CNRCore Natural Resources, Inc.Energy · Coalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $94.01 · now $94.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNR has typically landed between $76.99 and $117.99 — a range of −18.1% to +25.5% from the issuance price $94.01.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,199 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-11-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($94.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CNR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $94.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$76.99worst · -18.1%$117.99best · +25.5%
  • now $94.01 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $96.35 (+2.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $87.95–$104.76
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $76.99–$117.99
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,199 windows spanning 2017-11-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-01-16−45.9%−45.9%+0.0%
2020-06-08−45.4%−48.9%+0.0%
2020-06-09−45.4%−46.9%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-31+105.6%+0.0%+105.6%
2021-04-30+91.7%+0.0%+91.7%
2017-11-28+82.2%−8.6%+82.2%

2,199 overlapping windows · 2017-11-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−7.3%
n=9
Feb
33%
+0.5%
n=9
Mar
44%
−0.6%
n=9
Apr
44%
+12.2%
n=9
May
44%
+11.4%
n=9
Jun
44%
−0.6%
n=9
Jul
67%
+6.3%
n=9
Aug
78%
+4.8%
n=9
Sep
44%
+0.7%
n=9
Oct
25%
−5.0%
n=8
Nov
63%
+7.8%
n=8
Dec
56%
+10.6%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$113$692026-03-19: 2 insider sales, $1.6M — Klein Rosemary L …2026-03-18: 1 insider sale, $4.1M — Brock James A2026-03-17: 1 insider sale, $98K — Rothka John2026-03-10: 2 insider sales, $898K — NAVARRE RICHARD A, Rothka John2025-10-09: 1 insider sale, $100K — Rothka John2025-10-08: 1 insider sale, $95K — Rothka John2025-10-03: 1 insider sale, $225K — Rothka John2025-09-25: 1 insider sale, $411K — NAVARRE RICHARD A2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $235K — KRIEGSHAUSER PATRICK A2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $646K2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $420K2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $6.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Klein Rosemary L — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Klein Rosemary L — Sale on 2026-03-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Brock James A — Sale on 2026-03-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rothka John — Sale on 2026-03-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector NAVARRE RICHARD A — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rothka John — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rothka John — Sale on 2025-10-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Rothka John — Sale on 2025-10-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rothka John — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed 3 days after the tradedirector NAVARRE RICHARD A — Sale on 2025-09-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector KRIEGSHAUSER PATRICK A — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-19Klein Rosemary LofficerSale10,000 @ $105.00$1.1M−14.6% of holding−28.0%not yet — horizon still open58,679Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-19Klein Rosemary LofficerSale5,000 @ $110.62$553K−8.5% of holding−28.0%not yet — horizon still open53,679Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-18Brock James AdirectorSale40,760 @ $101.15$4.1M−29.0% of holding−23.0%not yet — horizon still open100,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17Rothka JohnofficerSale1,000 @ $97.66$98K−16.2% of holding−14.1%−17.7%5,190Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorSale6,000 @ $91.70$550K−25.0% of holding−4.1%−4.3%18,034Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10Rothka JohnofficerSale3,800 @ $91.62$348K−38.0% of holding−4.1%−4.3%6,190Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-09Rothka JohnofficerSale1,000 @ $100.00$100K−9.7% of holding−8.5%−10.8%9,307Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-08Rothka JohnofficerSale1,000 @ $95.00$95K−8.8% of holding−11.0%−7.9%10,307Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-03Rothka JohnofficerSale2,500 @ $90.00$225K−18.1% of holding−10.2%+13.7%11,307Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-25NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorSale5,000 @ $82.20$411K−18.6% of holding−1.9%+41.2%21,830Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-17KRIEGSHAUSER PATRICK AdirectorSale3,043 @ $77.07$235K−11.5% of holding+20.0%+38.6%23,348Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09Lang Paul AdirectorPurchase7,500 @ $66.95$502K+2.2% of holding−6.5%+13.8%341,062Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-31KOEPPEL HOLLY KdirectorSale4,771 @ $74.97$358K−21.5% of holding−5.5%−11.2%17,392Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-31KOEPPEL HOLLY KdirectorSale4,044 @ $75.68$306K−23.3% of holding−5.5%−11.2%13,348Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

97 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-04-30Doheny Edward L IIdirectorAward / grant1,3901,390Form 4
2026-04-30Keating Ronald CdirectorAward / grant1,3901,390Form 4
2026-03-24Brock James AdirectorGift24,4400Form 4
2026-03-24Brock James AdirectorGift24,440291,415Form 4
2026-02-18Brock James AdirectorWithheld for tax66,365271,407Form 4
2026-02-18Brock James AdirectorWithheld for tax4,440266,967Form 4
2026-02-18Thakkar MiteshkumarofficerWithheld for tax1,22361,657Form 4
2026-02-18Schuller George John JRofficerWithheld for tax1,06927,338Form 4
2026-02-18Thakkar MiteshkumarofficerWithheld for tax80662,880Form 4
2026-02-18Klein Rosemary LofficerWithheld for tax74668,667Form 4
2026-02-18Slone DeckofficerWithheld for tax73170,207Form 4
2026-02-18Schuller George John JRofficerWithheld for tax71328,407Form 4
2026-02-18Salvatori Kurt R.officerWithheld for tax68924,585Form 4
2026-02-18Klein Rosemary LofficerWithheld for tax49769,413Form 4
2026-02-18Slone DeckofficerWithheld for tax48770,938Form 4
2026-02-18Braithwaite Robert J. Jr.officerWithheld for tax46416,290Form 4
2026-02-18Salvatori Kurt R.officerWithheld for tax45925,274Form 4
2026-02-18Braithwaite Robert J. Jr.officerWithheld for tax31016,754Form 4
2026-02-18Rothka JohnofficerWithheld for tax979,970Form 4
2026-02-17KOEPPEL HOLLY KdirectorAward / grant1,61014,958Form 4
2026-02-17Slone DeckofficerAward / grant5,06071,425Form 4
2026-02-17Braithwaite Robert J. Jr.officerAward / grant4,44017,064Form 4
2026-02-17Platt Joseph P JRdirectorAward / grant1,61040,648Form 4
2026-02-17Schuller George John JRofficerAward / grant7,53029,120Form 4
2026-02-17Thakkar MiteshkumarofficerAward / grant8,73063,686Form 4
2026-02-17Klein Rosemary LofficerAward / grant5,06069,910Form 4
2026-02-17Brock James AdirectorAward / grant21,190274,367Form 4
2026-02-17Rothka JohnofficerAward / grant76010,067Form 4
2026-02-17KRIEGSHAUSER PATRICK AdirectorAward / grant1,61024,958Form 4
2026-02-17NAVARRE RICHARD AdirectorAward / grant2,20024,030Form 4
2026-02-17Salvatori Kurt R.officerAward / grant4,82025,733Form 4
2026-02-17Perera VallidirectorAward / grant1,6109,317Form 4
2025-11-13Brock James AdirectorGift140,76024,440Form 4
2025-11-13Brock James AdirectorGift140,760140,760Form 4
2025-05-20Brock James AdirectorGift165,200165,200Form 4
2025-05-20Brock James AdirectorGift165,200370,575Form 4
2025-02-18Klein Rosemary LofficerAward / grant5,12459,726Form 4
2025-02-18Salvatori Kurt R.officerAward / grant4,82316,090Form 4
2025-02-18Salvatori Kurt R.officerAward / grant4,82320,913Form 4
2025-02-18Brock James AdirectorAward / grant20,096515,679Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.