CNDTConduent IncorporatedTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.62 · now $1.62 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CNDT has typically landed between $1.25 and $1.98 — a range of −23.1% to +22.0% from the issuance price $1.62.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,430 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-12-13 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.62) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CNDT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$1.25worst · -23.1%$1.98best · +22.0%
  • now $1.62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.59 (-1.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.44–$1.75
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.25–$1.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,430 windows spanning 2016-12-13 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−65.4%−65.4%+11.7%
2020-02-11−60.5%−60.5%+4.4%
2020-02-20−60.4%−69.0%+0.0%
3 best
2020-07-09+125.6%−4.0%+125.6%
2020-07-14+113.6%+0.0%+135.1%
2020-07-10+97.1%−6.8%+119.0%

2,430 overlapping windows · 2016-12-13 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−3.3%
n=10
Feb
60%
+0.2%
n=10
Mar
30%
−4.9%
n=10
Apr
60%
+1.6%
n=10
May
50%
−2.6%
n=10
Jun
30%
−1.3%
n=10
Jul
60%
+1.0%
n=10
Aug
50%
+7.3%
n=10
Sep
30%
−3.5%
n=10
Oct
33%
−1.7%
n=9
Nov
33%
−5.6%
n=9
Dec
67%
+3.1%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$3$12026-02-20: 1 insider purchase, $183K — Agadi Harshavardhan V2026-02-19: 2 insider purchases, $242K — Agadi Harshavardhan V, Fucci Michael2026-02-18: 2 insider purchases, $231K — Agadi Harshavardhan V, Palau Hernandez Margarita2026-02: 5 open-market purchases, $656K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Agadi Harshavardhan V — Purchase on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Agadi Harshavardhan V — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fucci Michael — Purchase on 2026-02-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Agadi Harshavardhan V — Purchase on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Palau Hernandez Margarita — Purchase on 2026-02-18, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-20Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorPurchase117,099 @ $1.56$183K+53.2% of holding−14.8%−10.4%337,099Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-19Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorPurchase110,000 @ $1.41$155K+100.0% of holding−11.1%−3.6%220,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19Fucci MichaeldirectorPurchase60,000 @ $1.44$87K+56.5% of holding−11.1%−3.6%166,102Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-18Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorPurchase110,000 @ $1.44$158Kownership Δ n/a−10.3%−9.1%110,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-18Palau Hernandez MargaritadirectorPurchase50,000 @ $1.45$73Kownership Δ n/a−10.3%−9.1%50,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-18Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $2.81$281Kownership Δ n/a−9.6%−39.6%100,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16Skelton ClifforddirectorSale45,000 @ $2.26$102K+1.0% of holding+20.3%−22.6%4,383,552Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-12Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerPurchase13,798 @ $2.32$32K+4.3% of holding+15.5%−36.7%331,168Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

89 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Sever AnnaofficerWithheld for tax7,721174,561Form 4
2026-08-31Novoseletsky Anna RoseofficerAward / grant145,348145,348Form 4
2026-08-31Novoseletsky Anna RoseofficerAward / grant72,674218,022Form 4
2026-07-31Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerWithheld for tax3,841937,287Form 4
2026-07-15Letier A. ScottdirectorAward / grant20,353737,298Form 4
2026-06-01Demuyakor AdamdirectorAward / grant63,69863,698Form 4
2026-06-01Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerWithheld for tax4,571941,128Form 4
2026-04-01KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerAward / grant413,5331,480,535Form 4
2026-04-01Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerAward / grant375,939757,730Form 4
2026-04-01APPLEBY ADAM DofficerAward / grant244,360607,369Form 4
2026-04-01KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerAward / grant206,7661,687,301Form 4
2026-04-01Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerAward / grant187,969945,699Form 4
2026-04-01APPLEBY ADAM DofficerAward / grant122,180729,549Form 4
2026-04-01Abate George JosephofficerAward / grant56,390128,943Form 4
2026-04-01Abate George JosephofficerAward / grant28,195157,138Form 4
2026-03-04Van Greta GdirectorAward / grant109,196109,196Form 4
2026-02-10KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerWithheld for tax12,1121,055,208Form 4
2026-02-10KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerWithheld for tax10,7371,067,002Form 4
2026-02-10Prout MarkofficerWithheld for tax9,465642,566Form 4
2026-02-10Prout MarkofficerWithheld for tax8,390651,074Form 4
2026-02-10APPLEBY ADAM DofficerWithheld for tax5,276359,574Form 4
2026-02-10APPLEBY ADAM DofficerWithheld for tax4,677363,009Form 4
2026-02-10Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerDisposition2,217378,799Form 4
2026-02-10Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerWithheld for tax1,966381,791Form 4
2026-02-10Abate George JosephofficerWithheld for tax61271,800Form 4
2026-02-10Abate George JosephofficerWithheld for tax54372,553Form 4
2026-02-10Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerAward / grant4,958383,757Form 4
2026-02-10APPLEBY ADAM DofficerDisposition9,150364,850Form 4
2026-02-10APPLEBY ADAM DofficerAward / grant8,112367,686Form 4
2026-02-10Abate George JosephofficerAward / grant1,29673,096Form 4
2026-02-10Abate George JosephofficerDisposition1,46172,412Form 4
2026-02-10Goodburn Giles AndrewofficerDisposition5,591381,016Form 4
2026-02-10KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerDisposition25,4161,067,320Form 4
2026-02-10KRAWITZ MICHAEL EofficerAward / grant22,5311,077,739Form 4
2026-02-10Prout MarkofficerDisposition19,062652,031Form 4
2026-02-10Prout MarkofficerAward / grant16,898659,464Form 4
2026-02-03Letier A. ScottdirectorAward / grant1,937716,945Form 4
2026-01-16Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorAward / grant1,020,0001,796,829Form 4
2026-01-16Agadi Harshavardhan VdirectorAward / grant680,000776,829Form 4
2026-01-15Letier A. ScottdirectorAward / grant109,147715,008Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.