CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc.Utilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $38.33 · now $38.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNP has typically landed between $35.45 and $41.80 — a range of −7.5% to +9.1% from the issuance price $38.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($38.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CNP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $38.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$35.45worst · -7.5%$41.8best · +9.1%
  • now $38.33 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.85 (+1.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.51–$40.19
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $35.45–$41.8
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-19−53.7%−53.7%+0.0%
2020-02-13−53.6%−53.6%+0.0%
2020-02-18−53.5%−53.5%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+33.8%+0.0%+47.1%
2020-03-18+32.6%−2.9%+42.8%
2008-10-10+30.0%+0.0%+33.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$29.1B
market cap
$1.63
EPS (TTM)
27.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-28
next earnings
Revenue$9.4B
'20'25
Net income$1.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$2.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr11.2%
'20'25
ROE · by yr9.4%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.12
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $38.33$-62.89$58.36
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-54.53
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$36.80
  • Analyst target · range $40.00–$50.00$46.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$38.33

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
37%
−1.8%
n=19
Mar
79%
+2.8%
n=19
Apr
84%
+3.1%
n=19
May
53%
+0.8%
n=19
Jun
63%
+0.8%
n=19
Jul
74%
+1.8%
n=19
Aug
42%
−0.4%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Oct
72%
+0.5%
n=18
Nov
61%
+1.8%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$45$372026-08-17: 1 insider purchase, $41K — Fitch Laurie Lee2025-11-06: 1 insider sale, $241K — Smith Phillip R2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $241K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $41K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Fitch Laurie Lee — Purchase on 2026-08-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Smith Phillip R — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17Fitch Laurie LeedirectorPurchase1,000 @ $40.70$41K+8.8% of holding−2.7%not yet — horizon still open12,395Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Phillip RdirectorSale6,200 @ $38.83$241K−8.6% of holding−3.7%−1.3%65,577Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Fitch Laurie LeedirectorPurchase800 @ $36.73$29K+12.4% of holding−4.8%−9.2%7,234Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09Fitch Laurie LeedirectorPurchase1,900 @ $37.58$71K+41.9% of holding−9.7%−13.4%6,434Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03Pound TeddirectorSale6,103 @ $34.50$211K−11.5% of holding+10.0%+0.7%46,803Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-24Colvin KristieofficerSale16,357 @ $34.10$558K−12.1% of holding+6.4%+3.3%118,882Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24Colvin KristieofficerSale179 @ $34.08$6K−100.0% of holding+6.4%+3.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

76 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11Soto Jesus Jr.officerWithheld for tax15,151175,279Form 4
2026-08-11Soto Jesus Jr.officerWithheld for tax1,924173,355Form 4
2026-08-11Wright Russell KeithofficerWithheld for tax2118,503Form 4
2026-05-05Foster Christopher AofficerWithheld for tax5,867197,917Form 4
2026-05-01Seavers DeandirectorAward / grant4,03710,361Form 4
2026-05-01Lewis Raquelle WootendirectorAward / grant4,03728,658Form 4
2026-05-01Malik Thaddeus J.directorAward / grant4,03718,230Form 4
2026-05-01Miranda Manuel BenitodirectorAward / grant4,0378,571Form 4
2026-05-01Franklin ChrisdirectorAward / grant4,03725,039Form 4
2026-05-01Fitch Laurie LeedirectorAward / grant4,03711,395Form 4
2026-05-01Herman Michael AlbertdirectorAward / grant4,0375,062Form 4
2026-05-01DUGANIER BARBARA JdirectorAward / grant4,03714,369Form 4
2026-05-01Cloonan Wendolynn MontoyadirectorAward / grant4,03731,386Form 4
2026-05-01Pound TeddirectorAward / grant4,03755,729Form 4
2026-02-19Wells Jason P.directorWithheld for tax64,813565,379Form 4
2026-02-19Wells Jason P.directorWithheld for tax29,215536,164Form 4
2026-02-19Karuturi MonicadirectorWithheld for tax28,282252,476Form 4
2026-02-19Foster Christopher AofficerWithheld for tax26,843208,665Form 4
2026-02-19Ryan Jason MichaelofficerWithheld for tax23,868220,969Form 4
2026-02-19Karuturi MonicadirectorWithheld for tax10,811241,665Form 4
2026-02-19Ryan Jason MichaelofficerWithheld for tax7,813213,156Form 4
2026-02-19Colvin KristieofficerWithheld for tax6,719141,134Form 4
2026-02-19Foster Christopher AofficerWithheld for tax4,881203,784Form 4
2026-02-19Colvin KristieofficerWithheld for tax3,007138,127Form 4
2026-02-19Foster Christopher AofficerAward / grant76,929235,508Form 4
2026-02-19Karuturi MonicadirectorAward / grant80,596280,758Form 4
2026-02-19Wells Jason P.directorAward / grant173,594630,192Form 4
2026-02-19Ryan Jason MichaelofficerAward / grant69,271244,837Form 4
2026-02-19Colvin KristieofficerAward / grant25,646147,853Form 4
2026-02-11Wells Jason P.directorAward / grant76,736456,598Form 4
2026-02-11Soto Jesus Jr.officerAward / grant20,207190,430Form 4
2026-02-11Colvin KristieofficerAward / grant3,325122,207Form 4
2026-02-11Ryan Jason MichaelofficerAward / grant13,666175,566Form 4
2026-02-11Karuturi MonicadirectorAward / grant20,872200,162Form 4
2026-02-11Foster Christopher AofficerAward / grant25,076158,579Form 4
2025-08-11Soto Jesus Jr.officerAward / grant14,66214,662Form 4
2025-08-11Soto Jesus Jr.officerAward / grant155,561170,223Form 4
2025-05-05Foster Christopher AofficerWithheld for tax24,859133,503Form 4
2025-05-01Fitch Laurie LeedirectorAward / grant4,5344,534Form 4
2025-05-01Cloonan Wendolynn MontoyadirectorAward / grant4,53427,349Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-03-272025-02-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-09-062024-08-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-07-112023-06-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2023-06-122023-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2023-06-122023-05-31$1–15K
Daniel GoldmanHousepurchase2023-04-172023-03-06$15–50K
Daniel GoldmanHousesale2023-02-242023-01-31$15–50K
Diana HarshbargerHousepurchase2022-08-312022-07-22$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2020-08-172020-07-21$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-06-172020-05-20$1–15K
Dean PhillipsHousepurchase2020-06-152020-05-13$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.