.01$89K−100.0% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale600 @ $145.41$87K−2.1% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open28,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale600 @ $144.77$87K−100.0% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale354 @ $142.98$51K−1.2% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open29,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale100 @ $143.91$14K−0.3% of holding+20.2%not yet — horizon still open28,900Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale2,800 @ $161.15$451K−10.8% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open23,100Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,800 @ $163.44$294K−8.3% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open20,000Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,300 @ $162.53$211K−5.6% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open21,800Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,100 @ $156.04$172K−3.9% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open27,200Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale800 @ $159.41$128K−3.0% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open25,900Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale400 @ $156.83$63K−1.5% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open26,800Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale400 @ $151.32$61K−1.4% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open28,800Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale300 @ $154.37$46K−1.0% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open28,300Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale300 @ $150.17$45K−1.0% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open29,200Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale300 @ $148.99$45K−1.0% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open29,500Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale200 @ $152.57$31K−0.7% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open28,600Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale100 @ $157.93$16K−0.4% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open26,700Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale100 @ $147.55$15K−0.3% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open29,800Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-07-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale100 @ $146.53$15K−0.3% of holding−8.3%not yet — horizon still open29,900Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-05Jones Jennifer N.officerSale2,051 @ $158.15$324K−100.0% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale2,309 @ $182.22$421K−6.6% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open32,800Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,491 @ $181.17$270K−4.1% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open35,109Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,200 @ $184.22$221K−3.7% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open31,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,200 @ $179.32$215K−3.1% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open37,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale1,000 @ $178.18$178K−2.5% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open38,400Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale900 @ $185.46$167K−2.9% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open30,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale600 @ $180.19$108K−1.6% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open36,600Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale600 @ $177.13$106K−1.5% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open39,400Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale500 @ $183.05$92K−1.5% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open32,300Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorSale200 @ $186.17$37K−0.7% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open30,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale589 @ $175.79$104K−0.7% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open85,803Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale454 @ $177.72$81K−0.5% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open85,166Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale388 @ $178.91$69K−0.5% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open84,778Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale321 @ $174.99$56K−0.4% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open86,392Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale183 @ $176.93$32K−0.2% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open85,620Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-27Grewal PaulofficerSale25 @ $179.54$4K−0.0% of holding−11.6%not yet — horizon still open84,753Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-22Brock Lawrence JofficerSale2,200 @ $188.78$415K−44.0% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open2,800Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-22Brock Lawrence JofficerSale1,033 @ $185.16$191K−14.5% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open6,100Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-22Brock Lawrence JofficerSale783 @ $189.47$148K−28.0% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open2,017Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-22Brock Lawrence JofficerSale600 @ $187.98$113K−10.7% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open5,000Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-22Brock Lawrence JofficerSale500 @ $192.71$96K−29.1% of holding−17.4%not yet — horizon still open1,217Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

163 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Armstrong AnthonydirectorAward / grant1,8061,806Form 4
2026-09-01Armstrong AnthonydirectorAward / grant3,1103,110Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorWithheld for tax18,037568,122Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorWithheld for tax8,339384,406Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerWithheld for tax2,5022,062Form 4
2026-08-20Davies ChristadirectorWithheld for tax573,770Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise4,10124,607Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise1,3211,321Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise10,143577,740Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise5,8695,869Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise8,419586,159Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise1,2142,535Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise11,738561,521Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise6,84768,463Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise10,143101,427Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise11,73811,738Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise2,0294,564Form 4
2026-08-20Lehane ChrisdirectorOption exercise7483,776Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise6,07636,455Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise1,3211,320Form 4
2026-08-20Lehane ChrisdirectorOption exercise748748Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise6,076567,597Form 4
2026-08-20Davies ChristadirectorOption exercise7483,827Form 4
2026-08-20Davies ChristadirectorOption exercise748748Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise5,869381,797Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise4,101385,898Form 4
2026-08-20HAAS ALESIA JdirectorOption exercise6,847392,745Form 4
2026-08-20Choi EmiliedirectorOption exercise8,41958,934Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise2,02920,285Form 4
2026-08-20Jones Jennifer N.officerOption exercise1,2147,291Form 4
2026-08-15Choi EmiliedirectorAward / grant67,35367,353Form 4
2026-06-16Davies ChristadirectorWithheld for tax883,079Form 4
2026-06-16Rajaram GokuldirectorOption exercise1,2341,234Form 4
2026-06-16Rajaram GokuldirectorOption exercise1,2340Form 4
2026-06-16Ehrsam Frederick Ernest IIIdirectorAward / grant2,3032,303Form 4
2026-06-16Ehrsam Frederick Ernest IIIdirectorOption exercise1,1501,150Form 4
2026-06-16Rajaram GokuldirectorAward / grant2,4802,480Form 4
2026-06-16WILSON FREDERICK RdirectorAward / grant2,8342,834Form 4
2026-06-16Lehane ChrisdirectorOption exercise1,1003,028Form 4
2026-06-16Lehane ChrisdirectorOption exercise1,1000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-06$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Tim MooreHousesale2026-02-202026-02-18$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-02-132026-01-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.