COAG · TickerCove

COAGHemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. Common StockHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.97 · now $40.97 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, COAG has typically landed between $33.77 and $69.11 — a range of −17.6% to +68.7% from the issuance price $40.97.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

74 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.97) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$40.97 · 53% of range

$24.98 low$54.94 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Distribution ranges onlyiThis name has too little trading history to publish a calibrated probability, so we show its distribution ranges only — no directional call. Its record is still building.

No directional probability — ranges below.

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+12.0%

typical move · IQR 41.1%

−17.6%worst (p90)+68.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where COAG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.97 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $40.97 (+0.0%)
typical $45.87 (+12.0%)
middle 50% $37.46–$54.29
90% range $33.77–$69.11

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 74 windows spanning 2026-05-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-08-14	−27.0%	−28.3%	+0.0%
2026-08-12	−26.3%	−26.3%	+2.7%
2026-08-13	−25.0%	−27.0%	+1.8%
3 best
2026-06-16	+93.2%	+0.0%	+93.2%
2026-06-17	+86.7%	+0.0%	+86.7%
2026-06-25	+81.8%	+0.0%	+81.8%

74 overlapping windows · 2026-05-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-16	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	61,523 @ $24.98	$1.5M	+1.0% of holding	+93.9%	not yet — horizon still open	6,444,637	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	6,146 @ $24.89	$153K	+0.1% of holding	+77.8%	not yet — horizon still open	6,383,114	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	996 @ $24.94	$25K	+0.0% of holding	+19.2%	not yet — horizon still open	6,376,968	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-19	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	3,802 @ $24.97	$95K	+0.1% of holding	+12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	6,375,972	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	6,387 @ $24.90	$159K	+0.1% of holding	+4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	6,372,170	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	25,720 @ $25.00	$643K	+0.4% of holding	+4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	6,365,783	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	14,149 @ $24.47	$346K	+0.2% of holding	+4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	6,340,063	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	1,483 @ $24.98	$37K	+0.0% of holding	+7.6%	not yet — horizon still open	6,325,914	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-07	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	7,921 @ $24.34	$193K	+0.1% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	6,322,446	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-07	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	1,985 @ $24.95	$50K	+0.0% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	6,324,431	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-06	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	53,407 @ $24.83	$1.3M	+0.9% of holding	+0.7%	not yet — horizon still open	6,314,525	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-06	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	14,611 @ $23.77	$347K	+0.2% of holding	+0.7%	not yet — horizon still open	6,261,118	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-05	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	87,143 @ $24.59	$2.1M	+1.4% of holding	−3.0%	not yet — horizon still open	6,236,239	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	10,268 @ $25.00	$257K	+0.2% of holding	−3.0%	not yet — horizon still open	6,246,507	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	2,541,250 @ $18.00	$45.7M	+70.4% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	6,149,096	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Purchase	133,750 @ $18.00	$2.4M	+60.5% of holding	−1.8%	not yet — horizon still open	354,938	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

79 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	23,343	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	71,866	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	MARAGANORE JOHN	director	Conversion	817	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	62,121	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	32,695	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	64,680	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	27,720	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	42,341	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	18,146	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	56,972	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	10,054	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	3,607,846	3,607,846	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	1,009,052	1,009,052	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	221,188	221,188	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	64,680	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	27,720	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	56,972	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	10,054	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	3,607,846	3,607,846	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	221,188	221,188	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	64,680	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	27,720	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	42,341	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	3,607,846	3,607,846	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	1,009,052	1,009,052	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	221,188	221,188	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	64,680	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	27,720	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	42,341	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	18,146	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	56,972	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	4,180,550	4,180,550	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	10,054	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	Novo Holdings A/S	tenPercentOwner	Conversion	4,180,550	4,180,550	Form 4
2026-05-04	MARAGANORE JOHN	director	Conversion	17,974	35,948	Form 4
2026-05-04	MARAGANORE JOHN	director	Conversion	17,974	17,974	Form 4
2026-05-04	MARAGANORE JOHN	director	Conversion	17,974	35,948	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	42,341	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	18,146	0	Form 4
2026-05-04	RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.	director	Conversion	56,972	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.