CNX · TickerCove

CNXCNX Resources Corporationas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.71 · now $33.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNX has typically landed between $29.66 and $39.43 — a range of −12.0% to +17.0% from the issuance price $33.71.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$33.71 · 35% of range

$29.02 low$42.61 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.9%

typical move · IQR 11.7%

−12.0%worst (p90)+17.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CNX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $33.71 (+0.0%)
typical $34.37 (+1.9%)
middle 50% $32.39–$36.35
90% range $29.66–$39.43

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−55.5%	−55.5%	+0.0%
2008-09-24	−50.5%	−50.5%	+0.0%
2008-09-23	−50.3%	−50.3%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-26	+155.4%	−0.4%	+156.0%
2020-03-23	+120.3%	−8.2%	+135.9%
2020-03-27	+112.7%	+0.0%	+157.1%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

39%

−2.6%

n=18

Feb

74%

+1.7%

n=19

Mar

58%

+3.1%

n=19

Apr

47%

+8.2%

n=19

May

47%

+0.3%

n=19

Jun

53%

−3.2%

n=19

Jul

63%

+1.1%

n=19

Aug

47%

−1.5%

n=19

Sep

47%

−2.5%

n=19

Oct

56%

+1.1%

n=18

Nov

50%

+2.5%

n=18

Dec

50%

+0.3%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-04	Thorndike William N Jr	director	Sale	28,800 @ $38.25	$1.1M	−6.3% of holding	−17.4%	not yet — horizon still open	426,585	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23	Lally-Green Maureen	director	Sale	23,521 @ $39.51	$929K	−12.2% of holding	−13.7%	not yet — horizon still open	169,687	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-23	Lally-Green Maureen	director	Sale	110 @ $40.00	$4K	−0.1% of holding	−13.7%	not yet — horizon still open	169,577	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-19	LANIGAN BERNARD JR	director	Sale	46,119 @ $40.60	$1.9M	−20.7% of holding	+4.5%	−21.4%	177,180	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-12	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $31.20	$312K	+4.2% of holding	+0.4%	+0.6%	245,433	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-06	MFN Partners, LP	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,075,000 @ $31.09	$33.4M	−7.2% of holding	−6.6%	+3.0%	13,925,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J	director	Gift	528,000	528,000	Form 4
2026-09-02	DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J	director	Gift	528,000	1,863,608	Form 4
2026-08-13	Behl Navneet	officer	Withheld for tax	17,297	227,776	Form 4
2026-08-13	Shepard Alan K	director	Withheld for tax	17,297	281,895	Form 4
2026-08-13	Shepard Alan K	director	Option exercise	39,771	299,192	Form 4
2026-08-13	Behl Navneet	officer	Option exercise	39,771	287,501	Form 4
2026-08-13	Behl Navneet	officer	Option exercise	39,771	245,073	Form 4
2026-08-13	Shepard Alan K	director	Option exercise	39,771	287,501	Form 4
2026-08-04	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	43,307	43,307	Form 4
2026-08-04	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	86,614	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Option exercise	12,129	261,130	Form 4
2026-06-18	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Option exercise	10,000	271,130	Form 4
2026-06-18	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Option exercise	12,129	0	Form 4
2026-06-18	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Option exercise	10,000	0	Form 4
2026-06-02	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	19,155	73,972	Form 4
2026-06-02	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	19,155	86,614	Form 4
2026-05-08	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	67,459	93,127	Form 4
2026-05-08	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Gift	67,459	67,459	Form 4
2026-05-07	DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J	director	Award / grant	8,352	2,391,608	Form 4
2026-05-07	LANIGAN BERNARD JR	director	Award / grant	5,568	182,748	Form 4
2026-05-07	Thorndike William N Jr	director	Award / grant	8,770	435,355	Form 4
2026-05-07	Lally-Green Maureen	director	Award / grant	9,048	178,625	Form 4
2026-05-07	Agbede Robert	director	Award / grant	5,568	44,205	Form 4
2026-05-07	MCGUIRE IAN R	director	Award / grant	9,466	160,586	Form 4
2026-05-07	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Award / grant	5,568	250,001	Form 4
2026-05-07	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Gift	1,000	249,001	Form 4
2026-05-07	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Gift	200	450	Form 4
2026-05-07	Clarkson J. Palmer	director	Gift	200	200	Form 4
2026-05-04	Thorndike William N Jr	director	Option exercise	83,097	455,385	Form 4
2026-05-04	Thorndike William N Jr	director	Option exercise	83,097	0	Form 4
2026-03-23	Lally-Green Maureen	director	Option exercise	29,915	193,208	Form 4
2026-03-23	Lally-Green Maureen	director	Option exercise	29,915	0	Form 4
2026-02-19	LANIGAN BERNARD JR	director	Option exercise	46,119	223,299	Form 4
2026-02-19	LANIGAN BERNARD JR	director	Option exercise	46,119	0	Form 4
2026-02-02	DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J	director	Withheld for tax	23,831	2,383,256	Form 4
2026-01-30	DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J	director	Withheld for tax	49,350	2,407,087	Form 4
2026-01-30	Shepard Alan K	director	Withheld for tax	28,337	259,421	Form 4
2026-01-30	Behl Navneet	officer	Withheld for tax	26,949	205,302	Form 4
2026-01-30	Bedard Timothy Scott	officer	Withheld for tax	1,405	106,936	Form 4
2026-01-30	Good Everett W	officer	Withheld for tax	920	42,912	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i