Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.01 · now $11.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CODI has typically landed between $9.19 and $13.32 — a range of −16.5% to +21.0% from the issuance price $11.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CODI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11 (-0.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.24–$11.76
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.19–$13.32
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-04-30 | −62.1% | −62.1% | +2.7% |
| 2025-05-07 | −62.0% | −62.3% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-29 | −61.2% | −61.9% | +1.8% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-20 | +111.6% | +0.0% | +111.6% |
| 2026-03-19 | +101.8% | −1.8% | +101.8% |
| 2026-03-23 | +91.5% | +0.0% | +93.6% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Kim Eugene L. | other | Purchase | 20,000 @ $11.47 | $229K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | RICHTER GLENN R | other | Purchase | 38,051 @ $13.14 | $500K | ownership Δ n/a | −10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,051 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | ENTERLINE LARRY L | other | Purchase | 67,114 @ $12.42 | $833K | +204.1% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 100,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-13 | Sawtelle Zachary T. | other | Purchase | 7,000 @ $12.45 | $87K | +12.4% of holding | −5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 63,588 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-12 | Sawtelle Zachary T. | other | Purchase | 25,000 @ $11.99 | $300K | +79.1% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | SHAFFER TERI | other | Purchase | 11,881 @ $12.25 | $146K | +900.1% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 13,201 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Keller Stephen | other | Purchase | 10,000 @ $12.01 | $120K | +23.9% of holding | −7.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,840 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | ADW Capital Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 10,000 @ $3.66 | $37K | +33.3% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | ADW Capital Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,000 @ $0.74 | $7K | −20.0% of holding | −5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | ADW Capital Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 30,000 @ $5.30 | $159K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | ADW Capital Management, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 30,000 @ $2.48 | $74K | −50.0% of holding | −14.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 30,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-06 | Keller Stephen | other | Purchase | 20,000 @ $8.66 | $173K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-06 | Keller Stephen | other | Purchase | 10,000 @ $8.50 | $85K | ownership Δ n/a | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-03 | Keller Stephen | other | Purchase | 1,500 @ $22.00 | $33K | +14.5% of holding | −9.4% | −76.7% | 11,840 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.