Issued 2026-09-16 at $51.06 · now $51.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COHU has typically landed between $41.99 and $62.03 — a range of −17.8% to +21.5% from the issuance price $51.06.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($51.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where COHU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $51.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $51.06 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $51.53 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.99–$55.07
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $41.99–$62.03
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-19 | −57.1% | −57.1% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −57.0% | −57.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-20 | −53.4% | −56.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-11-04 | +65.7% | −0.4% | +65.7% |
| 2020-11-06 | +64.1% | +0.0% | +66.4% |
| 2020-11-05 | +63.8% | −0.9% | +64.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $55.82 | $558K | −5.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 159,702 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $61.90 | $62K | −0.6% of holding | −16.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 169,702 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $51.74 | $517K | −12.5% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 70,030 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Sale | 5,252 @ $51.73 | $272K | −7.5% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 64,778 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-05 | Richardson Nina | director | Sale | 3,055 @ $51.54 | $157K | −7.2% of holding | −11.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,093 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-07-15 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $57.92 | $58K | −0.6% of holding | +3.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 170,702 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $63.88 | $64K | −0.6% of holding | −19.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 171,702 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Muller Luis A | director | Sale | 45,154 @ $46.62 | $2.1M | −4.6% of holding | +38.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 927,619 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Sale | 13,000 @ $46.84 | $609K | −3.6% of holding | +38.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 343,792 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-22 | DONAHUE JAMES A | director | Sale | 10,257 @ $46.77 | $480K | −74.1% of holding | +38.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,578 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | BILODEAU STEVEN J | director | Sale | 10,257 @ $44.85 | $460K | −16.4% of holding | +55.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,272 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-15 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $46.92 | $47K | −0.6% of holding | +30.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 172,702 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-13 | BENDUSH WILLIAM | director | Sale | 7,500 @ $49.14 | $369K | −23.2% of holding | +24.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 24,780 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-11 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $51.28 | $77K | −0.9% of holding | +8.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 173,702 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-15 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $38.00 | $38K | −0.6% of holding | +18.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 175,202 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-16 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $28.57 | $29K | −0.6% of holding | +31.4% | +61.0% | 176,202 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BILODEAU STEVEN J | director | Sale | 11,105 @ $31.26 | $347K | −15.9% of holding | +0.5% | +60.6% | 58,951 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $30.23 | $30K | −0.6% of holding | +0.5% | +60.6% | 167,237 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-13 | BENDUSH WILLIAM | director | Sale | 3,400 @ $17.93 | $61K | −11.1% of holding | +1.0% | +10.6% | 27,362 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | BENDUSH WILLIAM | director | Sale | 3,400 @ $17.69 | $60K | −10.0% of holding | +5.3% | +20.5% | 30,762 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $17.52 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | +5.3% | +20.5% | 168,237 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $14.57 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | +12.1% | +14.2% | 168,437 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $16.88 | $3K | −0.2% of holding | −5.5% | +12.2% | 128,739 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $21.88 | $4K | −0.2% of holding | −16.5% | −12.2% | 128,939 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-01-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $25.78 | $5K | −0.2% of holding | −20.6% | −30.9% | 129,139 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Sale | 200 @ $27.68 | $6K | −0.2% of holding | −9.4% | −33.6% | 129,339 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
76 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Other acquisition | 190,590 | 153,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Other acquisition | 190,590 | 190,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-26 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 294 | 80,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Rapp Karen Marie | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 19,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | DONAHUE JAMES A | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 13,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | BENDUSH WILLIAM | director | Other acquisition | 10,257 | 35,037 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | BENDUSH WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 3,578 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Richardson Nina | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 42,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | BILODEAU STEVEN J | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 62,529 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 79,736 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Mattes Andreas W | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 25,814 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | JORDEN YON | director | Award / grant | 3,578 | 35,226 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-27 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 594 | 76,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Muller Luis A | director | Withheld for tax | 13,271 | 1,038,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,447 | 378,574 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,098 | 99,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Other acquisition | 7,425 | 91,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Other acquisition | 16,501 | 177,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Other acquisition | 21,782 | 356,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,131 | 193,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-14 | Muller Luis A | director | Other acquisition | 66,006 | 972,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,273 | 196,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Muller Luis A | director | Withheld for tax | 8,851 | 1,052,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,000 | 383,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-12 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Withheld for tax | 998 | 100,314 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,576 | 386,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,225 | 101,312 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,088 | 199,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Muller Luis A | director | Withheld for tax | 17,376 | 1,060,901 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Award / grant | 26,969 | 364,628 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Award / grant | 17,979 | 185,216 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Award / grant | 13,076 | 103,537 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Ilgenfritz Klaus | officer | Award / grant | 13,076 | 90,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | BOHRSON CHRISTOPHER | officer | Award / grant | 17,979 | 203,195 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Muller Luis A | director | Award / grant | 98,071 | 1,078,277 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Muller Luis A | director | Award / grant | 98,071 | 980,206 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-10 | Jones Jeffrey D | officer | Award / grant | 26,969 | 391,597 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-26 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 723 | 75,564 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-26 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 833 | 74,841 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-27 | CAGGIA ANDREW M | director | Award / grant | 947 | 74,008 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.