CMTLComtech Telecommunications Corp.Technology · Communication Equipmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.49 · now $1.49 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMTL has typically landed between $0.95 and $2.12 — a range of −36.5% to +42.2% from the issuance price $1.49.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.49) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CMTL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.49 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$0.9458worst · -36.5%$2.12best · +42.2%
  • now $1.49 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.44 (-3.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.21–$1.66
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.9458–$2.12
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-06-02−66.7%−66.7%+0.0%
2026-06-04−65.4%−65.4%+0.0%
2026-06-03−65.2%−65.8%+0.0%
3 best
2025-12-17+99.3%+0.0%+109.8%
2025-12-15+93.0%−5.0%+96.0%
2025-12-16+92.3%−8.4%+92.3%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−4.7%
n=20
Feb
60%
+1.1%
n=20
Mar
35%
−9.3%
n=20
Apr
45%
−0.4%
n=20
May
60%
+8.1%
n=20
Jun
60%
−1.2%
n=20
Jul
50%
−0.9%
n=20
Aug
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Sep
55%
+5.0%
n=20
Oct
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Nov
50%
+1.6%
n=20
Dec
50%
+2.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$12026-06-18: 1 insider sale, $520 — Gizinski Daniel2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $520↑ buys↓ salesofficer Gizinski Daniel — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-18Gizinski DanielofficerSale200 @ $2.60$520−0.6% of holding−28.1%not yet — horizon still open31,040Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

149 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-11BONDI MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax5,269150,595Form 4
2026-08-11Walther Donald E.officerWithheld for tax2,01066,515Form 4
2026-08-11Gizinski DanielofficerWithheld for tax88533,681Form 4
2026-08-11BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise10,321183,537Form 4
2026-08-11Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise5,883138,800Form 4
2026-08-11Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise1,961140,621Form 4
2026-08-11Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise5,88368,525Form 4
2026-08-11BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise10,321155,864Form 4
2026-08-11Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise5,88368,525Form 4
2026-08-11Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise1,96134,566Form 4
2026-08-11Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise1,96134,566Form 4
2026-08-11BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise10,321155,864Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax611145,543Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerWithheld for tax12732,605Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise1,196193,858Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise280142,582Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise1,196146,154Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise1,196146,154Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise28032,732Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise28032,732Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise1,196146,154Form 4
2026-08-10BONDI MICHAELofficerOption exercise1,196146,154Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise28032,732Form 4
2026-08-10Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise28032,732Form 4
2026-07-31Gizinski DanielofficerWithheld for tax1,16132,452Form 4
2026-07-31Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise2,573142,862Form 4
2026-07-31Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise2,57333,613Form 4
2026-07-31Gizinski DanielofficerOption exercise2,57333,613Form 4
2026-06-03Robertson Jeffery PaulofficerWithheld for tax19,79865,957Form 4
2026-06-03Robertson Jeffery PaulofficerOption exercise38,910163,703Form 4
2026-06-03Robertson Jeffery PaulofficerOption exercise38,91085,755Form 4
2026-06-03Robertson Jeffery PaulofficerOption exercise38,91085,755Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerWithheld for tax9,89962,642Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerWithheld for tax57643,555Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise28,986144,683Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise1,685173,669Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise28,98672,541Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise28,98672,541Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise1,68544,131Form 4
2026-04-28Walther Donald E.officerOption exercise1,68544,131Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.