Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.14 · now $2.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNVS has typically landed between $1.46 and $3.05 — a range of −31.7% to +42.6% from the issuance price $2.14.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,999 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CNVS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.14 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2 (-6.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.72–$2.28
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.46–$3.05
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-06-05 | −74.5% | −74.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-06-07 | −74.2% | −74.2% | +0.0% |
| 2023-06-06 | −73.4% | −73.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-04 | +468.6% | +0.0% | +468.6% |
| 2020-05-01 | +448.0% | +0.0% | +448.0% |
| 2020-05-05 | +370.6% | +0.0% | +468.6% |
4,999 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $2.68 | $40K | −7.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 183,170 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-17 | MCGURK CHRISTOPHER J | director | Purchase | 75,000 @ $2.00 | $150K | +72.4% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 178,526 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Purchase | 37,500 @ $2.00 | $75K | +24.6% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 190,061 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Lindsey Mark Wayne | officer | Purchase | 35,000 @ $2.00 | $70K | +29.4% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 154,168 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Purchase | 30,000 @ $2.00 | $60K | +17.6% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 200,337 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Purchase | 30,000 @ $2.00 | $60K | +15.5% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 224,146 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Macias Yolanda | director | Purchase | 30,000 @ $2.00 | $60K | +32.7% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 121,760 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-17 | Torres Mark | officer | Purchase | 25,000 @ $2.00 | $50K | +15.8% of holding | −6.8% | −12.2% | 183,274 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Macias Yolanda | director | Sale | 2,189 @ $2.42 | $5K | −2.3% of holding | −13.4% | −4.2% | 91,760 | Form 4 · filed 77 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Halford Mary Ann | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $3.96 | $79K | −7.5% of holding | −7.8% | +19.9% | 245,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
98 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Torres Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,941 | 191,224 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Macias Yolanda | director | Withheld for tax | 13,895 | 129,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,832 | 242,009 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Withheld for tax | 13,461 | 198,170 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Withheld for tax | 11,727 | 214,498 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 51,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Torres Mark | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 51,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | MCGURK CHRISTOPHER J | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Option exercise | 31,517 | 63,033 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 51,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Macias Yolanda | director | Option exercise | 25,607 | 51,213 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Option exercise | 31,517 | 255,841 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 211,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | MCGURK CHRISTOPHER J | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 582,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Torres Mark | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 205,165 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Macias Yolanda | director | Option exercise | 25,607 | 143,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 226,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | MCGURK CHRISTOPHER J | director | Option exercise | 40,000 | 582,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Macias Yolanda | director | Option exercise | 25,607 | 143,804 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Option exercise | 31,517 | 255,841 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Torres Mark | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 205,165 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 226,225 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Option exercise | 25,607 | 211,631 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Withheld for tax | 45,703 | 186,024 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Withheld for tax | 45,655 | 224,324 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Torres Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 37,049 | 179,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Macias Yolanda | director | Withheld for tax | 36,896 | 118,197 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lindsey Mark Wayne | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,530 | 153,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Withheld for tax | 33,052 | 200,618 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 33,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Torres Mark | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 33,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Option exercise | 41,666 | 41,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lindsey Mark Wayne | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 33,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | MCGURK CHRISTOPHER J | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Macias Yolanda | director | Option exercise | 33,333 | 33,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | OPEKA ERICK | officer | Option exercise | 45,833 | 45,834 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lindsey Mark Wayne | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 187,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | LOFFREDO GARY S | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 233,670 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Lindsey Mark Wayne | officer | Option exercise | 33,333 | 187,501 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-25 | Huidor Mark Antonio | officer | Option exercise | 41,666 | 231,727 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.