CMRCCommerce.com, Inc.Technology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.43 · now $3.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMRC has typically landed between $2.51 and $4.26 — a range of −26.7% to +24.1% from the issuance price $3.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,515 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-08-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CMRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.51worst · -26.7%$4.26best · +24.1%
  • now $3.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.27 (-4.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.98–$3.57
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.51–$4.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,515 windows spanning 2020-08-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-10-27−45.4%−45.4%+2.8%
2022-10-28−44.5%−46.7%+0.3%
2020-08-27−44.3%−47.5%+0.0%
3 best
2026-08-17+66.5%+0.0%+76.7%
2026-08-13+64.0%−7.2%+64.0%
2026-08-14+63.5%−5.9%+66.2%

1,515 overlapping windows · 2020-08-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
+2.8%
n=6
Feb
17%
−11.5%
n=6
Mar
0%
−9.6%
n=6
Apr
33%
−9.0%
n=6
May
67%
+9.3%
n=6
Jun
33%
+3.9%
n=6
Jul
50%
+1.1%
n=6
Aug
17%
−9.5%
n=6
Sep
29%
−1.8%
n=7
Oct
17%
−8.0%
n=6
Nov
33%
+0.6%
n=6
Dec
33%
−9.5%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$22026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $2K — Lentz Daniel2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $5K — Lentz Daniel2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $20K — Lentz Daniel2026-02-17: 1 insider purchase, $294K — Siminoff Ellen F2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $450K — Klein Russell Scott2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $450K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $294K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $20K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $5K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $2K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Lentz Daniel — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lentz Daniel — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Lentz Daniel — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Siminoff Ellen F — Purchase on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Klein Russell Scott — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Lentz DanielofficerSale797 @ $2.22$2K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open472,741Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01Lentz DanielofficerSale1,544 @ $2.96$5K−0.3% of holding+1.5%not yet — horizon still open475,262Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-26Lentz DanielofficerSale6,840 @ $2.91$20K−1.4% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open480,145Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Siminoff Ellen FdirectorPurchase100,000 @ $2.94$294K+39.5% of holding−4.1%−41.9%353,333Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12Klein Russell ScottofficerSale98,080 @ $4.59$450K−18.1% of holding−1.6%−42.7%444,001Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21Hess Christopher TravisdirectorWithheld for tax3,448883,471Form 4
2026-08-21Ban Hubert SofficerWithheld for tax3,24380,994Form 4
2026-08-21Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax1,724473,538Form 4
2026-08-21Cassidy Charles DofficerWithheld for tax406165,324Form 4
2026-08-13Kamath AnildirectorAward / grant3,836151,463Form 4
2026-08-13Gilligan SarahdirectorAward / grant4,042191,314Form 4
2026-08-13Clarke Donald EdirectorAward / grant5,156209,339Form 4
2026-06-30Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax3,339476,806Form 4
2026-06-03Hess Christopher TravisdirectorWithheld for tax35,441886,919Form 4
2026-06-02Cassidy Charles DofficerWithheld for tax1,463165,730Form 4
2026-05-21Hess Christopher TravisdirectorWithheld for tax3,448922,360Form 4
2026-05-21Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax1,724486,985Form 4
2026-05-21Cassidy Charles DofficerWithheld for tax406167,193Form 4
2026-05-21Ban Hubert SofficerWithheld for tax38884,237Form 4
2026-05-14Kamath AnildirectorAward / grant68,170147,627Form 4
2026-05-14Clarke Donald EdirectorAward / grant69,584204,183Form 4
2026-05-14Gilligan SarahdirectorAward / grant68,391187,272Form 4
2026-05-14Malhotra SatishdirectorAward / grant64,063181,999Form 4
2026-03-21Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax13,074488,709Form 4
2026-03-21Cassidy Charles DofficerWithheld for tax1,269167,599Form 4
2026-03-21Ban Hubert SofficerWithheld for tax59984,625Form 4
2026-03-03Hess Christopher TravisdirectorWithheld for tax19,183925,808Form 4
2026-03-03Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax13,477501,783Form 4
2026-03-03Cassidy Charles DofficerWithheld for tax2,577168,868Form 4
2026-03-03Ban Hubert SofficerWithheld for tax2,54185,224Form 4
2026-03-03Cassidy Charles DofficerAward / grant8,685171,445Form 4
2026-03-03Lentz DanielofficerAward / grant30,177515,260Form 4
2026-03-03Hess Christopher TravisdirectorAward / grant413,712900,236Form 4
2026-03-03Hess Christopher TravisdirectorAward / grant44,755944,991Form 4
2026-03-03Lentz DanielofficerAward / grant236,407485,083Form 4
2026-03-03Ban Hubert SofficerAward / grant30,73381,601Form 4
2026-03-03Ban Hubert SofficerAward / grant6,16487,765Form 4
2026-03-03Cassidy Charles DofficerAward / grant70,922162,760Form 4
2026-02-25Clarke Donald EdirectorAward / grant4,664134,599Form 4
2026-02-25Kamath AnildirectorAward / grant3,47079,457Form 4
2026-02-25Malhotra SatishdirectorAward / grant3,731117,936Form 4
2026-02-25Gilligan SarahdirectorAward / grant3,656118,881Form 4
2026-02-21Hess Christopher TravisdirectorWithheld for tax15,649486,524Form 4
2026-02-21Lentz DanielofficerWithheld for tax7,825248,676Form 4
2026-02-21Walter RobertofficerWithheld for tax2,27824,722Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.