CNMCore & Main, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Distributionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $42.82 · now $42.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNM has typically landed between $36.70 and $50.19 — a range of −14.3% to +17.2% from the issuance price $42.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,273 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($42.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CNM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $42.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$36.7worst · -14.3%$50.19best · +17.2%
  • now $42.82 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $43.62 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $40.76–$46.49
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $36.7–$50.19
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,273 windows spanning 2021-07-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-08-13−25.9%−26.0%+2.0%
2021-12-29−25.6%−27.3%+0.0%
2025-08-12−24.5%−25.8%+2.3%
3 best
2021-07-22+34.6%+0.0%+38.8%
2024-02-21+29.7%+0.0%+29.7%
2024-11-01+29.0%−3.1%+29.0%

1,273 overlapping windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
80%
+1.9%
n=5
Feb
60%
+1.3%
n=5
Mar
40%
+2.5%
n=5
Apr
60%
+4.1%
n=5
May
60%
+1.2%
n=5
Jun
40%
+0.9%
n=5
Jul
80%
+3.0%
n=5
Aug
50%
−1.0%
n=6
Sep
0%
−7.5%
n=6
Oct
60%
+1.8%
n=5
Nov
40%
+0.9%
n=5
Dec
80%
+6.9%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$67$412026-07-06: 1 insider purchase, $95K — Hope James D2026-04-17: 2 insider sales, $263K — Bradbury Robyn L …2026-04-07: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Hope James D2025-08-18: 1 insider sale, $6.4M — Witkowski Mark R2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $6.4M2026-04: 1 open-market purchase, $100K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $263K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $95K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Hope James D — Purchase on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bradbury Robyn L — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Bradbury Robyn L — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Hope James D — Purchase on 2026-04-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Witkowski Mark R — Sale on 2025-08-18, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-06Hope James DdirectorPurchase2,067 @ $46.01$95K+21.2% of holding−1.9%not yet — horizon still open11,805Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale3,353 @ $52.84$177K−21.2% of holding−13.2%not yet — horizon still open12,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale1,647 @ $51.94$86K−9.4% of holding−13.2%not yet — horizon still open15,853Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-07Hope James DdirectorPurchase1,972 @ $50.70$100K+39.7% of holding−10.8%not yet — horizon still open6,939Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-18Witkowski Mark RdirectorSale100,000 @ $64.08$6.4M−73.6% of holding−26.7%−19.6%35,847Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-22Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale5,000 @ $64.51$323K−36.9% of holding−3.1%−20.2%8,555Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-18Castellano James GdirectorSale43,994 @ $61.98$2.7M−100.0% of holding+2.1%−16.5%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-18Kimbrough Orvin TdirectorSale23,962 @ $61.77$1.5M−63.2% of holding+2.1%−16.5%13,958Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-17Witkowski Mark RdirectorSale72,331 @ $61.12$4.4M−53.2% of holding+1.2%−17.3%63,516Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-17Witkowski Mark RdirectorSale27,669 @ $61.63$1.7M−43.6% of holding+1.2%−17.3%35,847Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-07-07LeClair Stephen OdirectorSale44,972 @ $61.91$2.8M−38.9% of holding+2.2%−22.0%70,736Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-03LeClair Stephen OdirectorSale80,028 @ $62.27$5.0M−53.1% of holding+1.5%−24.2%70,736Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-07-01Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale13,363 @ $59.97$801K−39.8% of holding+1.5%−25.6%20,192Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-01Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale11,318 @ $61.08$691K−56.1% of holding+1.5%−25.6%8,874Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-01Bradbury Robyn LofficerSale319 @ $61.58$20K−3.6% of holding+1.5%−25.6%8,555Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Whittenburg Mark GofficerSale49,100 @ $60.03$2.9M−83.5% of holding+0.3%−29.5%9,691Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-06Whittenburg Mark GofficerSale900 @ $60.03$54K−8.5% of holding−0.2%−30.9%9,691Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-03Schneider Laura KofficerSale45,695 @ $56.25$2.6M−78.0% of holding+0.3%−32.1%12,873Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-28Schaller John RofficerSale9,794 @ $55.00$539K−33.2% of holding+5.5%−29.5%19,689Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-29Stephens John WeldonofficerSale31,750 @ $53.03$1.7M−88.5% of holding−3.1%−25.6%4,120Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-28Stephens John WeldonofficerSale10,214 @ $53.02$542K−71.3% of holding−3.3%−23.0%4,120Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-02Stephens John WeldonofficerSale41,963 @ $50.48$2.1M−91.1% of holding+5.3%−14.9%4,120Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11Schaller John RofficerSale19,292 @ $45.00$868K−55.5% of holding+6.4%−13.7%15,474Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Schaller John RofficerSale21,868 @ $46.82$1.0M−57.1% of holding+6.5%−10.3%16,452Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-10Cowles Bradford AofficerSale25,000 @ $54.48$1.4M−61.0% of holding−5.5%+12.8%16,010Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-16Whittenburg Mark GofficerSale48,026 @ $55.13$2.6M−86.2% of holding−3.9%+7.8%7,667Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-15Whittenburg Mark GofficerSale1,974 @ $55.29$109K−20.5% of holding−2.6%+8.0%7,667Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-14Cowles Bradford AofficerSale12,500 @ $54.07$676K−43.8% of holding−4.6%+6.1%16,010Form 4 · filed same day
2025-01-10Whittenburg Mark GofficerSale50,000 @ $50.49$2.5M−86.7% of holding+4.2%+11.1%7,667Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-10Schaller John RofficerSale37,984 @ $50.56$1.9M−67.2% of holding+4.2%+11.1%18,498Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-10Schaller John RofficerSale21,868 @ $50.56$1.1M−55.0% of holding+4.2%+11.1%17,898Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-10Cowles Bradford AofficerSale12,500 @ $50.50$631K−43.8% of holding+4.2%+11.1%16,010Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-10Schaller John RofficerSale600 @ $51.41$31K−3.2% of holding+4.2%+11.1%17,898Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-03LeClair Stephen OdirectorSale200,000 @ $54.88$11.0M−68.4% of holding−5.0%+7.1%92,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03Cowles Bradford AofficerSale50,000 @ $55.07$2.8M−73.1% of holding−5.0%+7.1%18,423Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03Giles Jeffrey DofficerSale25,000 @ $54.71$1.4M−68.3% of holding−5.0%+7.1%11,615Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-03NEWMAN MARGARETdirectorSale15,000 @ $55.25$829K−56.0% of holding−5.0%+7.1%11,769Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

255 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Harper Carla DofficerWithheld for tax24213,064Form 4
2026-07-22HUEBERT MICHAEL G.officerWithheld for tax1,30124,036Form 4
2026-06-23Hope James DdirectorAward / grant2,7999,738Form 4
2026-06-23Hardwick M SusandirectorAward / grant2,7993,379Form 4
2026-06-23NEWMAN MARGARETdirectorAward / grant2,79916,757Form 4
2026-06-23Kimbrough Orvin TdirectorAward / grant2,79916,757Form 4
2026-06-23Gipson Dennis GdirectorAward / grant2,79916,757Form 4
2026-06-23MAZZARELLA KATHLEEN MdirectorAward / grant2,79916,757Form 4
2026-06-23Amirthalingam BhavanidirectorAward / grant2,79917,955Form 4
2026-06-23Buck Robert MdirectorAward / grant2,79915,849Form 4
2026-06-23Castellano James GdirectorAward / grant2,7997,437Form 4
2026-06-22Harper Carla DofficerWithheld for tax56813,306Form 4
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerOther acquisition5,000152,447Form 4
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerConversion5,0000Form 4
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerOther acquisition5,0005,000Form 4
2026-04-17Bradbury Robyn LofficerConversion5,00017,500Form 4
2026-04-01Hardwick M SusandirectorAward / grant580580Form 4
2026-03-12Giles Jeffrey DofficerAward / grant21,58521,585Form 4
2026-03-12Bradbury Robyn LofficerAward / grant4,82412,500Form 4
2026-03-12Bradbury Robyn LofficerAward / grant34,48834,488Form 4
2026-03-12Giles Jeffrey DofficerAward / grant3,0219,681Form 4
2026-03-12Stephens John WeldonofficerAward / grant93617,374Form 4
2026-03-12Stephens John WeldonofficerAward / grant6,6846,684Form 4
2026-03-12HUEBERT MICHAEL G.officerAward / grant10,50025,337Form 4
2026-03-12HUEBERT MICHAEL G.officerAward / grant37,53937,539Form 4
2026-03-12Harper Carla DofficerAward / grant2,46313,874Form 4
2026-03-12Harper Carla DofficerAward / grant17,59817,598Form 4
2026-03-12Cowles Bradford AofficerAward / grant7,08625,491Form 4
2026-03-12Cowles Bradford AofficerAward / grant50,67650,676Form 4
2026-03-12Witkowski Mark RdirectorAward / grant18,37251,119Form 4
2026-03-12Witkowski Mark RdirectorAward / grant131,382131,382Form 4
2026-03-11Witkowski Mark RdirectorWithheld for tax1,68532,747Form 4
2026-03-11Cowles Bradford AofficerWithheld for tax60718,405Form 4
2026-03-11HUEBERT MICHAEL G.officerWithheld for tax44714,837Form 4
2026-03-11Bradbury Robyn LofficerWithheld for tax4047,676Form 4
2026-03-11Whittenburg Mark GofficerWithheld for tax3318,525Form 4
2026-03-11Stephens John WeldonofficerWithheld for tax10716,438Form 4
2026-03-11Harper Carla DofficerWithheld for tax8911,411Form 4
2026-03-10LeClair Stephen OdirectorWithheld for tax3,08166,136Form 4
2026-03-10Witkowski Mark RdirectorWithheld for tax93734,432Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.